14255 Riverfront Dr · Old Jamestown, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- $256 HOA
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Community contains 206 units
- HOA & community: Part of River Oaks Estates Two HOA; Monthly association fee of $256; Community amenities include a clubhouse, pool and tennis courts; HOA fee covers maintenance (roads/parking), common area maintenance, pool, sewer, snow removal, taxes, trash and water; association management provided
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned covered parking; Additional parking available; Carport (1 space); Total of 1 parking space listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Residential condominium; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Panel and sliding doors; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven and range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Microwave; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator; Washer; Electric water heater
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in hall; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $530 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 5.3% in Old Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#247 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Hazelwood (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #306 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Jana Elem. (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #964 of 1,115 statewide, top 87%, 419 students, 62% FRL); Hazelwood Central High (math 12% / reading 33%, grade F, #455 of 521 statewide, top 88%, 1,628 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $100k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.74%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $17,735
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $59,583
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63034
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,828 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,110/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$256
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $530
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $587 | -5% $558 | +0% $530 | +5% $502 | +10% $473 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $386 | -5% $458 | +0% $530 | +5% $602 | +10% $674 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $580 | -0.5pp $555 | base $530 | +0.5pp $504 | +1.0pp $478 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4112 Monsols Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,945 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3144 Sunswept Pk Ct Florissant, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $1,088 | $1.33 | 2d | 12 | 0.95mi |
| 3209 Cross Keys Dr Florissant, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 2d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2990 Santiago Dr Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,200 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $256 · $3,072/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-19$99,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,110 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,110 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,936
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,110
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,755
- − Management
- −$1,755
- − HOA
- −$3,072
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $5,242
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,258
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,102/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazelwood
- NCES district ID
- 2913830
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,621
- Composite
- 16.77/100
- National rank
- #9156
- State rank
- #306 of 324 in MO
Livability — Old Jamestown
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #247
- US rank
- #12156
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Old Jamestown, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 19,557
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,908
- Household income
- $103,905
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 88.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 21% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.28%
- Current HPI
- 180.6267
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+25.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $99,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2020-06-05 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-18 Listed $45,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-18 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-22 Price Changed $52,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-02-27 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-15 Listed $34,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
- 1987-08-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2022): $1,110 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…