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418 North St
B+ Composite 77.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$124,900

418 North St · Millersburg, PA 17061
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,770 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 128 Days on market
Built 1906 4,791 sqft lot $71/sqft · 26% below area Est $188k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step back in time and discover the character and charm waiting at 418 North Street in Millersburg. This four-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bath home offers spacious rooms, beautiful original woodwork, and the kind of craftsmanship you simply don’t find in newer construction. From the inviting covered front porch to the detailed trim, solid wood doors, and classic staircase, this home showcases its old-school appeal throughout. Large windows fill the living spaces with natural light, highlighting the generous room sizes and flexible layout. The formal dining room and spacious living areas provide plenty of room for gathering, entertaining, or reimagining the space to suit your style. Upstairs, you’ll find four comfortable bedrooms with great natural light and hardwood flooring, along with a full bath. The half bath on the main level adds convenience for everyday living. Outside, a fenced backyard offers space for outdoor enjoyment, pets, or gardening, while the two-car detached garage provides valuable off-street parking and additional storage — a rare find for an in-town property. This property presents an excellent opportunity to restore and update while preserving its timeless character. With solid bones, spacious rooms, and undeniable charm, this home is ready for its next chapter.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Large windows
  • Classic staircase

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHORIGINAL WOODWORKSOLID WOOD DOORSCLASSIC STAIRCASELARGE WINDOWSFENCED BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.5% in Millersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#480 in PA, #4,444 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Millersburg Area SD (town): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #288 of 539 in PA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
9.61%
Cash-on-cash
11.83%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$187,947
List price
$124,900
Delta
-33.55%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
277 Union St 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,740 (-2%) 3mo $175,000 $101 86
268 North St 0.14mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,914 (+8%) 3mo $170,000 $89 73
541 Union St 0.16mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,620 (-8%) 3mo $215,000 $133 71
285 Union St 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,644 (-7%) 11mo $150,000 $91 71
226 Moore St 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,868 (+6%) 14mo $172,000 $92 71
454 Union St 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,984 (+12%) 5mo $110,000 $55 68
780 State St 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,642 (-7%) 6mo $159,900 $97 66
965 Center St 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,796 (+2%) 9mo $264,900 $147 63
735 Church St 0.21mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,890 (+7%) 12mo $156,000 $83 62
306 S Market St 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,631 (-8%) 7mo $165,000 $101 55
868 Union St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,666 (-6%) 13mo $172,500 $104 49
937 Meadow Ln 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,568 (-11%) 9mo $259,100 $165 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$25,616
Equity at exit
$43,971
10-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
3.17×
Total profit
$75,879
Equity at exit
$59,478

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17061

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,625 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$232 /mo · $2,784/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$341
Net cashflow
$345

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,189
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $415 -5% $380 +0% $345 +5% $309 +10% $274
Rent -10% $216 -5% $281 +0% $345 +5% $409 +10% $473
Rate -1.0pp $408 -0.5pp $377 base $345 +0.5pp $312 +1.0pp $279

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
123 Natures Trl Millersburg, PA 2.0 3.0 1440 $1,625 $1.13 24d 1 1.05mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $124,900 Active 128 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 126 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 125 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 124 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 123 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 121 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $124,900 Active 120 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 117 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 116 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 115 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $124,900 Active 114 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $144,900 Active 111 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $144,900 Active 110 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $144,900 Active 109 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $144,900 Active 108 DOM
  16. 2026-04-23
    price $144,900 1317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1317 chars)

    Step back in time and discover the character and charm waiting at 418 North Street in Millersburg. This four-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bath home offers spacious rooms, beautiful original woodwork, and the kind of craftsmanship you simply don’t find in newer construction. From the inviting covered front porch to the detailed trim, solid wood doors, and classic staircase, this home showcases its old-school appeal throughout. Large windows fill the living spaces with natural light, highlighting the generous room sizes and flexible layout. The formal dining room and spacious living areas provide plenty of room for gathering, entertaining, or reimagining the space to suit your style. Upstairs, you’ll find four comfortable bedrooms with great natural light and hardwood flooring, along with a full bath. The half bath on the main level adds convenience for everyday living. Outside, a fenced backyard offers space for outdoor enjoyment, pets, or gardening, while the two-car detached garage provides valuable off-street parking and additional storage — a rare find for an in-town property. This property presents an excellent opportunity to restore and update while preserving its timeless character. With solid bones, spacious rooms, and undeniable charm, this home is ready for its next chapter.

  17. 2026-02-12
    listed $149,900 Active 1317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1317 chars)

    Step back in time and discover the character and charm waiting at 418 North Street in Millersburg. This four-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bath home offers spacious rooms, beautiful original woodwork, and the kind of craftsmanship you simply don’t find in newer construction. From the inviting covered front porch to the detailed trim, solid wood doors, and classic staircase, this home showcases its old-school appeal throughout. Large windows fill the living spaces with natural light, highlighting the generous room sizes and flexible layout. The formal dining room and spacious living areas provide plenty of room for gathering, entertaining, or reimagining the space to suit your style. Upstairs, you’ll find four comfortable bedrooms with great natural light and hardwood flooring, along with a full bath. The half bath on the main level adds convenience for everyday living. Outside, a fenced backyard offers space for outdoor enjoyment, pets, or gardening, while the two-car detached garage provides valuable off-street parking and additional storage — a rare find for an in-town property. This property presents an excellent opportunity to restore and update while preserving its timeless character. With solid bones, spacious rooms, and undeniable charm, this home is ready for its next chapter.

  18. 2022-06-02
    soldstatus $144,900
  19. 2022-05-29
    soldstatus $144,900 Closed 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    Come take a tour of this house! Four spacious bedrooms, one and a half baths. Lots of character throughout the house! Nice size fenced in backyard with a two bay garage for additional off street parking and storage! SCHEDULE A SHOWING TODAY!!!

  20. 2022-04-16
    status Pending 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    Come take a tour of this house! Four spacious bedrooms, one and a half baths. Lots of character throughout the house! Nice size fenced in backyard with a two bay garage for additional off street parking and storage! SCHEDULE A SHOWING TODAY!!!

  21. 2022-04-05
    listed $144,900 Active 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    Come take a tour of this house! Four spacious bedrooms, one and a half baths. Lots of character throughout the house! Nice size fenced in backyard with a two bay garage for additional off street parking and storage! SCHEDULE A SHOWING TODAY!!!

  22. 2017-07-18
    soldstatus $86,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,784 · $232/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,784 · $232/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,500
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$2,784
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,560
− Management
−$1,560
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$2,342
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$562
After-tax cash flow
$3,575/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Millersburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4215360
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$50,625
Composite
37.4/100
National rank
#4426
State rank
#288 of 539 in PA

Livability — Millersburg

Score
74/100
State rank
#480
US rank
#4444

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Millersburg, PA
Population (ZIP)
6,825

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Polish 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · China
Languages at home
94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.20%
Current HPI
271.943
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+68.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $144,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $144,900 Public Records
  • 2022-05-29 Sold (MLS) $144,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-04-16 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-04-05 Listed $144,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,784 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…