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403 W 5th St
A- Composite 80.29
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$49,499

403 W 5th St · Cisco, TX 76437
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,632 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1925 7,667 sqft lot $30/sqft · 62% below area ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity for a place to make your own in Cisco. Situated on w 5th st and near downtown and shopping and restaurants. This house has high ceilings and plenty of kitchen cabinets and a large dining room. Shed in the backyard and good sized yard with a chain link fence and a carport. House needs a little TLC but ready for new owners. Check it out today!

Key facts

  • 7,667 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1925

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other:
  • Financial info: Accepts cash and other terms
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered carport with 2 spaces; Driveway parking
  • Security:
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1925; Siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Lot under 0.5 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Other appliances
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring:
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Vaulted ceilings; One living area; One dining area; Total of 3 rooms
  • Laundry & utility:

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($984 rent vs $49k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 3.5% in Cisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#121 in TX, #3,812 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Cisco ISD (town): math 53% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #118 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Cisco El (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #742 of 4,322 statewide, top 19%, 415 students, 60% FRL); Cisco J H (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C+, #301 of 1,662 statewide, top 19%, 161 students, 48% FRL); Cisco H S (math 72% / reading 77%, grade B+, #82 of 1,632 statewide, top 6%, 234 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Eastland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($342 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
  • Eastland County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,014 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
16.55%
Cash-on-cash
36.64%
DSCR
2.63
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$131,662
List price
$49,499
Delta
-62.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
705 W 9th St 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,592 (-2%) 1mo $174,500 $110 70
306 W 4th St 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,712 (+5%) 18mo $48,000 $28 68
308 W 10th St 0.29mi 2/2.0 1,691 (+4%) 12mo $35,000 $21 66
309 E 10th St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,588 (-3%) 1mo $100,000 $63 63
1102 W 7th St 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,581 (-3%) 8mo $33,000 $21 55
904 W 12th St 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,706 (+4%) 11mo $149,000 $87 48
705 W 6th St 0.23mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,492 (-9%) 21mo $190,000 $127 48
310 E 14th St 0.73mi 2/1.0 1,530 (-6%) 12mo $90,000 $59 46
1206 Avenue M 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,497 (-8%) 4mo $49,000 $33 45
1413 Conrad Hilton Blvd 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,700 (+4%) 14mo $188,000 $111 42
709 Harris St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,856 (+14%) 2mo $260,000 $140 35
408 Front St 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,400 (-14%) 11mo $30,000 $21 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.8%
Equity multiple
4.61×
Total profit
$49,986
Equity at exit
$40,393
10-year hold
IRR
45.3%
Equity multiple
10.04×
Total profit
$125,293
Equity at exit
$82,995

Cash invested: $13,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76437

Home prices YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
82
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$984 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$260
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $885/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$423

Break-even live

Break-even rent $448
Max offer price $49,499
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $451 -5% $437 +0% $423 +5% $409 +10% $395
Rent -10% $345 -5% $384 +0% $423 +5% $462 +10% $501
Rate -1.0pp $448 -0.5pp $436 base $423 +0.5pp $410 +1.0pp $397

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,375
Closing costs
$1,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $49,499 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $49,499 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,000 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $55,000 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 34 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 33 DOM
  17. 2026-05-15
    price $60,000 359-char remark
  18. 2026-04-28
    listed $63,000 Active 359-char remark
  19. 2025-10-30
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$885 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$906 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$21/yr (+$2/mo · 2.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,804
− Mortgage interest
−$2,773
− Property taxes
−$885
− Insurance
−$247
− Repairs & maintenance
−$944
− Management
−$944
− Depreciation
−$1,440
Taxable income
$4,571
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,097
After-tax cash flow
$3,981/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cisco ISD
NCES district ID
4814070
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$39,085
Composite
46.29/100
National rank
#2478
State rank
#118 of 826 in TX

Livability — Cisco

Score
75/100
State rank
#121
US rank
#3812

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cisco, TX
Population (ZIP)
5,895

Population outlook (Eastland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,433 people
By 2030
16,908 · -3.0%
By 2040
15,855 · -9.1%
By 2050
14,906 · -14.5%
By 2075
12,843 · -26.3%
By 2100
10,344 · -40.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 10% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Italian 14% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Eastland

2024 margin
Solid R (+77.5) · D 11.0% · R 88.5%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -59.8pp · 2024: -77.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+77.5 2020: R+75.4 2016: R+75.4 2012: R+68.9 2008: R+59.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.82%
Current HPI
167.4457
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $55,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $60,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $63,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-10-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $885 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…