403 W 5th St · Cisco, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$49,499
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity for a place to make your own in Cisco. Situated on w 5th st and near downtown and shopping and restaurants. This house has high ceilings and plenty of kitchen cabinets and a large dining room. Shed in the backyard and good sized yard with a chain link fence and a carport. House needs a little TLC but ready for new owners. Check it out today!
Key facts
- 7,667 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1925
Property features AI
Finance
- Other:
- Financial info: Accepts cash and other terms
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Covered carport with 2 spaces; Driveway parking
- Security:
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1925; Siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Lot under 0.5 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Other appliances
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring:
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Vaulted ceilings; One living area; One dining area; Total of 3 rooms
- Laundry & utility:
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($984 rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 3.5% in Cisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#121 in TX, #3,812 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Cisco ISD (town): math 53% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #118 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Cisco El (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #742 of 4,322 statewide, top 19%, 415 students, 60% FRL); Cisco J H (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C+, #301 of 1,662 statewide, top 19%, 161 students, 48% FRL); Cisco H S (math 72% / reading 77%, grade B+, #82 of 1,632 statewide, top 6%, 234 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Eastland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($342 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
- Eastland County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.64%
- DSCR
- 2.63
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $131,662
- List price
- $49,499
- Delta
- -62.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 W 9th St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,592 (-2%) | 1mo | $174,500 | $110 | 70 |
| 306 W 4th St | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,712 (+5%) | 18mo | $48,000 | $28 | 68 |
| 308 W 10th St | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 | 1,691 (+4%) | 12mo | $35,000 | $21 | 66 |
| 309 E 10th St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,588 (-3%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $63 | 63 |
| 1102 W 7th St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,581 (-3%) | 8mo | $33,000 | $21 | 55 |
| 904 W 12th St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,706 (+4%) | 11mo | $149,000 | $87 | 48 |
| 705 W 6th St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,492 (-9%) | 21mo | $190,000 | $127 | 48 |
| 310 E 14th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 1,530 (-6%) | 12mo | $90,000 | $59 | 46 |
| 1206 Avenue M | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,497 (-8%) | 4mo | $49,000 | $33 | 45 |
| 1413 Conrad Hilton Blvd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,700 (+4%) | 14mo | $188,000 | $111 | 42 |
| 709 Harris St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,856 (+14%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $140 | 35 |
| 408 Front St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-14%) | 11mo | $30,000 | $21 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.61×
- Total profit
- $49,986
- Equity at exit
- $40,393
- IRR
- 45.3%
- Equity multiple
- 10.04×
- Total profit
- $125,293
- Equity at exit
- $82,995
Cash invested: $13,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76437
- Home prices YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $984 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$260
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $423
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $451 | -5% $437 | +0% $423 | +5% $409 | +10% $395 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $345 | -5% $384 | +0% $423 | +5% $462 | +10% $501 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $448 | -0.5pp $436 | base $423 | +0.5pp $410 | +1.0pp $397 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,375
- Closing costs
- $1,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $49,499 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $49,499 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $55,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $60,000 359-char remark
-
2026-04-28$63,000 Active 359-char remark
-
2025-10-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $885 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $906 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$21/yr (+$2/mo · 2.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,804
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,773
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$247
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$944
- − Management
- −$944
- − Depreciation
- −$1,440
- Taxable income
- $4,571
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,097
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,981/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cisco ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814070
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,085
- Composite
- 46.29/100
- National rank
- #2478
- State rank
- #118 of 826 in TX
Livability — Cisco
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #3812
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cisco, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,895
Population outlook (Eastland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,433 people
- By 2030
- 16,908 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 15,855 · -9.1%
- By 2050
- 14,906 · -14.5%
- By 2075
- 12,843 · -26.3%
- By 2100
- 10,344 · -40.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 10% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 14% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Eastland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+77.5) · D 11.0% · R 88.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -59.8pp · 2024: -77.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+77.5 2020: R+75.4 2016: R+75.4 2012: R+68.9 2008: R+59.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.82%
- Current HPI
- 167.4457
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-12.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $55,000 NTREIS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $60,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $63,000 NTREIS
- 2025-10-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $885 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…