7 Olympic Cir · Abilene, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This house is everything you could want! There is tons of space, 2 master bedrooms, walk-in closets, a beautiful pool and hot tub, and a massive back yard. The office can also be made into a 4th bedroom if desired. This won't last long!
Key facts
- Hot tub
- French doors
- Backyard oasis
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No restrictions; Not in a municipal utility district
- Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA financing
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces; Concrete driveway; Garage door opener; Garage faces side
- Security: Fire alarm
- Utilities: City water (individual water meter); City sewer; Electricity available and connected; Cable available; Phone available; Sewer available; Asphalt streets and curbs
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Property attached: Yes
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built in 1991; Preowned
- Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Private yard; Playground; Fenced backyard with wood privacy fencing; Sprinkler system; Located on a cul-de-sac; Level lot; Subdivision setting
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Fireplace insert; Heat pump; Central air conditioning; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans; Multiple HVAC units
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Kitchen island; Pantry; Double vanity; High-speed internet available; Walk-in closets; One living area; Two dining areas; Seven total rooms
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $399k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-175 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $368k (7.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $349k (12.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $349k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F.
- Wylie ISD (rural): math 63% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #32 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Wylie West El (428 students, 21% FRL); Wylie West J H (math 62% / reading 58%, grade B, #158 of 1,662 statewide, top 10%, 972 students, 24% FRL); Wylie H S (math 60% / reading 76%, grade B, #150 of 1,632 statewide, top 10%, 1,467 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools at 21% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+40.7%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,487/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 1181% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($393k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.88%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $514,602
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Olympic Cir | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 2,442 (-6%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $147 | 84 |
| 6134 Laurel Ct | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 | 2,532 (-3%) | 2mo | $305,150 | $121 | 82 |
| 29 Pebble Bch | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 2,270 (-13%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $141 | 67 |
| 3418 Ace | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,420 (-7%) | 0mo | $465,000 | $192 | 56 |
| 3326 Birdie | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,481 (-4%) | 0mo | $508,000 | $205 | 56 |
| 3418 Double Eagle Ln | 0.50mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,350 (-10%) | 1mo | $465,000 | $198 | 55 |
| 13 Winners Cir | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 2,224 (-14%) | 3mo | $339,900 | $153 | 51 |
| 6433 Tin Cup | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 2,350 (-10%) | 1mo | $479,000 | $204 | 49 |
| 3309 Birdie Ln | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,439 (-6%) | 1mo | $499,900 | $205 | 48 |
| 6 Augusta Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,805 (+8%) | 1mo | $399,900 | $143 | 47 |
| 3318 Birdie | 0.69mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,288 (-12%) | 1mo | $469,000 | $205 | 42 |
| 6625 Tin Cup Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,278 (-12%) | 0mo | $469,900 | $206 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-57,239
- Equity at exit
- $59,492
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $20,295
- Equity at exit
- $34,498
Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79606
- Rents YoY
- 40.7%
- Active inventory
- 294
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,487 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,092
- Tax from tax record
- −$672 /mo · $8,060/yr
- Insurance
- −$166
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$732
- Net cashflow
- $-175
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $50 | -5% $-62 | +0% $-175 | +5% $-288 | +10% $-401 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-451 | -5% $-313 | +0% $-175 | +5% $-38 | +10% $100 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $26 | -0.5pp $-74 | base $-175 | +0.5pp $-279 | +1.0pp $-384 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,750
- Closing costs
- $11,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3726 Pensacola Dr Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2126 | $7,000 | $3.29 | 0d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 5400 Ridgeline Dr Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2571 | $6,000 | $2.33 | 26d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3626 Yamini Dr Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1788 | $2,799 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6609 Summerwood Trl Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1851 | $3,195 | $1.73 | 7d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3134 Winterhawk Dr Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,795 | $1.55 | 9d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4617 Catclaw Dr Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2263 | $2,500 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6609 Desert Willow Trl Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2080 | $3,200 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 7534 John Carroll Dr Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1984 | $2,795 | $1.41 | 5d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5733 Legacy Dr Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1843 | $5,000 | $2.71 | 6d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-05-11historical Active Option Contract
-
2026-04-27status Active
-
2026-04-17historical
-
2026-04-17$399,000 Active
-
2025-06-13historical
-
2025-06-09status Active
-
2025-06-06historical Active Option Contract
-
2025-06-03price $389,999
-
2025-05-05price $399,999
-
2025-04-14price $430,000
-
2025-04-07price $445,000
-
2025-03-25$450,000 Active
-
2021-04-26soldstatus
-
2021-04-23soldstatus Sold 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
This house is everything you could want! There is tons of space, 2 master bedrooms, walk-in closets, a beautiful pool and hot tub, and a massive back yard. The office can also be made into a 4th bedroom if desired. This won't last long!
-
2021-03-17status Pending 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
This house is everything you could want! There is tons of space, 2 master bedrooms, walk-in closets, a beautiful pool and hot tub, and a massive back yard. The office can also be made into a 4th bedroom if desired. This won't last long!
-
2021-03-04historical Active Option Contract 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
This house is everything you could want! There is tons of space, 2 master bedrooms, walk-in closets, a beautiful pool and hot tub, and a massive back yard. The office can also be made into a 4th bedroom if desired. This won't last long!
-
2021-01-14$312,900 Active 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
This house is everything you could want! There is tons of space, 2 master bedrooms, walk-in closets, a beautiful pool and hot tub, and a massive back yard. The office can also be made into a 4th bedroom if desired. This won't last long!
-
2020-12-10historical
-
2020-11-27price $319,500
-
2020-11-08status Active
-
2020-10-26status Active Option Contract
-
2020-10-18historical Active Option Contract
-
2020-10-18historical
-
2020-10-18historical
-
2020-09-20price $324,500
-
2020-08-05price $329,500
-
2020-07-22$339,500 Active
-
2013-08-26soldstatus
-
2013-08-23soldstatus
-
2013-07-19historical
-
2012-09-24$238,000
-
2004-11-04soldstatus
-
2004-07-29soldstatus
-
2003-11-07soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,060 · $672/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,060 · $672/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,847
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,350
- − Property taxes
- −$8,060
- − Insurance
- −$1,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,348
- − Management
- −$3,348
- − Depreciation
- −$11,607
- Taxable loss
- −$8,861
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,127
- After-tax cash flow
- $22/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wylie ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4846500
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,248
- Composite
- 55.86/100
- National rank
- #1206
- State rank
- #32 of 826 in TX
Livability — Abilene
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #4037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abilene, TX
- County
- Taylor County · 136,672 people
- City population
- 136,672
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,182
- Household income
- $79,196
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1181.0
Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,270 people
- By 2030
- 150,050 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 159,417 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 168,883 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 194,436 · +33.8%
- By 2100
- 203,163 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Taylor
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -167.33%
- Current HPI
- 179.2555
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 40.73%
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+67.6% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-11 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $399,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-17 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-06-13 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-06-09 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-06-06 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2025-06-03 Price Changed $389,999 NTREIS
- 2025-05-05 Price Changed $399,999 NTREIS
- 2025-04-14 Price Changed $430,000 NTREIS
- 2025-04-07 Price Changed $445,000 NTREIS
- 2025-03-25 Listed $450,000 NTREIS
- 2021-04-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-04-23 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2021-03-17 Pending — NTREIS
- 2021-03-04 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2021-01-14 Listed $312,900 NTREIS
- 2020-12-10 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2020-11-27 Price Changed $319,500 NTREIS
- 2020-11-08 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2020-10-26 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2020-10-18 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2020-10-18 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2020-10-18 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2020-09-20 Price Changed $324,500 NTREIS
- 2020-08-05 Price Changed $329,500 NTREIS
- 2020-07-22 Listed $339,500 NTREIS
- 2013-08-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-08-23 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2013-07-19 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2012-09-24 Listed $238,000 NTREIS
- 2004-11-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-07-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-11-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $8,060 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…