807 W 7th St · Chester, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 1920
- Listed 271 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 7.5% in Chester — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#540 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Chester-Upland SD (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #533 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 299 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,606/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 2668% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.9% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 271 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $135k implies a 451% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 271 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.64%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,499
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- 61.68%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610 W 8th St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (-3%) | 5mo | $49,900 | $45 | 84 |
| 612 W 8th St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,188 (+4%) | 7mo | $47,000 | $40 | 76 |
| 224 Pennell St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,134 (-0%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $53 | 76 |
| 1209 W 9th St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (-1%) | 11mo | $132,500 | $117 | 75 |
| 1027 Butler St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+5%) | 6mo | $136,000 | $113 | 72 |
| 920 Butler St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (-10%) | 3mo | $143,100 | $140 | 72 |
| 917 Pennell St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-4%) | 10mo | $97,000 | $88 | 71 |
| 606 Norris St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (+4%) | 2mo | $149,500 | $126 | 71 |
| 920 Pennell St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,042 (-9%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $53 | 66 |
| 1313 Kerlin St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+1%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $126 | 65 |
| 803 W Mary St | 0.32mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,256 (+10%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $107 | 58 |
| 1213 W 9th St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 992 (-13%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $136 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $6,007
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $61,766
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19013
- Rents YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,606 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$169 /mo · $2,028/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $335
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 925 W 3rd St Chester, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 18d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 418 Penn St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 330 W 21st St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 814 Upland St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,525 | $1.13 | 7d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 125 W 21st St Chester, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1127 Walnut St Chester, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1312 | $1,600 | $1.22 | 7d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 13 E 21st St Unit A Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1127 Ward St Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 7d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1315 Harshaw Rd Brookhaven, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1260 | $2,395 | $1.90 | 1d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1224 Elson Rd Brookhaven, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 17d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 25 W Parkway Ave Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1324 | $1,600 | $1.21 | 5d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 30 W Roland Rd Brookhaven, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,695 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2219 Madison St Unit B Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 425 Highland Ave Apt A Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $1,000 | $1.01 | 20d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2607 Edgmont Ave Unit 2F Brookhaven, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,600 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1211 Johnson St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,500 | $1.70 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2832 W 6th St Unit 306 Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1428 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 4d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $135,000
-
2026-03-02status Active
-
2026-02-28historical
-
2025-11-24price $140,000
-
2025-11-14price $145,000
-
2025-10-01price $150,000
-
2025-09-19$160,000 Active
-
2025-09-14historical $160,000
-
2024-07-21historical
-
2024-05-06price $130,000
-
2024-04-08price $145,000
-
2024-03-26$160,000 Active
-
2023-09-19status Pending
-
2023-09-19historical
-
2023-09-18$65,000 Active
-
1989-07-11soldstatus $24,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,028 · $169/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,080 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- +$53/yr (+$4/mo · 2.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,266
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,028
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,541
- − Management
- −$1,541
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,991
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$478
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,544/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chester-Upland SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205860
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,790
- Composite
- 8.05/100
- National rank
- #9918
- State rank
- #533 of 539 in PA
Livability — Chester
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #540
- US rank
- #5053
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chester, PA
- County
- Delaware County · 399,863 people
- City population
- 35,064
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,064
- Household income
- $41,261
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2668.0
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 577,490 people
- By 2030
- 581,243 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 584,700 · +1.2%
- By 2050
- 586,581 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 598,706 · +3.7%
- By 2100
- 590,823 · +2.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.7) · D 61.4% · R 37.6% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.3pp toward D · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 23.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.7 2020: D+26.7 2016: D+22.0 2012: D+21.8 2008: D+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -149.69%
- Current HPI
- 219.5173
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.88%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+451.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-02 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-24 Price Changed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-19 Listed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-14 Coming Soon $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-07-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-05-06 Price Changed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-04-08 Price Changed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-03-26 Listed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-09-19 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-09-19 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-09-18 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1989-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $24,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+20.5%/yrLatest (2026): $2,028 · +143.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…