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3515 Astoria Way
D- Composite 39.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.3/15.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$339,900

3515 Astoria Way · Huntertown, IN 46818
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,584 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 2001 9,225 sqft lot $132/sqft · 6% above area Est $324k · at est. $26/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful 2,600sqft home featuring four large bedrooms and two full bathrooms on the second floor. Master bedroom has three closets and a private en-suite. Half-bath is located downstairs. This home is sitting on a quiet cul-de-sac in a golf-cart friendly community with the best neighbors a young family can ask for. The HOA fees have been paid for 2026 at $313.00/year which is one of the cheaper fees including a community pool within walking distance of the home. Nice quiet setting within minutes to a variety of shopping centers. Prime location for Carroll School District. HVAC system is six years old with top-of-the-line A/C and furnace. The system can be controlled through your smart phon

Key facts

  • 9,225 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association; Community pool; Sidewalks; Annual association fee of $313 (about $26.08/month)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence (site-built); 2 stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation; Built as site-built home
  • Exterior features: Private pool (association); Cul-de-sac lot; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Convection oven
  • Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms (bedroom count not separately specified)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Zoned cooling; Natural gas heating; Zoned heating; Forced air; Floor furnace
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Pantry; Breakfast bar; Kitchen island; Open floorplan; Stone counters
  • Laundry & utility: Gas dryer hookup; Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $340k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-477/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $333k (2.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (22.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $265k (22.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.1% in Huntertown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#159 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Northwest Allen County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #25 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Eel River Elementary School (math 56% / reading 41%, grade D, #304 of 994 statewide, top 31%, 412 students, 29% FRL); Carroll Middle School (math 39% / reading 55%, grade D+, #65 of 330 statewide, top 21%, 994 students, 29% FRL); Carroll High School (math 59% / reading 86%, grade B+, #10 of 369 statewide, top 3%, 2,554 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools average 26% FRL vs 11% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($335k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $264,919 (22.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.15%
Cash-on-cash
-0.50%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$323,981
List price
$339,900
Delta
4.91%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3515 Astoria Way 0.00mi 4/2.5 2,607 (+1%) 0mo $335,000 $129 98
12967 Solo Ln 0.43mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,600 (+1%) 3mo $371,805 $143 70
4313 Great Hollow Ct 0.49mi 4/2.5 2,438 (-6%) 2mo $475,000 $195 66
12926 Rey Cv 0.52mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,600 (+1%) 4mo $381,000 $147 65
4533 Hammock Dr 0.62mi 4/2.5 2,478 (-4%) 5mo $370,000 $149 60
12839 Watts Dr 0.66mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,600 (+1%) 2mo $387,130 $149 59
2981 Skywalker Pass 0.55mi 4/2.5 2,346 (-9%) 3mo $359,900 $153 57
12804 Watts Dr 0.68mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,600 (+1%) 5mo $348,530 $134 56
12792 Watts Dr 0.69mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,600 (+1%) 5mo $359,780 $138 56
12843 Watts Dr 0.64mi 4/2.5 2,346 (-9%) 3mo $350,650 $149 52
12768 Watts Dr 0.71mi 4/2.5 2,346 (-9%) 4mo $334,900 $143 48
3036 Water Wheel Run 0.71mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,879 (+11%) 0mo $324,900 $113 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-44,756
Equity at exit
$50,680
10-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$15,868
Equity at exit
$29,388

Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46818

Rents YoY
7.6%
Active inventory
327
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,649 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,782
Tax from tax record
$183 /mo · $2,190/yr
Insurance
$142
HOA
$26
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$556
Net cashflow
$-40

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,699
Max offer price $332,880
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$84,975
Closing costs
$10,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3205 Water Wheel Run Fort Wayne, IN 4.0 2.5 2382 $2,500 $1.05 43d 1 0.71mi
5045 Portney Pl Fort Wayne, IN 4.0 2.5 2226 $2,300 $1.03 43d 1 0.95mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$26 · $312/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    price $339,900 1442-char remark
  2. 2026-04-26
    listed $349,900 Active 1442-char remark
  3. 2026-04-23
    historical $349,900 1442-char remark
  4. 2020-06-30
    soldstatus $241,000
  5. 2020-06-30
    listed $249,800
  6. 2020-06-19
    soldstatus $241,000
  7. 2020-04-30
    listed $249,800
  8. 2017-07-03
    soldstatus $179,900
  9. 2017-05-19
    listed $179,900
  10. 2015-10-17
    soldstatus $169,900
  11. 2015-08-26
    listed $169,900
  12. 2014-05-02
    listed $173,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,190 · $183/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,540 · $212/mo
Expected delta
+$350/yr (+$29/mo · 16.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,790
− Mortgage interest
−$19,040
− Property taxes
−$2,190
− Insurance
−$1,700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,543
− Management
−$2,543
− HOA
−$312
− Depreciation
−$9,888
Taxable loss
−$6,425
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,542
After-tax cash flow
$1,065/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwest Allen County Schools
NCES district ID
1808250
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$78,952
Composite
49.26/100
National rank
#2027
State rank
#25 of 301 in IN

Livability — Huntertown

Score
70/100
State rank
#159
US rank
#7771

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntertown, IN
County
Allen County · 326,813 people
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
Population (ZIP)
21,954
Household income
$81,066
Rent vs Own
15.6% rent · 84.4% own
Severe rent burden
101.0

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
394,020 people
By 2030
405,128 · +2.8%
By 2040
423,476 · +7.5%
By 2050
435,137 · +10.4%
By 2075
450,293 · +14.3%
By 2100
424,101 · +7.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -217.71%
Current HPI
228.1539
Rent YoY
▲ 7.64%
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+93.6% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $335,000 IRMLS
  • 2026-05-25 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $339,900 IRMLS
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $349,900 IRMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Coming Soon $349,900 IRMLS
  • 2020-06-30 Listed $249,800 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-30 Sold (MLS) $241,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-19 Sold (MLS) $241,000 IRMLS
  • 2020-04-30 Listed $249,800 IRMLS
  • 2017-07-03 Sold (MLS) $179,900 IRMLS
  • 2017-05-19 Listed $179,900 IRMLS
  • 2015-10-17 Sold (MLS) $169,900 IRMLS
  • 2015-08-26 Listed $169,900 IRMLS
  • 2014-05-02 Listed $173,000 IRMLS

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,190 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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