Fourplex
2263 S Park Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$274,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
FOR SALE: Amazing investment opportunity! 4-Units in high-demand South Buffalo with ample street and off-street parking, including 2.5 car garage! Located steps to public transportation, Aarons Shopping Plaza, and short drive to Downtown Buffalo. Property features full attic and basement, updated electrical, and many replacement windows. With some TLC, this could be a major money-maker!
Key facts
- Versatile layout
- Vinyl flooring
- Attic space
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Four total rental units
- Financial info: Owner pays water; Rent includes water; Property operates as a 4-unit building with separate gas and electric meters for each unit; Operating expenses include water/sewer
Exterior
- Parking: Two or more off-street parking spaces
- Utilities: Electricity available; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story multifamily property; Existing (resale) condition
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Irregular residential lot with 40 x 130 dimensions; Near public transit; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Units feature dining area with kitchen or dining area with living room configurations
- Bedrooms: Four total units with unit mixes: one 1-bedroom, two 1-bedroom (one with den/family room), one 2-bedroom, and one 3-bedroom
- Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies by unit
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms (one per unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Natural woodwork; Hardwood, vinyl, and varied flooring throughout; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 7-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($52k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $275k).
- Cap rate 25.3% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,573/mo this rent would consume 128% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 602% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.6% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $275k implies a 235% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 68.02%
- DSCR
- 4.03
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 72.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.51×
- Total profit
- $270,119
- Equity at exit
- $40,988
- IRR
- 77.5%
- Equity multiple
- 10.86×
- Total profit
- $759,138
- Equity at exit
- $23,768
Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14220
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.6%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,573 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $762/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,590
- Net cashflow
- $4,363
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4,519 | -5% $4,441 | +0% $4,363 | +5% $4,285 | +10% $4,207 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,765 | -5% $4,064 | +0% $4,363 | +5% $4,662 | +10% $4,961 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4,501 | -0.5pp $4,433 | base $4,363 | +0.5pp $4,292 | +1.0pp $4,219 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 7 | 4 | $7,572 |
| #1 | 7 | 4 | $1,893 |
| #2 | 7 | 4 | $1,893 |
| #3 | 7 | 4 | $1,893 |
| #4 | 7 | 4 | $1,893 |
| Total (4 units) | $7,573 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,725
- Closing costs
- $8,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $274,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $274,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-16$274,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $762 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,704 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,942/yr (+$162/mo · 254.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $90,876
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,399
- − Property taxes
- −$762
- − Insurance
- −$1,374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,270
- − Management
- −$7,270
- − Depreciation
- −$7,997
- Taxable income
- $50,803
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$12,193
- After-tax cash flow
- $40,163/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,428
- Household income
- $70,963
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 602.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Lithuanian 1% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.29%
- Current HPI
- 402.5053
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.62%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+271.5% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $274,900 WNYREIS
- 2020-01-29 Sold (MLS) $82,000 WNYREIS
- 2019-12-06 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2019-11-10 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2019-10-15 Price Changed $119,900 WNYREIS
- 2019-09-21 Listed $125,900 WNYREIS
- 2019-08-20 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2019-06-04 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2019-03-24 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2019-03-12 Contingent — WNYREIS
- 2019-02-21 Listed $129,900 WNYREIS
- 2013-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $111,000 Public Records
- 2013-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
- 2013-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2012-06-11 Listed $425 WNYREIS
- 2012-06-08 Listed $575 WNYREIS
- 1997-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $762 · -5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…