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2025 Emma Dr
B+ Composite 77.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$379,900

2025 Emma Dr · Tool, TX 75143
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,901 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 90 Days on market
Built 2007 0.59 ac lot $200/sqft · 20% below area Est $475k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

At the end of a quiet channel on Cedar Creek Lake, this 2007 brick-and-stone home sits on two lots totaling over half an acre with 86 feet of shoreline. The single-level layout offers approximately 1,901 square feet with three bedrooms, two baths, and an attached two-car garage. Vaulted ceilings and a wood-burning stone fireplace anchor the open living area, while the kitchen features granite countertops and tile flooring typical of its era. The primary suite includes a large walk-in shower and a private door to the back porch. Outdoors, a deep semi-covered porch overlooks the water, and the shared oversized boat dock with lift is ready for future repairs. A boat may convey with the sale. Public water, sewer and electric service the property; deed restrictions apply in Cypress Cove but there are no HOA fees. Some cosmetic updates are needed, including tile repairs, yet the east-facing orientation and sunrise views underscore the home’s potential. Ideal for weekend lake-goers or investors looking for a waterfront setting that balances comfort with opportunity to add value.

Key facts

  • Brick and stone home
  • Over half an acre
  • Two lots

Tags

BRICK AND STONE HOMETWO LOTSOVER HALF AN ACRE86 FEET OF SHORELINESINGLE LEVEL LAYOUTWOOD BURNING STONE FIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $380k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($50k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $380k).
  • Recommended offer: $357k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 2.8% in Tool — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#651 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Malakoff ISD (town): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #187 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 440 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 263 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $106k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($357k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $357,106 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.24%
Cap rate
19.51%
Cash-on-cash
47.21%
DSCR
3.10
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$474,655
List price
$379,900
Delta
-19.96%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1208 Atoll Ct 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,807 (-5%) 0mo $600,000 $332 75
1708 S Tool Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,980 (+4%) 6mo $179,999 $91 73
317 Sundown Trl 0.14mi 3/3.0 2,076 (+9%) 9mo $849,500 $409 67
2012 Island Cir 0.39mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,996 (+5%) 11mo $649,500 $325 59
1007 Maloma Ct 0.72mi 3/2.5 1,900 (-0%) 7mo $350,000 $184 59
829 Maloma Rd 0.71mi 3/2.5 1,900 (-0%) 8mo $350,000 $184 58
2112 Leyte Dr 0.43mi 3/3.0 1,688 (-11%) 1mo $209,000 $124 56
1717 Luau Ct 0.40mi 3/3.5 2,013 (+6%) 12mo $599,000 $298 55
1096 Tupuna Ct 0.70mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,872 (-2%) 8mo $324,900 $174 51
107 Tanglewood Dr 0.36mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,720 (-10%) 11mo $230,000 $134 49
2312 Driftwood Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 2,047 (+8%) 11mo $574,999 $281 44
1805 Oak Shore Dr 0.71mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,649 (-13%) 6mo $539,000 $327 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.6%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$205,072
Equity at exit
$56,644
10-year hold
IRR
50.5%
Equity multiple
5.91×
Total profit
$522,116
Equity at exit
$32,847

Cash invested: $106,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75143

Home prices YoY
-11.4%
Active inventory
440
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$8,514 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,992
Tax from tax record
$390 /mo · $4,684/yr
Insurance
$158
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,788
Net cashflow
$4,185

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,216
Max offer price $379,900
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $4,400 -5% $4,293 +0% $4,185 +5% $4,078 +10% $3,970
Rent -10% $3,513 -5% $3,849 +0% $4,185 +5% $4,521 +10% $4,858
Rate -1.0pp $4,376 -0.5pp $4,282 base $4,185 +0.5pp $4,087 +1.0pp $3,987

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$94,975
Closing costs
$11,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1012 Chestnut Dr Unit 1301590P Tool, TX 3.0 2.0 1894 $8,514 $4.50 44d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $379,900 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $379,900 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $379,900 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $379,900 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $379,900 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $379,900 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $379,900 Active 83 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $379,900 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $379,900 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $379,900 Active 78 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $379,900 Active 73 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $379,900 Active 72 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $379,900 Active 71 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $379,900 Active 70 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    price $379,900 1094-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1088 chars)

    At the end of a quiet channel on Cedar Creek Lake, this 2007 brick-and-stone home sits on two lots totaling over half an acre with 86 feet of shoreline. The single-level layout offers approximately 1,901 square feet with three bedrooms, two baths, and an attached two-car garage. Vaulted ceilings and a wood-burning stone fireplace anchor the open living area, while the kitchen features granite countertops and tile flooring typical of its era. The primary suite includes a large walk-in shower and a private door to the back porch. Outdoors, a deep semi-covered porch overlooks the water, and the shared oversized boat dock with lift is ready for future repairs. A boat may convey with the sale. Public water, sewer and electric service the property; deed restrictions apply in Cypress Cove but there are no HOA fees. Some cosmetic updates are needed, including tile repairs, yet the east-facing orientation and sunrise views underscore the home's potential. Ideal for weekend lake-goers or investors looking for a waterfront setting that balances comfort with opportunity to add value.

  16. 2026-05-14
    price $379,900 1088-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1088 chars)

    At the end of a quiet channel on Cedar Creek Lake, this 2007 brick-and-stone home sits on two lots totaling over half an acre with 86 feet of shoreline. The single-level layout offers approximately 1,901 square feet with three bedrooms, two baths, and an attached two-car garage. Vaulted ceilings and a wood-burning stone fireplace anchor the open living area, while the kitchen features granite countertops and tile flooring typical of its era. The primary suite includes a large walk-in shower and a private door to the back porch. Outdoors, a deep semi-covered porch overlooks the water, and the shared oversized boat dock with lift is ready for future repairs. A boat may convey with the sale. Public water, sewer and electric service the property; deed restrictions apply in Cypress Cove but there are no HOA fees. Some cosmetic updates are needed, including tile repairs, yet the east-facing orientation and sunrise views underscore the home's potential. Ideal for weekend lake-goers or investors looking for a waterfront setting that balances comfort with opportunity to add value.

  17. 2026-03-24
    listed $395,000 Active 1088-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1088 chars)

    At the end of a quiet channel on Cedar Creek Lake, this 2007 brick-and-stone home sits on two lots totaling over half an acre with 86 feet of shoreline. The single-level layout offers approximately 1,901 square feet with three bedrooms, two baths, and an attached two-car garage. Vaulted ceilings and a wood-burning stone fireplace anchor the open living area, while the kitchen features granite countertops and tile flooring typical of its era. The primary suite includes a large walk-in shower and a private door to the back porch. Outdoors, a deep semi-covered porch overlooks the water, and the shared oversized boat dock with lift is ready for future repairs. A boat may convey with the sale. Public water, sewer and electric service the property; deed restrictions apply in Cypress Cove but there are no HOA fees. Some cosmetic updates are needed, including tile repairs, yet the east-facing orientation and sunrise views underscore the home's potential. Ideal for weekend lake-goers or investors looking for a waterfront setting that balances comfort with opportunity to add value.

  18. 2026-03-21
    listed $395,000 Active 1094-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1094 chars)

    At the end of a quiet channel on Cedar Creek Lake, this 2007 brick-and-stone home sits on two lots totaling over half an acre with 86 feet of shoreline. The single-level layout offers approximately 1,901 square feet with three bedrooms, two baths, and an attached two-car garage. Vaulted ceilings and a wood-burning stone fireplace anchor the open living area, while the kitchen features granite countertops and tile flooring typical of its era. The primary suite includes a large walk-in shower and a private door to the back porch. Outdoors, a deep semi-covered porch overlooks the water, and the shared oversized boat dock with lift is ready for future repairs. A boat may convey with the sale. Public water, sewer and electric service the property; deed restrictions apply in Cypress Cove but there are no HOA fees. Some cosmetic updates are needed, including tile repairs, yet the east-facing orientation and sunrise views underscore the home’s potential. Ideal for weekend lake-goers or investors looking for a waterfront setting that balances comfort with opportunity to add value.

  19. 2007-09-20
    soldstatus
  20. 2007-08-31
    soldstatus
  21. 2007-08-23
    historical
  22. 2007-06-09
    listed $189,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,684 · $390/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,952 · $579/mo
Expected delta
+$2,268/yr (+$189/mo · 48.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$102,168
− Mortgage interest
−$21,280
− Property taxes
−$4,684
− Insurance
−$1,900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$8,173
− Management
−$8,173
− Depreciation
−$11,052
Taxable income
$46,905
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$11,257
After-tax cash flow
$38,965/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Malakoff ISD
NCES district ID
4828780
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,970
Composite
42.54/100
National rank
#3200
State rank
#187 of 826 in TX

Livability — Tool

Score
66/100
State rank
#651
US rank
#12292

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tool, TX
Population (ZIP)
14,676

Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,471 people
By 2030
80,608 · +0.2%
By 2040
80,087 · -0.5%
By 2050
78,208 · -2.8%
By 2075
72,423 · -10.0%
By 2100
61,012 · -24.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Henderson

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.5) · D 18.0% · R 81.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -63.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.5 2020: R+60.2 2016: R+60.0 2012: R+54.8 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.99%
Current HPI
332.57
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $379,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $379,900 HCBOR
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $395,000 HCBOR
  • 2026-03-21 Listed $395,000 NTREIS
  • 2007-09-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-08-31 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2007-08-23 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2007-06-09 Listed $189,900 NTREIS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,684 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…