2025 Emma Dr · Tool, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 60.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$379,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
At the end of a quiet channel on Cedar Creek Lake, this 2007 brick-and-stone home sits on two lots totaling over half an acre with 86 feet of shoreline. The single-level layout offers approximately 1,901 square feet with three bedrooms, two baths, and an attached two-car garage. Vaulted ceilings and a wood-burning stone fireplace anchor the open living area, while the kitchen features granite countertops and tile flooring typical of its era. The primary suite includes a large walk-in shower and a private door to the back porch. Outdoors, a deep semi-covered porch overlooks the water, and the shared oversized boat dock with lift is ready for future repairs. A boat may convey with the sale. Public water, sewer and electric service the property; deed restrictions apply in Cypress Cove but there are no HOA fees. Some cosmetic updates are needed, including tile repairs, yet the east-facing orientation and sunrise views underscore the home’s potential. Ideal for weekend lake-goers or investors looking for a waterfront setting that balances comfort with opportunity to add value.
Key facts
- Brick and stone home
- Over half an acre
- Two lots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $380k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($50k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $380k).
- Recommended offer: $357k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 2.8% in Tool — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#651 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Malakoff ISD (town): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #187 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 440 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 263 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $106k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($357k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.21%
- DSCR
- 3.10
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $474,655
- List price
- $379,900
- Delta
- -19.96%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1208 Atoll Ct | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,807 (-5%) | 0mo | $600,000 | $332 | 75 |
| 1708 S Tool Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,980 (+4%) | 6mo | $179,999 | $91 | 73 |
| 317 Sundown Trl | 0.14mi | 3/3.0 | 2,076 (+9%) | 9mo | $849,500 | $409 | 67 |
| 2012 Island Cir | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,996 (+5%) | 11mo | $649,500 | $325 | 59 |
| 1007 Maloma Ct | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,900 (-0%) | 7mo | $350,000 | $184 | 59 |
| 829 Maloma Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 | 1,900 (-0%) | 8mo | $350,000 | $184 | 58 |
| 2112 Leyte Dr | 0.43mi | 3/3.0 | 1,688 (-11%) | 1mo | $209,000 | $124 | 56 |
| 1717 Luau Ct | 0.40mi | 3/3.5 | 2,013 (+6%) | 12mo | $599,000 | $298 | 55 |
| 1096 Tupuna Ct | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,872 (-2%) | 8mo | $324,900 | $174 | 51 |
| 107 Tanglewood Dr | 0.36mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,720 (-10%) | 11mo | $230,000 | $134 | 49 |
| 2312 Driftwood Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 2,047 (+8%) | 11mo | $574,999 | $281 | 44 |
| 1805 Oak Shore Dr | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,649 (-13%) | 6mo | $539,000 | $327 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $205,072
- Equity at exit
- $56,644
- IRR
- 50.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.91×
- Total profit
- $522,116
- Equity at exit
- $32,847
Cash invested: $106,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75143
- Home prices YoY
- -11.4%
- Active inventory
- 440
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,514 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,992
- Tax from tax record
- −$390 /mo · $4,684/yr
- Insurance
- −$158
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,788
- Net cashflow
- $4,185
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4,400 | -5% $4,293 | +0% $4,185 | +5% $4,078 | +10% $3,970 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,513 | -5% $3,849 | +0% $4,185 | +5% $4,521 | +10% $4,858 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4,376 | -0.5pp $4,282 | base $4,185 | +0.5pp $4,087 | +1.0pp $3,987 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $94,975
- Closing costs
- $11,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1012 Chestnut Dr Unit 1301590P Tool, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1894 | $8,514 | $4.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $379,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $379,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $379,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $379,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $379,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $379,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $379,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $379,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $379,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $379,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $379,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $379,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $379,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $379,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $379,900 1094-char remark
Show marketing remark (1088 chars)
At the end of a quiet channel on Cedar Creek Lake, this 2007 brick-and-stone home sits on two lots totaling over half an acre with 86 feet of shoreline. The single-level layout offers approximately 1,901 square feet with three bedrooms, two baths, and an attached two-car garage. Vaulted ceilings and a wood-burning stone fireplace anchor the open living area, while the kitchen features granite countertops and tile flooring typical of its era. The primary suite includes a large walk-in shower and a private door to the back porch. Outdoors, a deep semi-covered porch overlooks the water, and the shared oversized boat dock with lift is ready for future repairs. A boat may convey with the sale. Public water, sewer and electric service the property; deed restrictions apply in Cypress Cove but there are no HOA fees. Some cosmetic updates are needed, including tile repairs, yet the east-facing orientation and sunrise views underscore the home's potential. Ideal for weekend lake-goers or investors looking for a waterfront setting that balances comfort with opportunity to add value.
-
2026-05-14price $379,900 1088-char remark
Show marketing remark (1088 chars)
At the end of a quiet channel on Cedar Creek Lake, this 2007 brick-and-stone home sits on two lots totaling over half an acre with 86 feet of shoreline. The single-level layout offers approximately 1,901 square feet with three bedrooms, two baths, and an attached two-car garage. Vaulted ceilings and a wood-burning stone fireplace anchor the open living area, while the kitchen features granite countertops and tile flooring typical of its era. The primary suite includes a large walk-in shower and a private door to the back porch. Outdoors, a deep semi-covered porch overlooks the water, and the shared oversized boat dock with lift is ready for future repairs. A boat may convey with the sale. Public water, sewer and electric service the property; deed restrictions apply in Cypress Cove but there are no HOA fees. Some cosmetic updates are needed, including tile repairs, yet the east-facing orientation and sunrise views underscore the home's potential. Ideal for weekend lake-goers or investors looking for a waterfront setting that balances comfort with opportunity to add value.
-
2026-03-24$395,000 Active 1088-char remark
Show marketing remark (1088 chars)
At the end of a quiet channel on Cedar Creek Lake, this 2007 brick-and-stone home sits on two lots totaling over half an acre with 86 feet of shoreline. The single-level layout offers approximately 1,901 square feet with three bedrooms, two baths, and an attached two-car garage. Vaulted ceilings and a wood-burning stone fireplace anchor the open living area, while the kitchen features granite countertops and tile flooring typical of its era. The primary suite includes a large walk-in shower and a private door to the back porch. Outdoors, a deep semi-covered porch overlooks the water, and the shared oversized boat dock with lift is ready for future repairs. A boat may convey with the sale. Public water, sewer and electric service the property; deed restrictions apply in Cypress Cove but there are no HOA fees. Some cosmetic updates are needed, including tile repairs, yet the east-facing orientation and sunrise views underscore the home's potential. Ideal for weekend lake-goers or investors looking for a waterfront setting that balances comfort with opportunity to add value.
-
2026-03-21$395,000 Active 1094-char remark
Show marketing remark (1094 chars)
At the end of a quiet channel on Cedar Creek Lake, this 2007 brick-and-stone home sits on two lots totaling over half an acre with 86 feet of shoreline. The single-level layout offers approximately 1,901 square feet with three bedrooms, two baths, and an attached two-car garage. Vaulted ceilings and a wood-burning stone fireplace anchor the open living area, while the kitchen features granite countertops and tile flooring typical of its era. The primary suite includes a large walk-in shower and a private door to the back porch. Outdoors, a deep semi-covered porch overlooks the water, and the shared oversized boat dock with lift is ready for future repairs. A boat may convey with the sale. Public water, sewer and electric service the property; deed restrictions apply in Cypress Cove but there are no HOA fees. Some cosmetic updates are needed, including tile repairs, yet the east-facing orientation and sunrise views underscore the home’s potential. Ideal for weekend lake-goers or investors looking for a waterfront setting that balances comfort with opportunity to add value.
-
2007-09-20soldstatus
-
2007-08-31soldstatus
-
2007-08-23historical
-
2007-06-09$189,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,684 · $390/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,952 · $579/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,268/yr (+$189/mo · 48.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $102,168
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,280
- − Property taxes
- −$4,684
- − Insurance
- −$1,900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,173
- − Management
- −$8,173
- − Depreciation
- −$11,052
- Taxable income
- $46,905
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$11,257
- After-tax cash flow
- $38,965/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Malakoff ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828780
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,970
- Composite
- 42.54/100
- National rank
- #3200
- State rank
- #187 of 826 in TX
Livability — Tool
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #651
- US rank
- #12292
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tool, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,676
Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,471 people
- By 2030
- 80,608 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 80,087 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 78,208 · -2.8%
- By 2075
- 72,423 · -10.0%
- By 2100
- 61,012 · -24.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Henderson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.5) · D 18.0% · R 81.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -63.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.5 2020: R+60.2 2016: R+60.0 2012: R+54.8 2008: R+44.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.99%
- Current HPI
- 332.57
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+100.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $379,900 NTREIS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $379,900 HCBOR
- 2026-03-24 Listed $395,000 HCBOR
- 2026-03-21 Listed $395,000 NTREIS
- 2007-09-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-08-31 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2007-08-23 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2007-06-09 Listed $189,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,684 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…