4426 Strickland Dr · Owensboro, KY 42301

$165,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,001 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1990 4,370 sqft lot Est $172k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.0/30.0
• ARV discount +9.4/15.0
• DSCR +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• 1% rule +3.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Great location on this patio home. Home features a replaced roof in 2016, freshly painted interior, and privacy fenced backyard with large storage building. This home has a very convenient location that gives you quick access to downtown Owensboro, South Frederica Street, and the growing Hwy 54 corridor.

Key facts

• 4,370 sq ft lot
• Built 1990

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Located in the WindSong subdivision
• Financial info:
• HOA & community:

Exterior

• Parking:
• Security:
• Utilities: Natural gas available; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; 1 story
• Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Slab foundation; Built area above grade approximately 1,000
• Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms:
• Flooring: Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heating present
• Interior features: Gas water heater; Vinyl flooring
• Laundry & utility:

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($256/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (19.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $134k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.1% in Owensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#148 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
• Daviess County (suburban): math 33% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #43 of 165 in KY (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: F T Burns Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #348 of 676 statewide, top 55%, 479 students, 74% FRL); F T Burns Middle School (math 23% / reading 40%, grade F, #125 of 217 statewide, top 63%, 710 students, 67% FRL); Apollo High School (math 33% / reading 34%, grade F, #92 of 254 statewide, top 36%, 1,440 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 42% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 297 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 226 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $91k; list at $165k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $133,689 (19.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.81% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.45%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.55%
• DSCR: 1.02
• GRM: 10.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $172,172
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4406 Strickland Dr	0.04mi	3/2.0	968 (-3%)	8mo	$165,000	$170	86
2500 Haviland Dr	0.08mi	2/2.0 (-1)	975 (-3%)	1mo	$176,000	$181	86
2422 Haviland Dr	0.13mi	2/2.0 (-1)	975 (-3%)	2mo	$175,000	$179	83
2427 Latrobe Ave	0.27mi	3/2.0	1,028 (+3%)	1mo	$200,000	$195	82
4555 Cove Pointe	0.30mi	3/1.0	1,015 (+1%)	6mo	$160,000	$158	75
2517 Latrobe Ave	0.28mi	3/1.5	1,044 (+4%)	4mo	$180,000	$172	74
2436 Strickland Dr	0.18mi	3/1.5	1,044 (+4%)	10mo	$171,500	$164	74
4410 Strickland Dr	0.03mi	2/2.0 (-1)	888 (-11%)	9mo	$165,000	$186	67
4321 Mcintire Xing	0.26mi	2/1.0 (-1)	960 (-4%)	7mo	$155,500	$162	66
2501 Strickland Dr	0.20mi	3/1.0	1,126 (+12%)	8mo	$190,000	$169	59
4474 Strickland Dr	0.09mi	2/1.0 (-1)	873 (-13%)	10mo	$145,000	$166	57
3838 Rudy Martin Dr	0.61mi	3/1.0	925 (-8%)	9mo	$166,000	$179	48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.45×
• Total profit: $-25,421
• Equity at exit: $24,602

10-year hold

• IRR: -7.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.55×
• Total profit: $-20,566
• Equity at exit: $14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kentucky: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 42301

• Home prices YoY: -31.0%
• Active inventory: 297
• Price-to-rent: 10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,337 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$865
• Tax from tax record: −$101 /mo · $1,209/yr
• Insurance: −$69
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$281
• Net cashflow: $21

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,310

Max offer price $165,000

Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $41,250
• Closing costs: $4,950
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2100 Tamarack Rd Unit 4A Owensboro, KY	2.0	1.0	800	$795	$0.99	44d	1	1.11mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-07
   status $165,000 Pending 1 DOM
2. 2026-06-05
   listed $165,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,209 · $101/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,419 · $118/mo
• Expected delta: +$210/yr (+$17/mo · 17.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,043
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,243
• − Property taxes: −$1,209
• − Insurance: −$825
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,283
• − Management: −$1,283
• − Depreciation: −$4,800
• Taxable loss: −$2,601
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$624
• After-tax cash flow: $880/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Daviess County
• NCES district ID: 2101470
• Math proficiency: 33% ▼ -17.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -16.00%
• Median HH income: $52,303
• Composite: 32.2/100
• National rank: #5778
• State rank: #43 of 165 in KY

Livability — Owensboro

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #148
• US rank: #7153

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Owensboro, KY
• County: Daviess County · 87,564 people
• City population: 87,564
• Metro: Owensboro, KY
• Population (ZIP): 45,445
• Household income: $66,885
• Rent vs Own: 37.0% rent · 63.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1228.0

Population outlook (Daviess County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 103,810 people
• By 2030: 105,722 · +1.8%
• By 2040: 108,731 · +4.7%
• By 2050: 110,295 · +6.2%
• By 2075: 113,056 · +8.9%
• By 2100: 106,257 · +2.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, Philippines
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Daviess

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.3% · R 65.2% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -31.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.9 2020: R+27.9 2016: R+32.2 2012: R+21.1 2008: R+10.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -106.96%
• Current HPI: 238.2395
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Owensboro, KY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.81%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$118B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$7B

Price history

+106.5% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-04 Listed $165,000 GORAMLS
• 2018-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
• 2018-12-04 Sold (MLS) $91,000 GORAMLS
• 2018-09-22 Listed $94,900 GORAMLS
• 2013-07-17 Sold (MLS) $74,450 GORAMLS
• 2013-04-03 Listed $79,900 GORAMLS

Property tax history

-5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,209 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.