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4414 S Martin Luther King JR Blvd
B Composite 71.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,999

4414 S Martin Luther King JR Blvd · Lansing, MI 48910
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,592 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 149 Days on market
Built 1910 0.46 ac lot $75/sqft · 18% below area Est $146k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 4414 S Martin Luther King this 2-unit Property offers Main floor with a full kitchen, full bathroom and 3-4 bedrooms. There isa huge 2-3 car attached garage with the property. Huge backyard great for kids and pets. Lots of parking. Property has a newer furnace, oversized water heater and new electric heat on the second floor apartment. Upstairs unit is also set up for a 2-unit rental with 1bedroom live in one and make money from the other one. F-Commercial Zoning- has been used as 2 units but could be converted back to1 unit.

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Full kitchen
  • Full bathroom

Tags

FULL KITCHENFULL BATHROOMHUGE BACKYARDNEW FURNACEOVERSIZED WATER HEATERNEW ELECTRIC HEAT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 6.0% in Lansing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Lansing Public School District (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #650 of 760 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 27 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $100k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,599 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
9.24%
Cash-on-cash
10.53%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$145,968
List price
$119,999
Delta
-17.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1729 Reo Rd 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,627 (+2%) 2mo $184,900 $114 75
4916 Tressa Dr 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,683 (+6%) 5mo $145,000 $86 67
4907 Burchfield Ave 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,437 (-10%) 3mo $140,000 $97 64
4926 Burchfield Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,452 (-9%) 3mo $183,000 $126 63
1904 Hillcrest St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,514 (-5%) 2mo $155,000 $102 61
4407 Burchfield Ave 0.25mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,804 (+13%) 5mo $125,000 $69 57
5221 Tulip Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,501 (-6%) 4mo $172,000 $115 55
3430 Palmer St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,560 (-2%) 3mo $170,000 $109 55
3437 Harold St 0.67mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,504 (-6%) 5mo $153,500 $102 50
2010 Ferrol St 0.71mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,472 (-8%) 4mo $170,000 $115 46
825 Ferley St 0.64mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,426 (-10%) 5mo $184,000 $129 41
4613 Stafford Ave 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,378 (-13%) 5mo $155,000 $112 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$2,593
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
2.20×
Total profit
$40,254
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48910

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
175
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,755 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$413 /mo · $4,952/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$369
Net cashflow
$295

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,382
Max offer price $119,999
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $363 -5% $329 +0% $295 +5% $261 +10% $227
Rent -10% $156 -5% $225 +0% $295 +5% $364 +10% $434
Rate -1.0pp $355 -0.5pp $325 base $295 +0.5pp $264 +1.0pp $232

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2612 Fielding Dr Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,095 $1.00 45d 1 0.99mi
3021 Midwood St Lansing, MI 4.0 2.0 2060 $2,495 $1.21 45d 1 1.32mi
2528 Forest Ave Lansing, MI 4.0 1.0 1175 $1,699 $1.45 45d 1 1.38mi
4106 Stillwell Ave Lansing, MI 3.0 1.5 1127 $2,100 $1.86 22d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,999 Active 149 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,999 Active 146 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,999 Active 145 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,999 Active 144 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,999 Active 143 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,999 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,999 Active 140 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,999 Active 138 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,999 Active 137 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,999 Active 136 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,999 Active 135 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,999 Active 132 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,999 Active 131 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,999 Active 130 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,999 Active 129 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,999 Active 128 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,999 Active 127 DOM
  18. 2026-02-05
    historical
  19. 2026-01-26
    listed $119,999 Active
    Show marketing remark (542 chars)

    Welcome to 4414 S Martin Luther King this 2-unit Property offers Main floor with a full kitchen, full bathroom and 3-4 bedrooms. There isa huge 2-3 car attached garage with the property. Huge backyard great for kids and pets. Lots of parking. Property has a newer furnace, oversized water heater and new electric heat on the second floor apartment. Upstairs unit is also set up for a 2-unit rental with 1bedroom live in one and make money from the other one. F-Commercial Zoning- has been used as 2 units but could be converted back to1 unit.

  20. 2026-01-26
    listed $119,999 Active 542-char remark
    Show marketing remark (542 chars)

    Welcome to 4414 S Martin Luther King this 2-unit Property offers Main floor with a full kitchen, full bathroom and 3-4 bedrooms. There isa huge 2-3 car attached garage with the property. Huge backyard great for kids and pets. Lots of parking. Property has a newer furnace, oversized water heater and new electric heat on the second floor apartment. Upstairs unit is also set up for a 2-unit rental with 1bedroom live in one and make money from the other one. F-Commercial Zoning- has been used as 2 units but could be converted back to1 unit.

  21. 2026-01-23
    listed $119,999 Active
  22. 2026-01-23
    historical
  23. 2026-01-23
    listed $119,999 Active
  24. 2026-01-23
    historical
  25. 2026-01-22
    historical
  26. 2026-01-22
    historical
  27. 2026-01-20
    listed $119,999 Active
  28. 2026-01-20
    listed $119,999 Active
  29. 2025-07-07
    price $119,999
  30. 2025-07-07
    price $119,999
  31. 2025-03-04
    status Active
  32. 2025-03-03
    historical
  33. 2025-01-02
    status Active
  34. 2025-01-02
    status Active
  35. 2024-12-16
    historical
  36. 2024-12-16
    historical
  37. 2024-08-28
    listed $139,999 Active
  38. 2024-08-28
    listed $139,999 Active
  39. 2024-08-28
    historical
  40. 2024-08-28
    historical
  41. 2024-08-28
    historical
  42. 2024-04-14
    listed $139,999 Active
  43. 2024-04-14
    listed $139,999 Active
  44. 2024-04-12
    historical
  45. 2024-04-12
    historical
  46. 2024-04-12
    listed $139,999 Active
  47. 2022-09-16
    soldstatus $100,000
  48. 2022-04-13
    historical
  49. 2022-02-02
    historical
  50. 2022-02-02
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,952 · $413/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,952 · $413/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,066
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$4,952
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,685
− Management
−$1,685
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$1,930
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$463
After-tax cash flow
$3,075/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lansing Public School District
NCES district ID
2621150
Math proficiency
14% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$37,453
Composite
18.76/100
National rank
#14002
State rank
#650 of 760 in MI

Livability — Lansing

Score
79/100
State rank
#94
US rank
#2182

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lansing, MI
County
Ingham County · 237,052 people
City population
161,269
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,800
Household income
$54,712
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1305.0

Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
300,362 people
By 2030
307,808 · +2.5%
By 2040
320,492 · +6.7%
By 2050
333,223 · +10.9%
By 2075
373,693 · +24.4%
By 2100
392,021 · +30.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ingham

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -211.82%
Current HPI
196.8087
Rent YoY
▲ 4.71%
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.9% since first listed
58 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $119,999 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $119,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $119,999 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $119,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $119,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $119,999 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-07 Price Changed $119,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-07 Price Changed $119,999 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-04 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-03 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-02 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-02 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-16 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-12-16 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-08-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-08-28 Listed $139,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-28 Listed $139,999 REALCOMP
  • 2024-04-14 Listed $139,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-04-14 Listed $139,999 REALCOMP
  • 2024-04-12 Coming Soon MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-04-12 Coming Soon REALCOMP
  • 2024-04-12 Listed $139,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2022-04-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-02-02 Listing Removed Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2022-02-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-13 Price Changed $119,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2021-12-12 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-06 Listed $139,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2021-12-06 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-11-24 Listing Removed Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2021-11-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-10-15 Listed $139,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2021-10-15 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-10-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-10-10 Listing Removed Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2021-08-02 Listed $134,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-08-02 Listed $134,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2021-05-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-05-13 Listing Removed Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2021-04-13 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-13 Listed $149,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2020-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2019-04-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-04-05 Listing Removed Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2018-10-05 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-10-05 Listed $64,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2018-08-30 Listing Removed Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2018-08-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-02-25 Listed $84,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2018-02-25 Listed $84,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,952 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…