129 S Main St · Sherburn, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$87,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a home with good space and location? This 2-story, 4-bedroom has a main-level bedroom, main floor laundry, and a good-sized lot for all your outdoor activities. The 3 upper-level bedrooms provide plenty of room for family or a home office. Plus, you're just minutes from downtown! Schedule a tour today and see why this home is perfect for you!
Key facts
- Good-sized lot
- Main-level bedroom
- Main floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $87k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $396 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#286 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Martin County West School District (rural): math 38% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #187 of 301 in MN (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Trimont Elementary (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #492 of 857 statewide, top 61%, 185 students, 48% FRL); Martin County West Junior High (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #188 of 258 statewide, top 73%, 95 students, 47% FRL); Martin County West Senior High (math 44% / reading 64%, grade C-, #87 of 471 statewide, top 22%, 224 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 28% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $601 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 319 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 319 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.53%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,194
- List price
- $87,000
- Delta
- -44.65%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $11,165
- Equity at exit
- $12,972
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $42,297
- Equity at exit
- $7,522
Cash invested: $24,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56171
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,258 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$456
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $396
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $446 | -5% $421 | +0% $396 | +5% $372 | +10% $347 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $297 | -5% $347 | +0% $396 | +5% $446 | +10% $496 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $440 | -0.5pp $419 | base $396 | +0.5pp $374 | +1.0pp $351 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,750
- Closing costs
- $2,610
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
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2026-06-21days on market $87,000 Active 319 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $87,000 Active 318 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $87,000 Active 316 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $87,000 Active 315 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $87,000 Active 314 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $87,000 Active 313 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $87,000 Active 311 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $87,000 Active 310 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $87,000 Active 307 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $87,000 Active 306 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $87,000 Active 305 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $87,000 Active 303 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $87,000 Active 301 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $87,000 Active 300 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $87,000 Active 299 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $87,000 Active 298 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $87,000 Active 297 DOM
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2026-04-23price $87,000 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Looking for a home with good space and location? This 2-story, 4-bedroom has a main-level bedroom, main floor laundry, and a good-sized lot for all your outdoor activities. The 3 upper-level bedrooms provide plenty of room for family or a home office. Plus, you're just minutes from downtown! Schedule a tour today and see why this home is perfect for you!
-
2025-09-28price $97,000 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Looking for a home with good space and location? This 2-story, 4-bedroom has a main-level bedroom, main floor laundry, and a good-sized lot for all your outdoor activities. The 3 upper-level bedrooms provide plenty of room for family or a home office. Plus, you're just minutes from downtown! Schedule a tour today and see why this home is perfect for you!
-
2025-08-19price $99,500 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Looking for a home with good space and location? This 2-story, 4-bedroom has a main-level bedroom, main floor laundry, and a good-sized lot for all your outdoor activities. The 3 upper-level bedrooms provide plenty of room for family or a home office. Plus, you're just minutes from downtown! Schedule a tour today and see why this home is perfect for you!
-
2025-08-12price $103,000 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Looking for a home with good space and location? This 2-story, 4-bedroom has a main-level bedroom, main floor laundry, and a good-sized lot for all your outdoor activities. The 3 upper-level bedrooms provide plenty of room for family or a home office. Plus, you're just minutes from downtown! Schedule a tour today and see why this home is perfect for you!
-
2025-08-06$108,000 Active 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Looking for a home with good space and location? This 2-story, 4-bedroom has a main-level bedroom, main floor laundry, and a good-sized lot for all your outdoor activities. The 3 upper-level bedrooms provide plenty of room for family or a home office. Plus, you're just minutes from downtown! Schedule a tour today and see why this home is perfect for you!
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2022-03-31soldstatus $78,252
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2022-03-02soldstatus $78,250 Sold 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Traditional 2 story home, loaded with character, wood floors, 4 large bedrooms, 2 baths, formal dining, nice size rooms with 9 foot ceilings, newer siding, windows and roof, 100 amp service breakers, beautiful large shaded lot. The improvements make this property very affordable, average Gas Expense is $50.00 per month, average Electricity Expense is $20.00 per month, average Water Expense is $60.00.
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2022-02-17status Pending 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Traditional 2 story home, loaded with character, wood floors, 4 large bedrooms, 2 baths, formal dining, nice size rooms with 9 foot ceilings, newer siding, windows and roof, 100 amp service breakers, beautiful large shaded lot. The improvements make this property very affordable, average Gas Expense is $50.00 per month, average Electricity Expense is $20.00 per month, average Water Expense is $60.00.
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2022-02-08price $75,900 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Traditional 2 story home, loaded with character, wood floors, 4 large bedrooms, 2 baths, formal dining, nice size rooms with 9 foot ceilings, newer siding, windows and roof, 100 amp service breakers, beautiful large shaded lot. The improvements make this property very affordable, average Gas Expense is $50.00 per month, average Electricity Expense is $20.00 per month, average Water Expense is $60.00.
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2022-01-31price $92,500 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Traditional 2 story home, loaded with character, wood floors, 4 large bedrooms, 2 baths, formal dining, nice size rooms with 9 foot ceilings, newer siding, windows and roof, 100 amp service breakers, beautiful large shaded lot. The improvements make this property very affordable, average Gas Expense is $50.00 per month, average Electricity Expense is $20.00 per month, average Water Expense is $60.00.
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2021-12-05$95,000 Active 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Traditional 2 story home, loaded with character, wood floors, 4 large bedrooms, 2 baths, formal dining, nice size rooms with 9 foot ceilings, newer siding, windows and roof, 100 amp service breakers, beautiful large shaded lot. The improvements make this property very affordable, average Gas Expense is $50.00 per month, average Electricity Expense is $20.00 per month, average Water Expense is $60.00.
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2019-06-27soldstatus $44,500
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2019-06-26soldstatus $44,500 Sold
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2019-04-19status Pending
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2018-08-14$47,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,260 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,260 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,097
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,873
- − Property taxes
- −$1,260
- − Insurance
- −$435
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,208
- − Management
- −$1,208
- − Depreciation
- −$2,531
- Taxable income
- $3,582
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$860
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,897/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin County West School District
- NCES district ID
- 2718960
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,825
- Composite
- 37.66/100
- National rank
- #4369
- State rank
- #187 of 301 in MN
Livability — Sherburn
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #286
- US rank
- #6254
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sherburn, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,527
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,583 people
- By 2030
- 17,814 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 16,312 · -12.2%
- By 2050
- 15,021 · -19.2%
- By 2075
- 13,025 · -29.9%
- By 2100
- 11,311 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 11% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.5% · R 69.1% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.2pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.9 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.11%
- Current HPI
- 235.6561
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+83.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $87,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-28 Price Changed $97,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-19 Price Changed $99,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $103,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-06 Listed $108,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $78,252 Public Records
- 2022-03-02 Sold (MLS) $78,250 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-17 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-08 Price Changed $75,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-31 Price Changed $92,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-05 Listed $95,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $44,500 Public Records
- 2019-06-26 Sold (MLS) $44,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-19 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-14 Listed $47,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,260 · +37.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…