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220 S Marion St
B- Composite 67.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

220 S Marion St · Central City, IL 62801
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · Other public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1920 0.29 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome Home to 220 S. Marion Street! This ranch-style home features an attached 1 car garage and approximately 1,176 square feet! SOLD AS-IS. This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative though 10/28/25. Seller will not complete any repairs to the subject property, either lender or buyer requested. The property is sold in AS IS condition Taxes prorated at 100 precent. EM MUST BE CERTIFIED FUNDS. Info not guaranteed. Seller does not provide survey. Equal Housing Opportunity. AS-IS

Key facts

  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1920

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as about 1,176–1,191 (public records)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Single-phase electric service; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Lot features: Other; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 125

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Five total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $687 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#742 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Centralia Hsd 200 (town): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #668 of 919 in IL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Centralia High School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 863 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $37,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.15%
Cap rate
26.94%
Cash-on-cash
73.75%
DSCR
4.28
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
73.6%
Equity multiple
4.34×
Total profit
$37,303
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
77.4%
Equity multiple
8.96×
Total profit
$88,946
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62801

Home prices YoY
-13.9%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,256 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $960/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$687

Break-even live

Break-even rent $387
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 40%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,900 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,900 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $39,900 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,900 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $39,900 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,900 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,900 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 44 DOM
  16. 2026-04-16
    listed $39,900 Active
  17. 2026-03-27
    soldstatus Closed 510-char remark
    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Welcome Home to 220 S. Marion Street! This ranch-style home features an attached 1 car garage and approximately 1,176 square feet! SOLD AS-IS. This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative though 10/28/25. Seller will not complete any repairs to the subject property, either lender or buyer requested. The property is sold in AS IS condition Taxes prorated at 100 precent. EM MUST BE CERTIFIED FUNDS. Info not guaranteed. Seller does not provide survey. Equal Housing Opportunity. AS-IS

  18. 2025-12-05
    status Pending 510-char remark
    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Welcome Home to 220 S. Marion Street! This ranch-style home features an attached 1 car garage and approximately 1,176 square feet! SOLD AS-IS. This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative though 10/28/25. Seller will not complete any repairs to the subject property, either lender or buyer requested. The property is sold in AS IS condition Taxes prorated at 100 precent. EM MUST BE CERTIFIED FUNDS. Info not guaranteed. Seller does not provide survey. Equal Housing Opportunity. AS-IS

  19. 2025-10-15
    listed $1 Auction 510-char remark
    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Welcome Home to 220 S. Marion Street! This ranch-style home features an attached 1 car garage and approximately 1,176 square feet! SOLD AS-IS. This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative though 10/28/25. Seller will not complete any repairs to the subject property, either lender or buyer requested. The property is sold in AS IS condition Taxes prorated at 100 precent. EM MUST BE CERTIFIED FUNDS. Info not guaranteed. Seller does not provide survey. Equal Housing Opportunity. AS-IS

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$960 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$960 · $80/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,076
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$960
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,206
− Management
−$1,206
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$8,108
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,946
After-tax cash flow
$6,293/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Centralia Hsd 200
NCES district ID
1709300
Math proficiency
21% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$34,555
Composite
22.43/100
National rank
#13470
State rank
#668 of 919 in IL

Livability — Central City

Score
63/100
State rank
#742
US rank
#14968

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Central City, IL
Population (ZIP)
19,941

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,071 people
By 2030
34,598 · -4.1%
By 2040
31,754 · -12.0%
By 2050
28,912 · -19.8%
By 2075
22,527 · -37.5%
By 2100
16,455 · -54.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 11% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.5) · D 24.6% · R 74.1% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-47.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.0pp · 2024: -49.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.5 2020: R+46.6 2016: R+44.9 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+2.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.12%
Current HPI
211.3835
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $39,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-27 Sold (MLS) MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-05 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $1 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $960 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…