Multi-family
219 Walnut St · York, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity to add to an existing portfolio! Short walk to Downtown, and a block from the Revolution Stadium. Bring your tool box to address the rear unit. Low taxes makes this a very high cap rate potential for you. Call for more details.
Key facts
- Led lighting
- Two-unit
- Separate entrances
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property condition noted as below average; Total of 2 units, 2,122 finished square feet (estimated); 2 vacant units (Unit 1 and Unit 2)
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel driveway; 4 off-street spaces; On-street parking available (total of 4 garage/parking spaces listed)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Municipal trash
- Home design: End of row/townhouse; 2 stories; Fee simple ownership; Year remodeled/major update in 2022; Year built reported by assessor
- Construction: Stick-built construction with vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Double-pane replacement windows; Building not winterized
- Exterior features: Balcony; Patio(s); Above-grade other structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Tub/shower (full bathroom features listed)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Tub shower; Breakfast area; Ceiling fan(s); Combination kitchen/dining; Dining area; Eat-in kitchen with table space; Recessed lighting; Upgraded countertops; Full unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups only; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 5.0% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#427 in PA, #3,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, employment F.
- York City SD (urban): math 4% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #534 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: William Penn Shs (math 22% / reading 8%, grade F, #407 of 437 statewide, top 94%, 1,534 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 72% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $150k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.50%
- DSCR
- 2.40
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $190,980
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 820 E Market St | 0.71mi | 5/— | 2,150 (+1%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $77 | 64 |
| 708 E Philadelphia St | 0.60mi | 5/— | 2,220 (+5%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $79 | 62 |
| 22 W King St | 0.43mi | 5/4.0 | 2,276 (+7%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $94 | 56 |
| 104 E College Ave | 0.52mi | 4/— (-1) | 2,306 (+9%) | 1mo | $171,000 | $74 | 56 |
| 663 E Philadelphia St | 0.52mi | 5/— | 2,319 (+9%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $71 | 52 |
| 665 E Philadelphia St | 0.52mi | 4/— (-1) | 2,320 (+9%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $82 | 48 |
| 688 E Philadelphia St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,922 (-9%) | 12mo | $172,400 | $90 | 41 |
| 414 S George St | 0.68mi | 5/2.0 | 1,872 (-12%) | 10mo | $173,000 | $92 | 38 |
| 231 W Front St | 0.72mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,352 (+11%) | 11mo | $205,000 | $87 | 32 |
| 816 Latimer St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,869 (-12%) | 12mo | $179,900 | $96 | 32 |
| 215-217 Meade St | 0.75mi | 6/— (+1) | 2,392 (+13%) | 11mo | $289,900 | $121 | 30 |
| 831 E Market St | 0.72mi | 4/— (-1) | 2,406 (+13%) | 13mo | $240,000 | $100 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $49,874
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 36.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.59×
- Total profit
- $150,641
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17403
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 213
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,706 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$568
- Net cashflow
- $1,102
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,205 | -5% $1,154 | +0% $1,102 | +5% $1,050 | +10% $998 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $888 | -5% $995 | +0% $1,102 | +5% $1,209 | +10% $1,316 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,177 | -0.5pp $1,140 | base $1,102 | +0.5pp $1,063 | +1.0pp $1,023 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.5 | $2,706 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.5 | $1,353 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.5 | $1,353 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,706 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 339 E Market St Unit 1 York, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,650 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 631 Wallace St Unit 631 York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1545 | $1,325 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 720 Chestnut St Apt 2 York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 289 Union St York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 330 Smyser St York, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1634 | $1,425 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 213 Kurtz Ave York, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1921 | $1,850 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 119 W Jackson St York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,395 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 132 N West St York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1560 | $1,600 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 26 N West St York, PA | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $2,200 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 121 S Belvidere Ave Unit 121 York, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1846 | $1,450 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 709 W Princess St York, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1829 | $1,425 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18status $149,900 Pending 18 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 398-char remark
-
2026-05-31$149,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,472
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,598
- − Management
- −$2,598
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $11,521
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,765
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,457/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- York City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226820
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,470
- Composite
- 7.61/100
- National rank
- #9943
- State rank
- #534 of 539 in PA
Livability — York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #427
- US rank
- #3987
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- York, PA
- County
- York County · 278,806 people
- City population
- 184,764
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,287
- Household income
- $75,384
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.51%
- Current HPI
- 284.0731
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.43%
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+554.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-05-21 Sold (MLS) $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-04-08 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-03-18 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-03-18 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-03-18 Listed $39,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-03-18 Sold (MLS) $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-03-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-11-09 Listed $33,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-06-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-06-21 Sold (MLS) $19,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-12-07 Listed $22,900 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…