58 Barker St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Appreciation +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This inviting 3-bedroom colonial features a full bath and an additional toilet in the basement. Upstairs, you'll find all three bedrooms, while the large living room and dining room connect seamlessly to the kitchen. Major updates from 2019 include a new roof for the house and garage, plus a new furnace, hot water tank, and electrical panel, funded by a city grant. Enjoy a spacious sunroom, a sliding glass door from the dining room to the back deck, and a large 2-car detached garage. Delayed negations 5-12-26 11am.
Key facts
- New furnace
- New hot water tank
- Additional toilet
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with automatic door opener; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2 stories; Resale property; Rectangular lot; City street frontage
- Construction: Block foundation; Block, concrete and vinyl siding construction; Asphalt architectural shingle roof
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven and gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes living areas and sunroom)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Dining area; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Combined living/dining room; Sunroom/Florida room; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $528 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Joseph C Wilson Foundation Academy (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,049 of 2,108 statewide, top 98%, 404 students, 91% FRL); East Lower School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #715 of 729 statewide, top 98%, 304 students, 86% FRL); Edison Career And Technology High School (math 44% / reading 50%, grade D-, #1,007 of 1,100 statewide, top 93%, 1,233 students, 91% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,634/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 2168% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-2.9% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $61k; list at $125k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.10%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $148,043
- List price
- $124,900
- Delta
- -15.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122 Dakota St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-2%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $100 | 80 |
| 7 Maltby St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-2%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $129 | 80 |
| 1482 Jay St | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,242 (+1%) | 5mo | $169,900 | $137 | 78 |
| 6 Marlow St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,244 (+2%) | 5mo | $60,000 | $48 | 74 |
| 91 Independence St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,230 (+0%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $102 | 72 |
| 19 Garland Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,104 (-10%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $113 | 69 |
| 307 Hague St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,356 (+11%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $52 | 59 |
| 41 Klueh St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,167 (-5%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $69 | 56 |
| 385 Hague St | 0.44mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,365 (+11%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $88 | 54 |
| 823 Jay St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (+6%) | 3mo | $143,000 | $111 | 54 |
| 64 Lisbon St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,392 (+14%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $83 | 46 |
| 28 Cedar St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,395 (+14%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $65 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.93% appreciation · 6.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $19,412
- Equity at exit
- $19,005
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.45×
- Total profit
- $85,512
- Equity at exit
- $11,456
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14611
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,634 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $670/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $528
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $598 | -5% $563 | +0% $528 | +5% $492 | +10% $457 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $399 | -5% $463 | +0% $528 | +5% $592 | +10% $657 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $591 | -0.5pp $559 | base $528 | +0.5pp $495 | +1.0pp $462 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Wetmore Park Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,900 | $1.49 | 12d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 19 Garland Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 4d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 76 Dodge St Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,250 | $1.68 | 45d | 6 | 0.39mi |
| 257 Hague St Unit 257 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 802 Maple St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 710-712 Jay St Unit 3 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1252 | $895 | $0.71 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 136 Garfield St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 73 Somerset St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 629 Jay St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1193 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 85 Cameron St Unit B Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1138 | $1,650 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 25 Karnes St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1059 | $1,250 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 69 Angle St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 32 Stanton St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1390 | $1,500 | $1.08 | 12d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 658 Smith St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $1,500 | $1.53 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 190 Warwick Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 39 Parkway Apt 1 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 52 Lorimer St Unit 03 UP Rear Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 520-char remark
-
2026-04-28$124,900 Active 520-char remark
-
2016-12-07historical
-
2015-05-26$57,400 Active
-
1994-06-23soldstatus $61,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $670 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,390 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$720/yr (+$60/mo · 107.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,602
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$670
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,568
- − Management
- −$1,568
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $4,541
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,090
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,241/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,145
- Household income
- $31,376
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2168.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 14% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.93%
- Current HPI
- 262.1549
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.37%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+104.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $124,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-12-07 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2015-05-26 Listed $57,400 UNYREIS
- 1994-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $670 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…