1141 Lincoln Way · White Oak, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.8/30.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- ARV discount +5.2/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and comfortable, this 2 story home with a convenient location has a lot of nice updates. Kitchen including stainless steel GE appliances. Bath. Living room is spacious with a beautiful detailed fireplace, built-ins and stained glass windows. The entry could be a mud room or a nice office/den. Off-street parking for 3-4 cars. The interior of this home is a show-stopper. Nice hardwood floors underneath the wall to wall carpet. This will NOT last - HOT! HOT! HOT!
Key facts
- Decorative fireplace
- Full basement
- Entryway mudroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Resale property
- Construction: Aluminum siding with frame construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Full basement with interior entry; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 48; Small lot (about 0.046 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Stove
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (two upper-level bedrooms; one additional bedroom on upper level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Window treatments throughout; Decorative fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Some electric appliances
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.1% in White Oak — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#339 in PA, #2,982 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D, amenities D-, commute F.
- Mckeesport Area SD (suburban): math 11% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #499 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $120k implies a 243% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.20%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $114,072
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3113 Quay St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,152 (-1%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $95 | 84 |
| 3009 State St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (+6%) | 1mo | $76,000 | $62 | 78 |
| 211 Park Way | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,119 (-4%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $76 | 70 |
| 1608 Kansas Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (+2%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $152 | 66 |
| 124 Carmella Dr | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,196 (+3%) | 5mo | $84,000 | $70 | 62 |
| 473 Mccully St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,260 (+8%) | 3mo | $206,000 | $163 | 62 |
| 1126 Monongahela Blvd | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,009 (-13%) | 2mo | $124,000 | $123 | 54 |
| 400 Congress St | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,318 (+13%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $137 | 50 |
| 3806 Sarah St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,324 (+14%) | 0mo | $129,900 | $98 | 46 |
| 3012 Cronemeyer St | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-4%) | 9mo | $23,000 | $21 | 46 |
| 3247 Turner St | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 1,014 (-13%) | 7mo | $127,000 | $125 | 36 |
| 3830 Anderson Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,331 (+14%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $34 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-8,360
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $6,955
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15131
- Home prices YoY
- -18.6%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,218 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $651/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $174
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1108 Prescott St White Oak, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 12d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1735 Ohio Ave Unit 6 White Oak, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1114-1116 Ohio St Unit 2R McKeesport, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $850 | $0.97 | 16d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3710 Mayfair St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1314 | $1,095 | $0.83 | 2d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3506 Mayfair St Unit B McKeesport, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2618 Poinsettia Dr White Oak, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,599 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1506 Freemont St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,295 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1217 Scott St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,165 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 152 Royal Oak Dr White Oak, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 930 | $1,445 | $1.55 | 1d | 9 | 1.47mi |
| 2408 McCarrell St McKeesport, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $1,195 | $0.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 692-char remark
-
2026-06-07$119,900 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $651 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,273 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- +$622/yr (+$52/mo · 95.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,619
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$651
- − Insurance
- −$1,266
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,170
- − Management
- −$1,170
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $159
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$38
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,049/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mckeesport Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4214940
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,779
- Composite
- 15.88/100
- National rank
- #9257
- State rank
- #499 of 539 in PA
Livability — White Oak
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #339
- US rank
- #2982
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- White Oak, PA
- City population
- 8,451
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,451
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Scotch-Irish 5% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.53%
- Current HPI
- 233.6591
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+185.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $119,900 West Penn MLS
- 2012-02-20 Listed $56,250 West Penn MLS
- 2003-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2003-07-17 Sold (MLS) $35,000 West Penn MLS
- 2003-03-12 Listed $42,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2026): $651 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…