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2014 NW 24th St
D Composite 40.67
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.7/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

2014 NW 24th St · Lawton, OK 73505
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,036 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1952 Est $224k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Excellent investment opportunity or great for an owner occupied!! Lots of space since it was a duplex & new a single family home since they removed the center wall!!! Also, getting new HVAC system installed!

Key facts

  • New hvac system
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1952

Tags

NEW HVAC SYSTEM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; Covered carport for 2 vehicles; 2 total parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Updated/remodeled; Brick veneer construction
  • Construction: Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Porch; Wood fencing; Shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Fireplace heating; Ceiling fans; Other heating and cooling features
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Double-pane windows with window coverings; Gas water heater; Fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Crawl space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-106 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (11.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (31.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (31.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
  • Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Pat Henry Es (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #604 of 845 statewide, top 76%, 508 students, 0% FRL); Central Ms (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #153 of 345 statewide, top 45%, 994 students, 0% FRL); Lawton Hs (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #302 of 447 statewide, top 68%, 1,417 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 403 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,448 (31.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
5.50%
Cash-on-cash
-2.83%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$223,960
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3106 NW Brent Cir 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,100 (+3%) 16mo $240,000 $114 61
1616 NW 32nd St 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,961 (-4%) 20mo $215,490 $110 55
1525 NW 31st St 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (-12%) 12mo $206,900 $115 53
1406 NW 33rd St 0.42mi 2/2.0 1,800 (-12%) 10mo $75,000 $42 49
1607 NW 27th St 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,788 (-12%) 13mo $63,100 $35 46
2802 NW Templeton Ter 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,100 (+3%) 20mo $220,000 $105 36
1601 NW 37th St 0.59mi 3/2.5 (+1) 2,200 (+8%) 17mo $350,000 $159 34
3403 NW Baltimore Ave 0.52mi 3/2.5 (+1) 2,300 (+13%) 13mo $260,000 $113 32
1603 NW 34th St 0.46mi 3/3.0 (+1) 2,265 (+11%) 18mo $265,000 $117 32
3411 NW Atlanta Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (-12%) 14mo $178,300 $99 31
1921 NW Oak Ave 0.73mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,800 (-12%) 15mo $74,000 $41 27
2907 NW Liberty Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,300 (+13%) 21mo $245,000 $107 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.0%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-30,322
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
-8.3%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-25,029
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73505

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
403
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,094 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $776/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$-106

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,228
Max offer price $141,319
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-15 -5% $-60 +0% $-106 +5% $-151 +10% $-196
Rent -10% $-192 -5% $-149 +0% $-106 +5% $-63 +10% $-19
Rate -1.0pp $-25 -0.5pp $-65 base $-106 +0.5pp $-147 +1.0pp $-189

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $160,000 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $160,000 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $160,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $160,000 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $160,000 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 15 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 14 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 13 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 12 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $160,000 Active 11 DOM
  19. 2026-05-15
    listed $160,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$776 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,440 · $120/mo
Expected delta
+$664/yr (+$55/mo · 85.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,134
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$776
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,051
− Management
−$1,051
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$4,161
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$999
After-tax cash flow
$-270/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lawton
NCES district ID
4017250
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,618
Composite
19.68/100
National rank
#8732
State rank
#137 of 270 in OK

Livability — Lawton

Score
63/100
State rank
#206
US rank
#15131

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lawton, OK
County
Comanche County · 96,361 people
City population
89,233
Metro
Lawton, OK
Population (ZIP)
47,790
Household income
$58,272
Rent vs Own
48.2% rent · 51.8% own
Severe rent burden
1986.0

Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
124,518 people
By 2030
124,231 · -0.2%
By 2040
122,193 · -1.9%
By 2050
120,368 · -3.3%
By 2075
120,492 · -3.2%
By 2100
123,113 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16% Native American 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Comanche

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.88%
Current HPI
169.4524
Rent YoY
▲ 5.14%
Metro
Lawton, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $160,000 LBRMLS

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $776 · -3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…