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930 W Willow Ln
B+ Composite 77.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

930 W Willow Ln · Peoria, IL 61614
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1951 7,405 sqft lot Est $105k · 38% under ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3BR ranch presents an exceptional opportunity for investors and renovation enthusiasts ready to transform potential into profit. Located in a desirable Peoria neighborhood, this property offers the perfect canvas for your vision. The home has extensive gutting already completed to streamline your renovation process. You'll appreciate the recent improvements, including brand new windows & shingles installed in 2024, plus newer vinyl siding & gutters that enhances curb appeal. The single-level layout maximizes accessibility & functionality, while the generous 17’ x 13’ patio provides outdoor entertaining space. This thoughtful floor plan eliminates stairs, making it ideal for various buyer demographics once renovations are complete. The neighborhood offers outstanding convenience with essential amenities within walking distance. Grocery shopping is effortless with Hy-Vee & Kroger just minutes away, while public transportation access at the nearby Lake and Sheridan bus station connects residents throughout the greater Peoria area. Nature lovers will enjoy proximity to beautiful Lakeview Park, perfect for recreation and relaxation. This property combines prime location advantages with significant value-add potential. Whether you're an experienced investor seeking your next project or someone looking to create sweat equity, this home offers the rare combination of location desirability and renovation opportunity that savvy buyers seek in today's market. Home sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Slab foundation
  • 17x13 patio
  • Attached garage

Tags

SLAB FOUNDATIONINTERIOR GUTTING17X13 PATIOATTACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 86 x 90 x 46 x 114; Lot size about 0.17 acre; Building area reported as 864
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car); On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential zoning; One-story main living with additional upper, lower and basement levels
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Built in 1951; No basement
  • Exterior features: Replacement windows; Paved road access; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Vinyl-floor kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring (kitchen); Other flooring in bedrooms, living areas, and other rooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Attic storage; Cable available; Egress windows in bedrooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $428 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Peoria High School (math 4% / reading 7%, grade F, #609 of 693 statewide, top 88%, 1,447 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
14.20%
Cash-on-cash
28.23%
DSCR
2.26
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$105,408
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
934 W Ridgemont Rd 0.01mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (0%) 0mo $115,000 $133 94
1219 W Purtscher Dr 0.22mi 2/1.0 858 (-1%) 3mo $65,000 $76 86
937 W Kenwick Ln 0.08mi 2/1.0 900 (+4%) 7mo $105,000 $117 83
821 W Purtscher Dr 0.15mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (0%) 8mo $100,000 $116 82
905 W Ridgemont Rd 0.08mi 2/1.0 775 (-10%) 11mo $94,900 $122 70
716 W Purtscher Dr 0.25mi 2/1.0 930 (+8%) 8mo $52,500 $56 70
712 W Northcrest Ave 0.34mi 2/1.5 917 (+6%) 11mo $170,000 $185 63
4016 N Jacqualine St 0.31mi 2/1.0 988 (+14%) 5mo $85,000 $86 58
429 W Lakewood Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 928 (+7%) 5mo $109,900 $118 57
411 W Knoll Crest Dr 0.50mi 3/1.5 (+1) 908 (+5%) 6mo $171,000 $188 56
812 W Ridge Rd 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 972 (+12%) 12mo $133,000 $137 53
4733 N Edgebrook Dr 0.65mi 2/1.0 960 (+11%) 11mo $150,000 $156 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.1%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$22,765
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
38.5%
Equity multiple
5.53×
Total profit
$82,369
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61614

Home prices YoY
-29.1%
Rents YoY
10.3%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,136 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$101 /mo · $1,214/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$428

Break-even live

Break-even rent $594
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $465 -5% $447 +0% $428 +5% $410 +10% $391
Rent -10% $338 -5% $383 +0% $428 +5% $473 +10% $518
Rate -1.0pp $461 -0.5pp $445 base $428 +0.5pp $411 +1.0pp $394

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4020 N Bryer Pl Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,250 $1.74 22d 1 0.08mi
811 W Purtscher Dr Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,100 $1.27 45d 1 0.19mi
W Crestwood Dr Peoria, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $975 $1.22 14d 4 0.24mi
751 W Joan Ct Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 14d 1 0.51mi
1308 W Covington Ct Peoria, IL 2.0 1.5 975 $1,170 $1.20 22d 1 0.57mi
4010 N Brandywine Dr Peoria, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 797 $1,082 $1.36 14d 17 0.61mi
1327 W Covington Ct Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,295 $1.26 45d 1 0.64mi
126 E Lake Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,050 $1.11 14d 9 0.85mi
3108 N Parish Ave Peoria, IL 3.0 1.5 967 $1,750 $1.81 45d 1 0.87mi
4809 Knoxville Ave Unit 4819 4B, 5A, & 5B Peoria, IL 3.0 2.0 700 $1,800 $2.57 14d 1 0.88mi
4809 Knoxville Ave Apt 3D Peoria, IL 1.0 1.0 775 $775 $1.00 22d 1 0.88mi
4809 Knoxville Ave Apt 2C Peoria, IL 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 22d 1 0.88mi
249 E Oak Cliff Ct Unit 4 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 600 $800 $1.33 14d 1 0.94mi
228 E Oak Cliff Ct Unit A2 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 14d 1 0.95mi
3629 N Leroy Ave Unit A Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 45d 1 1.10mi
4914 N Best St Peoria Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 45d 1 1.35mi
811 E Lake Ave Peoria Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 576 $875 $1.52 14d 1 1.43mi
2805 W Larchmont Ln Peoria, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 695 $1,060 $1.53 14d 3 1.43mi
5106 N Glen Elm Dr Peoria Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 1008 $2,400 $2.38 14d 1 1.43mi
813 E Sciota Ave Peoria Heights, IL 2.0 2.0 800 $1,400 $1.75 14d 1 1.45mi
812 W Macqueen Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 822 $795 $0.97 45d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    remarks 459-char remark
  9. 2026-06-10
    listed $65,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,214 · $101/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,345 · $112/mo
Expected delta
+$131/yr (+$11/mo · 10.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,628
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,214
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,090
− Management
−$1,090
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$4,377
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,051
After-tax cash flow
$4,087/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peoria SD 150
NCES district ID
1731230
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,951
Composite
10.92/100
National rank
#9751
State rank
#554 of 620 in IL

Livability — Peoria

Score
73/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#5096

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peoria, IL
County
Peoria County · 120,495 people
City population
114,670
Metro
Peoria, IL
Population (ZIP)
27,370
Household income
$66,924
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
1179.0

Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
183,007 people
By 2030
179,643 · -1.8%
By 2040
171,782 · -6.1%
By 2050
163,508 · -10.7%
By 2075
140,178 · -23.4%
By 2100
114,493 · -37.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 17% Two or more races 5% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Peoria

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.07%
Current HPI
185.122
Rent YoY
▲ 10.35%
Metro
Peoria, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $65,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 2026-02-23 Sold (MLS) $67,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-08 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $69,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-17 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-24 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-24 Listed $74,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-05 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-13 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,214 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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