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125 Chesterton Dr
D Composite 41.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0

$279,000

125 Chesterton Dr · Lexington, SC 29072-7147
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,855 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 159 Days on market
Built 2014 3,049 sqft lot ↓ 38% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home at 125 Chesterton Dr. in the highly desirable Cambridge Place neighborhood. Cambridge Place is located in a very convenient area of Lexington, very quiet and kept very clean. The layout is very open with manufactured lament wood flooring throughout the main level. The kitchen has a beautiful updated eat-in kitchen with granite countertops and updated appliances. Residents enjoy access to community amenities, including a refreshing pool and front-yard maintenance for added ease. Zoned for the Lexington 1 school district and situated in a prime location close to local conveniences. Schedule your private tour today! Disclaimer: CMLS has not

Key facts

  • Refreshing pool
  • Community amenities
  • Granite countertops

Tags

UPDATED EAT-IN KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPSCOMMUNITY AMENITIESREFRESHING POOLLEXINGTON 1 SCHOOL DISTRICTPRIME LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Property is part of an association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage on main level; Total of 2 parking spaces (including 1 garage space)
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story home
  • Construction: Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Partial brick above foundation; Vinyl siding; Paved road access; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the second level; Second bedroom on the second level; Third bedroom on the second level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Two second full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central electric heating
  • Interior features: Family room on the main level; Dining room on the main level
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer on the second level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $279k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-150 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $252k (9.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (29.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (29.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#8 in SC, #1,502 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A; Watch: commute F.
  • Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lake Murray Elementary (math 73% / reading 70%, grade A-, #32 of 597 statewide, top 5%, 901 students, 12% FRL); Lakeside Middle (math 43% / reading 57%, grade C, #38 of 229 statewide, top 17%, 839 students, 19% FRL); Lexington High (math 69% / reading 92%, grade A, #23 of 196 statewide, top 11%, 2,410 students, 17% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 67% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Lexington 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $196,362 (29.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.30%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$23,944
Equity at exit
$125,450
10-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$98,523
Equity at exit
$193,334

Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29072-7147

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,964 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,463
Tax from tax record
$122 /mo · $1,463/yr
Insurance
$116
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$-150

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,154
Max offer price $252,495
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $8 -5% $-71 +0% $-150 +5% $-229 +10% $-308
Rent -10% $-305 -5% $-228 +0% $-150 +5% $-72 +10% $5
Rate -1.0pp $-10 -0.5pp $-79 base $-150 +0.5pp $-222 +1.0pp $-296

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,750
Closing costs
$8,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
333 Canary Grass Ct Lexington, SC 3.0 2.5 1672 $1,950 $1.17 16d 1 0.94mi
121 Park Ridge Way Lexington, SC 3.0 2.5 1680 $2,100 $1.25 25d 1 1.08mi
759 Dawsons Park Way Lexington, SC 3.0 2.5 1468 $1,869 $1.27 23d 1 1.14mi
926 Dawsons Park Way Lexington, SC 3.0 2.5 1468 $1,879 $1.28 16d 1 1.19mi
855 Park Rd Lexington, SC 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,995 $1.25 25d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $279,000 Active 159 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $279,000 Active 156 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $279,000 Active 155 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $279,000 Active 154 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $279,000 Active 153 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $279,000 Active 152 DOM
  7. 2026-04-30
    price $279,000
  8. 2026-03-25
    price $285,000
  9. 2025-12-29
    listed $295,000 Active
  10. 2023-05-01
    soldstatus $245,000
  11. 2023-03-20
    historical Active - Contingent
  12. 2023-03-07
    price $250,000
  13. 2023-02-27
    listed $260,000 Active
  14. 2017-12-12
    soldstatus $153,000
  15. 2014-03-13
    soldstatus $90,000
  16. 2011-12-30
    soldstatus $450,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,463 · $122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,590 · $133/mo
Expected delta
+$127/yr (+$11/mo · 8.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,563
− Mortgage interest
−$15,628
− Property taxes
−$1,463
− Insurance
−$1,395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,885
− Management
−$1,885
− Depreciation
−$8,116
Taxable loss
−$6,810
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,634
After-tax cash flow
$-166/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lexington 01
NCES district ID
4502700
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$61,298
Composite
41.75/100
National rank
#3399
State rank
#11 of 80 in SC

Livability — Lexington

Score
81/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#1502

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A Crime A- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

No demographic data for this ZIP.

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-38.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $279,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $285,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2025-12-29 Listed $295,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2023-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
  • 2023-03-20 Contingent Consolidated MLS
  • 2023-03-07 Price Changed $250,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2023-02-27 Listed $260,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2017-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $153,000 Public Records
  • 2014-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2011-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $450,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+35.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,463 · +65.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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