72 W Coast Dr #5 · Redway, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 10 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 25 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$118,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover comfort, convenience, and easy living in this beautiful manufactured home in the West Coast Mobile Home Park, located in Redway's welcoming 55+ senior community. Step into a home that offers the perfect blend of space, style, and low-maintenance living. With approximately 1,400 square feet, this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a thoughtfully designed layout that feels open, airy, and inviting--showcasing just how comfortable and appealing manufactured living can be. The spacious kitchen provides plenty of room to cook, gather, and enjoy everyday moments, while the clean, well-cared-for interior and exterior reflect true pride of ownership, giving the home a fresh, modern feel throughout. One of the standout benefits is simplicity--less upkeep means more Discover comfort, convenience, and easy living in this beautiful manufactured home in the West Coast Mobile Home Park, located in Redway's welcoming 55+ senior community. Step into a home that offers the perfect blend of space, style, and low-maintenance living. With approximately 1,400 square feet, this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a thoughtfully designed layout that feels open, airy, and inviting--showcasing just how comfortable and appealing manufactured living can be. time to enjoy life. A covered carport offers convenient, protected access into the home, and the secure, lockable shed provides valuable extra storage. Set within a peaceful and friendly senior community, this home offers not just a place to live, but a lifestyle to enjoy. If you've been on the fence about manufactured homes, this one is sure to change your perspective--come see the comfort and quality for yourself.
Key facts
- Covered carport
- Spacious kitchen
- Peaceful community
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $118k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $428 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $118k).
- Recommended offer: $111k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#917 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Southern Humboldt Joint Unified (rural): math 28% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #928 of 1,400 in CA (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 188 units permitted in Humboldt County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $816 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Humboldt County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 10→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.55%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $238,371
- List price
- $118,000
- Delta
- -50.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 West Coast Rd #26 | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+3%) | 18mo | $57,500 | $40 | 73 |
| 176 Rusk Ln | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,316 (-6%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $175 | 58 |
| 421 Par Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,400 (0%) | 5mo | $218,000 | $156 | 57 |
| 146 West Coast Rd #30 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-11%) | 22mo | $102,500 | $82 | 55 |
| 811 Redway Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,350 (-4%) | 19mo | $222,000 | $164 | 51 |
| 144 Rusk Ln | 0.56mi | 3/15.0 | 1,400 (0%) | 8mo | $455,000 | $325 | 47 |
| 350 Par Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (-14%) | 22mo | $305,000 | $254 | 23 |
| 457 Par Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-14%) | 20mo | $245,000 | $204 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $8,178
- Equity at exit
- $17,594
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $42,338
- Equity at exit
- $10,202
Cash invested: $33,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95560
- Home prices YoY
- -7.0%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,574 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$619
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$148 /mo · $1,770/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $428
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,500
- Closing costs
- $3,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $118,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $118,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $118,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $118,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-03-28$120,000 Active 1704-char remark
Show marketing remark (1704 chars)
Discover comfort, convenience, and easy living in this beautiful manufactured home in the West Coast Mobile Home Park, located in Redway's welcoming 55+ senior community. Step into a home that offers the perfect blend of space, style, and low-maintenance living. With approximately 1,400 square feet, this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a thoughtfully designed layout that feels open, airy, and inviting--showcasing just how comfortable and appealing manufactured living can be. The spacious kitchen provides plenty of room to cook, gather, and enjoy everyday moments, while the clean, well-cared-for interior and exterior reflect true pride of ownership, giving the home a fresh, modern feel throughout. One of the standout benefits is simplicity--less upkeep means more Discover comfort, convenience, and easy living in this beautiful manufactured home in the West Coast Mobile Home Park, located in Redway's welcoming 55+ senior community. Step into a home that offers the perfect blend of space, style, and low-maintenance living. With approximately 1,400 square feet, this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a thoughtfully designed layout that feels open, airy, and inviting--showcasing just how comfortable and appealing manufactured living can be. time to enjoy life. A covered carport offers convenient, protected access into the home, and the secure, lockable shed provides valuable extra storage. Set within a peaceful and friendly senior community, this home offers not just a place to live, but a lifestyle to enjoy. If you've been on the fence about manufactured homes, this one is sure to change your perspective--come see the comfort and quality for yourself.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 10 d/yr ≥91°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 25 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,892
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,610
- − Property taxes
- −$1,770
- − Insurance
- −$590
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,511
- − Management
- −$1,511
- − Depreciation
- −$3,433
- Taxable income
- $3,467
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$832
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,307/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This well-maintained manufactured home in a 55+ senior community offers a good investment opportunity with minimal repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Clean and maintain landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean and maintain landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southern Humboldt Joint Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0637590
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,108
- Composite
- 31.43/100
- National rank
- #11197
- State rank
- #928 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Redway
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #917
- US rank
- #24169
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Redway, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,350
Population outlook (Humboldt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,550 people
- By 2030
- 134,798 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 132,222 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 130,850 · -3.5%
- By 2075
- 128,656 · -5.1%
- By 2100
- 120,238 · -11.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 30% Slovak 16% Romanian 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Humboldt
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.4) · D 62.0% · R 33.6% · Other 4.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 28.2pp · 2024: 28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.4 2020: D+33.4 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+26.2 2008: D+28.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.83%
- Current HPI
- 63.7614
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-28 Listed $120,000 HAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…