634 Lake Chapel Church Rd · Odum, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$82,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits at 634 Lake Chapel Church Road! Nestled on a beautiful 1.17-acre lot surrounded by mature trees, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick ranch offers the perfect canvas for your vision. Whether you're searching for a peaceful country retreat to renovate and make your own or you're an investor looking for your next project, this property is full of potential. Enjoy the tranquility of a quiet rural setting while still being conveniently located near several surrounding communities. Situated near the intersection of Pierce, Wayne, and Appling Counties, this property offers a unique blend of privacy and accessibility. Conveniently located approximately: 15 minutes to Odum, 20 minutes to
Key facts
- 15 minutes to odum
- Quiet rural setting
- 1.17 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 1.17 acres
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Electric connection nearby (feet); Gas connection nearby (feet); Sewer connection nearby (feet); Water connection nearby (feet)
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Property listed as fixer
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Carpet and laminate flooring; 9 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $82k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 4.0% in Odum — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#400 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, amenities F.
- Wayne County (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #68 of 174 in GA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 163 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($567 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.74%
- DSCR
- 2.15
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $225,852
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416 W Railroad St | 0.28mi | 3/3.0 | 1,831 (-4%) | 20mo | $216,500 | $118 | 59 |
| 138 Reddish Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,848 (-3%) | 23mo | $170,000 | $92 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.31×
- Total profit
- $76,045
- Equity at exit
- $73,872
- IRR
- 37.8%
- Equity multiple
- 9.68×
- Total profit
- $199,315
- Equity at exit
- $159,308
Cash invested: $22,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31555
- Home prices YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,341 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$430
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$102 /mo · $1,230/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $492
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,500
- Closing costs
- $2,460
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-09status $82,000 Under Contract 5 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $82,000 New 5 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $82,000 New 4 DOM
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2026-06-05status $82,000 New 1 DOM
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2026-06-03remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-03$82,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,088
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,593
- − Property taxes
- −$1,230
- − Insurance
- −$410
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,287
- − Management
- −$1,287
- − Depreciation
- −$2,385
- Taxable income
- $4,896
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,175
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,735/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This property presents an opportunity for renovation and improvement, with potential for significant value increase through kitchen and bathroom updates, exterior painting, HVAC upgrade, and landscaping improvements.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — Worn and outdated, likely in need of replacement.
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Outdated and possibly in need of replacement.
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and may need repainting or minor repairs.
- Major Carpeted flooring — Worn and may need replacement or cleaning.
- Moderate Interior walls — Discoloration and may need painting.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Kitchen renovation — A modern kitchen can significantly increase the home's appeal and value.
- Resale Bathroom updates — Upgrading bathrooms can enhance the home's overall appeal and functionality.
- Both Exterior painting — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and add value for both resale and rental.
- Both HVAC upgrade — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental.
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained and landscaped yard can enhance curb appeal and add value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn and outdated, likely in need of replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Outdated and possibly in need of replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior siding · Weathered and may need repainting or minor repairs. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Carpeted flooring · Worn and may need replacement or cleaning. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior walls · Discoloration and may need painting. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $51,000–180,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Kitchen renovation — A modern kitchen can significantly increase the home's appeal and value. ↑
- Resale Bathroom updates — Upgrading bathrooms can enhance the home's overall appeal and functionality. ↑
- Both Exterior painting — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and add value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both HVAC upgrade — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained and landscaped yard can enhance curb appeal and add value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wayne County
- NCES district ID
- 1305550
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,918
- Composite
- 29.3/100
- National rank
- #6554
- State rank
- #68 of 174 in GA
Livability — Odum
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #400
- US rank
- #19789
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Odum, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,126
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,891 people
- By 2030
- 28,388 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 27,396 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 26,135 · -9.5%
- By 2075
- 23,253 · -19.5%
- By 2100
- 19,481 · -32.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 18% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.8) · D 20.0% · R 79.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -59.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.8 2020: R+57.1 2016: R+58.9 2012: R+48.3 2008: R+44.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.81%
- Current HPI
- 245.08
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $82,000 GIAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…