25 Yale Dr · Thompsonville, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +10.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Clean move-in cond ranch with cent air, gas heat, and hardwood floors. Updated kitchen and bath, and freshly painted. Dining area with sliders to large deck and level yard. Raised bed gardens ready for your plantings! Nicely landscaped.Quiet street.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Built 1955
- Listed 3 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Single family home
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Level lot; Vinyl siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Full unfinished basement; Attic with access via hatch; Central air
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($175/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (12.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $250k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.3% in Thompsonville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#103 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Enfield School District (suburban): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #114 of 153 in CT (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Enfield High School (math 29% / reading 54%, grade F, #102 of 194 statewide, top 53%, 1,490 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 182 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask is 104% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $133k; list at $285k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.22%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $305,578
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Meadowlark Rd | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,004 (+6%) | 0mo | $255,000 | $254 | 84 |
| 10 Yale Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 951 (+0%) | 10mo | $369,000 | $388 | 83 |
| 3 Trinity Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 951 (+0%) | 9mo | $320,000 | $336 | 82 |
| 45 Yale Dr | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 951 (+0%) | 22mo | $265,000 | $279 | 75 |
| 2 Pearl St Ext | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 888 (-6%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $338 | 71 |
| 4 Orbit Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+6%) | 10mo | $325,000 | $322 | 68 |
| 2 Mitchell Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+10%) | 13mo | $265,000 | $255 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-42,945
- Equity at exit
- $42,494
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-26,551
- Equity at exit
- $24,642
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06082
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 182
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,495 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax from tax record
- −$344 /mo · $4,122/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$524
- Net cashflow
- $15
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $176 | -5% $95 | +0% $15 | +5% $-66 | +10% $-147 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-183 | -5% $-84 | +0% $15 | +5% $113 | +10% $212 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $158 | -0.5pp $87 | base $15 | +0.5pp $-59 | +1.0pp $-134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Woodgate Cir Enfield, CT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1010 | $2,475 | $2.45 | 19d | 3 | 0.31mi |
| 21 David St Enfield, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,600 | $2.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-08status $285,000 Under Contract 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $285,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $285,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $285,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$285,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,122 · $344/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,110 · $426/mo
- Expected delta
- +$988/yr (+$82/mo · 24.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,945
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$4,122
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,396
- − Management
- −$2,396
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$4,648
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,116
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,290/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Enfield School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901470
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,750
- Composite
- 30.42/100
- National rank
- #6238
- State rank
- #114 of 153 in CT
Livability — Thompsonville
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #103
- US rank
- #8941
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hartford County · 754,208 people
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,090
- Household income
- $90,404
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Lithuanian 9% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -494.72%
- Current HPI
- 192.4011
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.90%
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+96.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Coming Soon $285,000 Smart MLS
- 2013-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $133,000 Public Records
- 2013-09-24 Sold (MLS) $133,000 Smart MLS
- 2013-04-10 Listed $139,900 Smart MLS
- 2009-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $144,900 Public Records
- 2009-03-20 Sold (MLS) $144,900 Smart MLS
- 2009-01-14 Listed $144,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,122 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…