2023 Jessup Eisenhower Plan · Converse, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Converse Meadows is an exciting and evolving manufactured home community in Converse, Texas. Our community features a range of affordable homes and is undergoing a significant transformation with the addition of new amenities. Residents will enjoy a modern clubhouse, a refreshing pool, a welcoming sales center, a charming gazebo, and a lively BBQ area, all contributing to a vibrant and enjoyable living environment. Come explore Converse Meadows and find your new home.
Key facts
- Listed 520 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $626 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 4.4% in Converse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#649 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, amenities F.
- Judson ISD (suburban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #660 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1152 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 520 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 520 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.34%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $16,005
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $45,032
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78109
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 1152
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,799 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $626
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8827 Slumber Ln Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $2,000 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 8818 Slumber Ln Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1259 | $1,700 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 8422 Parry Path Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $1,550 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 8732 Seneca Crk Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1582 | $1,445 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 8423 Parry Path Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2576 | $1,800 | $0.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 7038 Cole Creek Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1582 | $1,695 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 317 Vivian Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $1,650 | $1.13 | 2d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 10814 Lillia BR San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,600 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 8911 Nature Trl Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2042 | $1,790 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 313 Renee Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1884 | $1,650 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 8206 Grimchester Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1913 | $2,100 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 8206 Talkenhorn Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,595 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 8206 Talkenhorn Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,895 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 6863 Cypress Mist Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1735 | $1,550 | $0.89 | 10d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 8119 Grimchester Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2334 | $1,955 | $0.84 | 4d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 6827 Cypress Mist Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1698 | $1,449 | $0.85 | 2d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 6610 Eastern Clouds Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $1,660 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 326 Diana Dr Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2422 | $1,800 | $0.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 6718 Haven Meadow Dr Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2278 | $1,700 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 8031 Manderly Pl Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2575 | $1,739 | $0.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 8050 Swindow Cir Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1893 | $1,600 | $0.85 | 4d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 6822 Eden Grove Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $1,490 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 7611 Overview Pl San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 6846 Columbia Ridge Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $1,430 | $1.09 | 4d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 8320 Morning Grv Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1879 | $1,590 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 6870 Flaming Ridge Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1698 | $1,695 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 6870 Flaming Ridge Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1698 | $1,695 | $1.00 | 12d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 6606 Highland Grass Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2278 | $1,800 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 8206 Longhorn Ridge Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $1,525 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 9019 Gore Cres Converse, TX | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 2058 | $2,220 | $1.08 | 1d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 8003 Chestnut Manor Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $1,795 | $1.09 | 16d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6414 Kensinger Pass Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1582 | $2,100 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 8203 Maple Meadow Dr Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2340 | $1,759 | $0.75 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 8335 Bent Meadow Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,595 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 6623 Meadow Dawn Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,600 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 9219 Foxing Blfs Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1526 | $1,850 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 6326 Kensinger Pass Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2278 | $1,800 | $0.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 8304 Heights Vly Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1249 | $1,450 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 8314 Steep Vly Converse, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2316 | $1,625 | $0.70 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 103 Avenue F Unit A Converse, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1372 | $1,175 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 520 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 519 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 518 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 517 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 515 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 511 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 510 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 509 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 506 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 505 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 504 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 503 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 502 DOM
-
2025-05-01status Active 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Converse Meadows is an exciting and evolving manufactured home community in Converse, Texas. Our community features a range of affordable homes and is undergoing a significant transformation with the addition of new amenities. Residents will enjoy a modern clubhouse, a refreshing pool, a welcoming sales center, a charming gazebo, and a lively BBQ area, all contributing to a vibrant and enjoyable living environment. Come explore Converse Meadows and find your new home.
-
2025-05-01historical 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Converse Meadows is an exciting and evolving manufactured home community in Converse, Texas. Our community features a range of affordable homes and is undergoing a significant transformation with the addition of new amenities. Residents will enjoy a modern clubhouse, a refreshing pool, a welcoming sales center, a charming gazebo, and a lively BBQ area, all contributing to a vibrant and enjoyable living environment. Come explore Converse Meadows and find your new home.
-
2025-01-15$115,000 Active 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Converse Meadows is an exciting and evolving manufactured home community in Converse, Texas. Our community features a range of affordable homes and is undergoing a significant transformation with the addition of new amenities. Residents will enjoy a modern clubhouse, a refreshing pool, a welcoming sales center, a charming gazebo, and a lively BBQ area, all contributing to a vibrant and enjoyable living environment. Come explore Converse Meadows and find your new home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,584
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,727
- − Management
- −$1,727
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $6,043
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,450
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,064/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This manufactured home is in good condition with a modern interior and curb appeal. It has potential for further value increases through minor exterior updates and smart home upgrades.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can attract more potential buyers or renters.
- Resale Updating the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can appeal to a broader range of buyers.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by attracting tech-savvy buyers and renters.
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce energy costs, appealing to buyers and renters alike.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Resale Updating the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can appeal to a broader range of buyers. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by attracting tech-savvy buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce energy costs, appealing to buyers and renters alike. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Judson ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824990
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,542
- Composite
- 24.39/100
- National rank
- #7689
- State rank
- #660 of 826 in TX
Livability — Converse
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #649
- US rank
- #12250
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Converse, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 63,067
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,067
- Household income
- $91,320
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1732.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 27% Two or more races 21% Black 21% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.02%
- Current HPI
- 236.4923
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.08%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2025-05-01 Relisted — Zillow
- 2025-05-01 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-01-15 Listed $115,000 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…