Duplex
20-22 Hurlburt St · New Haven, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- Appreciation +9.9/10.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$340,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to 20-22 Hurlburt Street a solid multifamily opportunity located in New Haven's rapidly evolving Hill neighborhood. This spacious property has 6 bedrooms and 4 bathrooms total, with each unit offering a similar layout of 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. This home has off-street parking a full unfinished basement and unfinished attic Perfect for both investors and owner occupants alike, with a little TLC this home could be the one for you. Don't miss it!! As-Is Sale The deck needs to be repaired, please do not climb the steps, 24hr. notice for showings.
Key facts
- Unfinished attic
- Off-street parking
- 3,049 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $998 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $499/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $340k).
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.8% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#31 in CT, #2,190 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
- New Haven School District (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #147 of 153 in CT (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 46 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,397/mo this rent would consume 106% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1321% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $36k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (9.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (9.8% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $95k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$57k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $57k; list at $340k implies a 498% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.58%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $369,208
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 173 Rosette St | 0.11mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,312 (-5%) | 13mo | $212,625 | $92 | 71 |
| 121 Plymouth St | 0.18mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,539 (+4%) | 10mo | $355,000 | $140 | 71 |
| 37 Morris St | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 | 2,236 (-8%) | 17mo | $360,000 | $161 | 67 |
| 201 Howard Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 | 2,402 (-1%) | 14mo | $320,000 | $133 | 65 |
| 189 Putnam St | 0.32mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,450 (+1%) | 15mo | $320,000 | $131 | 62 |
| 113 Morris St | 0.12mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,200 (-9%) | 19mo | $260,000 | $118 | 58 |
| 222 Howard Ave | 0.42mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,311 (-5%) | 11mo | $470,000 | $203 | 54 |
| 46 Liberty St | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 2,110 (-13%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $152 | 53 |
| 21 Edgar St | 0.38mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,226 (-8%) | 17mo | $315,000 | $142 | 47 |
| 203 West St | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 | 2,288 (-6%) | 11mo | $435,000 | $190 | 47 |
| 40 2nd St | 0.38mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,226 (-8%) | 19mo | $375,000 | $168 | 46 |
| 56 Ann St | 0.64mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,067 (-15%) | 6mo | $407,000 | $197 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.81% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $245,768
- Equity at exit
- $301,586
- IRR
- 28.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.10×
- Total profit
- $675,631
- Equity at exit
- $645,431
Cash invested: $95,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06519
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 12.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,397 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,783
- Tax from tax record
- −$551 /mo · $6,614/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$923
- Net cashflow
- $998
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,190 | -5% $1,094 | +0% $998 | +5% $902 | +10% $805 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $650 | -5% $824 | +0% $998 | +5% $1,171 | +10% $1,345 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,169 | -0.5pp $1,084 | base $998 | +0.5pp $910 | +1.0pp $820 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.5 | $4,398 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.5 | $2,199 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.5 | $2,199 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,397 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $85,000
- Closing costs
- $10,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 Cassius St New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1872 | $2,300 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 34 Cassius St Unit 36 New Haven, CT | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $2,300 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 69 Adeline St Unit D New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2600 | $2,250 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 50 Wood St West Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2314 | $2,400 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 37 Center St Unit 2 West Haven, CT | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $3,300 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5 Oak Pl West Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2300 | $1,900 | $0.83 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 408 Legion Ave Unit 2 New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1610 | $2,000 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 82 Gilbert St West Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2641 | $2,400 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 41 Howe St New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1795 | $3,750 | $2.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 41 Howe St Apt 2 New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1795 | $3,200 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 41 Howe St Apt 2 New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1795 | $3,200 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 43 Howe St New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1995 | $4,995 | $2.50 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 203 Main St Unit 2nd fl West Haven, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1967 | $2,400 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 120 Dwight St New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $3,175 | $1.81 | 22d | 2 | 1.26mi |
| 17 Treadwell St West Haven, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2814 | $2,450 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 66 Kensington St Unit 2 New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,100 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1494 Chapel St Unit 1R New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $2,000 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-16status Under Contract
-
2026-04-06$340,000 Active
-
1997-04-14soldstatus $56,850
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,614 · $551/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,945 · $579/mo
- Expected delta
- +$331/yr (+$28/mo · 5.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $52,764
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,045
- − Property taxes
- −$6,614
- − Insurance
- −$1,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,221
- − Management
- −$4,221
- − Depreciation
- −$9,891
- Taxable income
- $7,072
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,697
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,276/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Haven School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902790
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,058
- Composite
- 15.48/100
- National rank
- #9308
- State rank
- #147 of 153 in CT
Livability — New Haven
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #2190
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Haven, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 132,813
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,605
- Household income
- $49,619
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1321.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% Black 26% White 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 25% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 4% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.81%
- Current HPI
- 377.4885
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+498.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $340,000 Smart MLS
- 1997-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $56,850 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2023): $6,614 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…