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2009 Mcguinn Dr
C+ Composite 60.25
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

2009 Mcguinn Dr · High Point, NC 27265
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 576 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1940 8,276 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come check out your next investment opportunity! This home has brand new windows, new lifetime metal roof, new doors, new gutters, new front porch, and all new flooring. located less than a mile from High Point University!

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • New vanity
  • New paint

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANNEW VANITYNEW REFRIGERATORNEW PAINTCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO HIGHWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Single-story house; Stick/site-built residential structure; Built in 1940; Existing construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Public-maintained road access; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump with natural gas backup; Central air
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; Carpet and tile flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer connection; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.0% in High Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#31 in NC, #3,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
  • Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Montlieu Academy of Technology (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,033 of 1,410 statewide, top 76%, 501 students, 99% FRL); Welborn Middle (math 11% / reading 29%, grade F, #429 of 475 statewide, top 91%, 419 students, 99% FRL); T Wingate Andrews High (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #468 of 535 statewide, top 88%, 717 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 52% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Guilford County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 273 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $34k; list at $99k implies a 191% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
9.12%
Cash-on-cash
10.09%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-1,884
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$14,684
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27265

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
273
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,056 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $484/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$233

Break-even live

Break-even rent $760
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $289 -5% $261 +0% $233 +5% $205 +10% $177
Rent -10% $150 -5% $191 +0% $233 +5% $275 +10% $317
Rate -1.0pp $283 -0.5pp $258 base $233 +0.5pp $207 +1.0pp $181

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2522 Suffolk Ave High Point, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 870 $795 $0.91 25d 1 0.68mi
2609 Suffolk Ave High Point, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1000 $925 $0.93 15d 15 0.70mi
2501 Ambassador Ct High Point, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 925 $1,066 $1.15 15d 8 0.87mi
1450 Bergamot Loop High Point, NC 2.0 1.0 650 $1,025 $1.58 25d 1 1.01mi
2120 Chester Ridge Dr High Point, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1001 $960 $0.96 15d 7 1.08mi
856 Lakecrest Ave High Point, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 791 $1,082 $1.37 15d 11 1.32mi
251 Northpoint Ave High Point, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0 721 $950 $1.32 25d 1 1.45mi
212 Morgan Pl High Point, NC 2.0 1.0 560 $750 $1.34 25d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $99,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    status $99,000 Pending 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Due Diligence Period 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Due Diligence Period 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Due Diligence Period 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $99,000 Due Diligence Period 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    listed $99,000 Active
  17. 2020-05-21
    status Pending 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    Come check out your next investment opportunity! This home has brand new windows, new lifetime metal roof, new doors, new gutters, new front porch, and all new flooring. located less than a mile from High Point University!

  18. 2020-04-23
    soldstatus $34,000 Closed 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    Come check out your next investment opportunity! This home has brand new windows, new lifetime metal roof, new doors, new gutters, new front porch, and all new flooring. located less than a mile from High Point University!

  19. 2020-01-28
    status Pending 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    Come check out your next investment opportunity! This home has brand new windows, new lifetime metal roof, new doors, new gutters, new front porch, and all new flooring. located less than a mile from High Point University!

  20. 2020-01-01
    listed $42,500 Active 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    Come check out your next investment opportunity! This home has brand new windows, new lifetime metal roof, new doors, new gutters, new front porch, and all new flooring. located less than a mile from High Point University!

  21. 2019-07-09
    price $44,900
  22. 2019-07-09
    price $45,900
  23. 2018-11-20
    soldstatus $19,000 Sold
  24. 2018-10-31
    status Pending
  25. 2018-05-11
    status Active
  26. 2018-05-01
    historical Due Diligence Period
  27. 2018-03-23
    listed $30,000 Active
  28. 1995-09-01
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$484 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$812 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$328/yr (+$27/mo · 67.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,667
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$484
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,013
− Management
−$1,013
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$1,235
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$297
After-tax cash flow
$2,501/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guilford County Schools
NCES district ID
3701920
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,315
Composite
35.78/100
National rank
#4842
State rank
#99 of 178 in NC

Livability — High Point

Score
77/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#3084

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
High Point, NC
County
Guilford County · 487,190 people
City population
102,450
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
Population (ZIP)
48,798
Household income
$73,981
Rent vs Own
30.6% rent · 69.4% own
Severe rent burden
1095.0

Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
584,596 people
By 2030
616,851 · +5.5%
By 2040
678,451 · +16.1%
By 2050
734,788 · +25.7%
By 2075
862,985 · +47.6%
By 2100
948,704 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Guilford

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -207.73%
Current HPI
217.0263
Rent YoY
▲ 2.38%
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+230.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $99,000 Triad MLS
  • 2020-05-21 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2020-04-23 Sold (MLS) $34,000 Triad MLS
  • 2020-01-28 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2020-01-01 Listed $42,500 Triad MLS
  • 2019-07-09 Price Changed $44,900 Triad MLS
  • 2019-07-09 Price Changed $45,900 Triad MLS
  • 2018-11-20 Sold (MLS) $19,000 Triad MLS
  • 2018-10-31 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2018-05-11 Relisted Triad MLS
  • 2018-05-01 Contingent Triad MLS
  • 2018-03-23 Listed $30,000 Triad MLS
  • 1995-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $484 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…