18-Plex
3862 S Spring Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +5.1/15.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 18 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Salient Realty Group is pleased to present 3862 S Spring Avenue, an 18-unit apartment complex located in South City. The property consists of twelve, 1 bed/1 bath and six, 2 bed/1 bath units. The property also has 12 garages and a large side lot that is included in the sale. It is positioned near major local employers and the Grand Boulevard corridor. The heavy-duty masonry construction and traditional St. Louis architecture provide a durable foundation for predictable maintenance. This neighborhood is known for its historic architecture and steady demand for rental housing. This asset represents a straightforward opportunity to enter or expand within the South City market.
Key facts
- Large side lot
- 0.5 acre lot
- 12 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 12×1bd/1ba + 6×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $1.20M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($60k/yr) — positive. Per door: $279/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($16k rent vs $1.20M).
- Recommended offer: $1.09M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 260 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $15,668/mo this rent would consume 306% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1923% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $335k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.09M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $450k; list at $1.20M implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.99%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,135,000
- List price
- $1,195,000
- Delta
- 5.29%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $119,581
- Equity at exit
- $178,178
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $489,962
- Equity at exit
- $103,322
Cash invested: $334,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63116
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 260
- Price-to-rent
- 116.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $15,668 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,267
- Tax from tax record
- −$597 /mo · $7,159/yr
- Insurance
- −$498
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,290
- Net cashflow
- $5,017
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $5,693 | -5% $5,355 | +0% $5,017 | +5% $4,678 | +10% $4,340 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,779 | -5% $4,398 | +0% $5,017 | +5% $5,635 | +10% $6,254 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $5,618 | -0.5pp $5,320 | base $5,017 | +0.5pp $4,707 | +1.0pp $4,392 |
18-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12× units | 1 | 1 | $10,272 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $856 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $856 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $856 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $856 |
| #5 | 1 | 1 | $856 |
| #6 | 1 | 1 | $856 |
| #7 | 1 | 1 | $856 |
| #8 | 1 | 1 | $856 |
| #9 | 1 | 1 | $856 |
| #10 | 1 | 1 | $856 |
| #11 | 1 | 1 | $856 |
| #12 | 1 | 1 | $856 |
| 6× units | 2 | 1 | $5,400 |
| #13 | 2 | 1 | $900 |
| #14 | 2 | 1 | $900 |
| #15 | 2 | 1 | $900 |
| #16 | 2 | 1 | $900 |
| #17 | 2 | 1 | $900 |
| #18 | 2 | 1 | $900 |
| Total (18 units) | $15,668 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $298,750
- Closing costs
- $35,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-03-17price $1,195,000 683-char remark
Show marketing remark (683 chars)
Salient Realty Group is pleased to present 3862 S Spring Avenue, an 18-unit apartment complex located in South City. The property consists of twelve, 1 bed/1 bath and six, 2 bed/1 bath units. The property also has 12 garages and a large side lot that is included in the sale. It is positioned near major local employers and the Grand Boulevard corridor. The heavy-duty masonry construction and traditional St. Louis architecture provide a durable foundation for predictable maintenance. This neighborhood is known for its historic architecture and steady demand for rental housing. This asset represents a straightforward opportunity to enter or expand within the South City market.
-
2026-02-20status Active 683-char remark
Show marketing remark (683 chars)
Salient Realty Group is pleased to present 3862 S Spring Avenue, an 18-unit apartment complex located in South City. The property consists of twelve, 1 bed/1 bath and six, 2 bed/1 bath units. The property also has 12 garages and a large side lot that is included in the sale. It is positioned near major local employers and the Grand Boulevard corridor. The heavy-duty masonry construction and traditional St. Louis architecture provide a durable foundation for predictable maintenance. This neighborhood is known for its historic architecture and steady demand for rental housing. This asset represents a straightforward opportunity to enter or expand within the South City market.
-
2026-02-16historical Active Under Contract 683-char remark
Show marketing remark (683 chars)
Salient Realty Group is pleased to present 3862 S Spring Avenue, an 18-unit apartment complex located in South City. The property consists of twelve, 1 bed/1 bath and six, 2 bed/1 bath units. The property also has 12 garages and a large side lot that is included in the sale. It is positioned near major local employers and the Grand Boulevard corridor. The heavy-duty masonry construction and traditional St. Louis architecture provide a durable foundation for predictable maintenance. This neighborhood is known for its historic architecture and steady demand for rental housing. This asset represents a straightforward opportunity to enter or expand within the South City market.
-
2026-02-05$1,250,000 Active 683-char remark
Show marketing remark (683 chars)
Salient Realty Group is pleased to present 3862 S Spring Avenue, an 18-unit apartment complex located in South City. The property consists of twelve, 1 bed/1 bath and six, 2 bed/1 bath units. The property also has 12 garages and a large side lot that is included in the sale. It is positioned near major local employers and the Grand Boulevard corridor. The heavy-duty masonry construction and traditional St. Louis architecture provide a durable foundation for predictable maintenance. This neighborhood is known for its historic architecture and steady demand for rental housing. This asset represents a straightforward opportunity to enter or expand within the South City market.
-
2024-08-18historical $695
-
2024-08-17$695
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2024-08-03historical $695
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2024-08-03$695
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2024-03-20historical $895
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2024-03-20historical $895
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2024-03-19$895
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2024-03-19$895
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2024-03-13historical $725
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2024-01-07$725
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2023-05-23historical $675
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2022-03-09price $675
-
2017-03-09soldstatus $450,000
-
2007-03-08soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,159 · $597/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,592 · $966/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,433/yr (+$369/mo · 61.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $188,016
- − Mortgage interest
- −$66,939
- − Property taxes
- −$7,159
- − Insurance
- −$5,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$15,041
- − Management
- −$15,041
- − Depreciation
- −$34,764
- Taxable income
- $43,098
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$10,343
- After-tax cash flow
- $49,855/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,170
- Household income
- $61,433
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1923.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 2% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -271.19%
- Current HPI
- 215.7108
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.62%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+165.6% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $1,195,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-20 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-16 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Listed $1,250,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-18 Rental Removed $695 APPFOLIO
- 2024-08-17 Listed for Rent $695 APPFOLIO
- 2024-08-03 Rental Removed $695 APPFOLIO
- 2024-08-03 Listed for Rent $695 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-20 Rental Removed $895 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-20 Rental Removed $895 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-19 Listed for Rent $895 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-19 Listed for Rent $895 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-13 Rental Removed $725 APPFOLIO
- 2024-01-07 Listed for Rent $725 APPFOLIO
- 2023-05-23 Rental Removed $675 APPFOLIO
- 2022-03-09 Price Changed $675 RENT.
- 2017-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
- 2007-03-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2024): $7,159 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…