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3862 S Spring Ave 18-Plex
C+ Composite 62.54
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.1/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,195,000

3862 S Spring Ave · St. Louis, MO 63116
432 bd · 324.0 ba · 15,312 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 110 Days on market
Built 1931 0.50 ac lot $78/sqft · 5% above area Est $1135k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 18 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Salient Realty Group is pleased to present 3862 S Spring Avenue, an 18-unit apartment complex located in South City. The property consists of twelve, 1 bed/1 bath and six, 2 bed/1 bath units. The property also has 12 garages and a large side lot that is included in the sale. It is positioned near major local employers and the Grand Boulevard corridor. The heavy-duty masonry construction and traditional St. Louis architecture provide a durable foundation for predictable maintenance. This neighborhood is known for its historic architecture and steady demand for rental housing. This asset represents a straightforward opportunity to enter or expand within the South City market.

Key facts

  • Large side lot
  • 0.5 acre lot
  • 12 garage spots

Tags

18 UNIT APARTMENT COMPLEXLARGE SIDE LOTHISTORIC ARCHITECTURE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 12×1bd/1ba + 6×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $1.20M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($60k/yr) — positive. Per door: $279/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($16k rent vs $1.20M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.09M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 260 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $15,668/mo this rent would consume 306% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1923% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $335k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.09M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $450k; list at $1.20M implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,087,450 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
11.33%
Cash-on-cash
17.99%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,135,000
List price
$1,195,000
Delta
5.29%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$119,581
Equity at exit
$178,178
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$489,962
Equity at exit
$103,322

Cash invested: $334,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63116

Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
260
Price-to-rent
116.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$15,668 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,267
Tax from tax record
$597 /mo · $7,159/yr
Insurance
$498
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,290
Net cashflow
$5,017

Break-even live

Break-even rent $9,318
Max offer price $1,195,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $5,693 -5% $5,355 +0% $5,017 +5% $4,678 +10% $4,340
Rent -10% $3,779 -5% $4,398 +0% $5,017 +5% $5,635 +10% $6,254
Rate -1.0pp $5,618 -0.5pp $5,320 base $5,017 +0.5pp $4,707 +1.0pp $4,392

18-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (18 units) $15,668

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$298,750
Closing costs
$35,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-03-17
    price $1,195,000 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Salient Realty Group is pleased to present 3862 S Spring Avenue, an 18-unit apartment complex located in South City. The property consists of twelve, 1 bed/1 bath and six, 2 bed/1 bath units. The property also has 12 garages and a large side lot that is included in the sale. It is positioned near major local employers and the Grand Boulevard corridor. The heavy-duty masonry construction and traditional St. Louis architecture provide a durable foundation for predictable maintenance. This neighborhood is known for its historic architecture and steady demand for rental housing. This asset represents a straightforward opportunity to enter or expand within the South City market.

  2. 2026-02-20
    status Active 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Salient Realty Group is pleased to present 3862 S Spring Avenue, an 18-unit apartment complex located in South City. The property consists of twelve, 1 bed/1 bath and six, 2 bed/1 bath units. The property also has 12 garages and a large side lot that is included in the sale. It is positioned near major local employers and the Grand Boulevard corridor. The heavy-duty masonry construction and traditional St. Louis architecture provide a durable foundation for predictable maintenance. This neighborhood is known for its historic architecture and steady demand for rental housing. This asset represents a straightforward opportunity to enter or expand within the South City market.

  3. 2026-02-16
    historical Active Under Contract 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Salient Realty Group is pleased to present 3862 S Spring Avenue, an 18-unit apartment complex located in South City. The property consists of twelve, 1 bed/1 bath and six, 2 bed/1 bath units. The property also has 12 garages and a large side lot that is included in the sale. It is positioned near major local employers and the Grand Boulevard corridor. The heavy-duty masonry construction and traditional St. Louis architecture provide a durable foundation for predictable maintenance. This neighborhood is known for its historic architecture and steady demand for rental housing. This asset represents a straightforward opportunity to enter or expand within the South City market.

  4. 2026-02-05
    listed $1,250,000 Active 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Salient Realty Group is pleased to present 3862 S Spring Avenue, an 18-unit apartment complex located in South City. The property consists of twelve, 1 bed/1 bath and six, 2 bed/1 bath units. The property also has 12 garages and a large side lot that is included in the sale. It is positioned near major local employers and the Grand Boulevard corridor. The heavy-duty masonry construction and traditional St. Louis architecture provide a durable foundation for predictable maintenance. This neighborhood is known for its historic architecture and steady demand for rental housing. This asset represents a straightforward opportunity to enter or expand within the South City market.

  5. 2024-08-18
    historical $695
  6. 2024-08-17
    listed $695
  7. 2024-08-03
    historical $695
  8. 2024-08-03
    listed $695
  9. 2024-03-20
    historical $895
  10. 2024-03-20
    historical $895
  11. 2024-03-19
    listed $895
  12. 2024-03-19
    listed $895
  13. 2024-03-13
    historical $725
  14. 2024-01-07
    listed $725
  15. 2023-05-23
    historical $675
  16. 2022-03-09
    price $675
  17. 2017-03-09
    soldstatus $450,000
  18. 2007-03-08
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,159 · $597/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$11,592 · $966/mo
Expected delta
+$4,433/yr (+$369/mo · 61.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$188,016
− Mortgage interest
−$66,939
− Property taxes
−$7,159
− Insurance
−$5,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$15,041
− Management
−$15,041
− Depreciation
−$34,764
Taxable income
$43,098
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$10,343
After-tax cash flow
$49,855/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
42,170
Household income
$61,433
Rent vs Own
43.1% rent · 56.9% own
Severe rent burden
1923.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 2% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -271.19%
Current HPI
215.7108
Rent YoY
▲ 2.62%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+165.6% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $1,195,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-20 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-16 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $1,250,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-18 Rental Removed $695 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-08-17 Listed for Rent $695 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-08-03 Rental Removed $695 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-08-03 Listed for Rent $695 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-20 Rental Removed $895 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-20 Rental Removed $895 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-19 Listed for Rent $895 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-19 Listed for Rent $895 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-13 Rental Removed $725 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-07 Listed for Rent $725 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-05-23 Rental Removed $675 APPFOLIO
  • 2022-03-09 Price Changed $675 RENT.
  • 2017-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
  • 2007-03-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $7,159 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…