1872 Commerce St · Muskegon, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming 2-story traditional has been fully renovated and is move-in ready! Offering 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and 1,184 sq ft of finished living space, this home is packed with value. The main level features a primary bedroom option, main-level laundry, and an efficient forced air/natural gas heating system. Brand new roof installed in 2026 means one of the biggest ticket items is already done for you! Situated on a nice corner lot (50x124) with a concrete driveway and detached garage, there's plenty of room to spread out. Public water and sewer and vinyl siding round out this low-maintenance package. Located in Muskegon city limits near Laketon -- convenient to shopping, dining, and Lake Michigan. Don't miss this affordable opportunity!
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Brand new roof
- Main level laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas (water heater)
- Home design: Traditional style single-family residence; Public water
- Construction: Built in 1950; Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Natural gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.6% in Muskegon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#92 in MI, #2,096 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
- Muskegon Public Schools Of The City Of (urban): math 4% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #534 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+18.1%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 17 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $39k; list at $140k implies a 262% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.94%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $153,920
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1699 Sanford St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-1%) | 1mo | $159,000 | $135 | 81 |
| 1499 Park St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,186 (+0%) | 0mo | $150,048 | $127 | 74 |
| 2017 7th St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (-8%) | 0mo | $126,400 | $116 | 71 |
| 262 W Forest Ave | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,127 (-5%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $142 | 67 |
| 1471 Leahy St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,161 (-2%) | 1mo | $166,500 | $143 | 65 |
| 2109 Hoyt St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (-5%) | 1mo | $111,137 | $99 | 65 |
| 1969 Hoyt St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-12%) | 0mo | $92,500 | $89 | 56 |
| 1560 6th St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-12%) | 0mo | $89,000 | $86 | 56 |
| 329 W Forest Ave | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-15%) | 1mo | $131,000 | $130 | 53 |
| 1346 5th St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,078 (-9%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $70 | 52 |
| 1907 Terrace St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-9%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $157 | 45 |
| 1875 Henry St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,310 (+11%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $153 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,613
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $58,043
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49441
- Rents YoY
- 18.1%
- Active inventory
- 268
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,474 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,355/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $259
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1633 Peck St Unit 1 Muskegon, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1184 | $1,150 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 80 E Grand Ave Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 449 Washington Ave Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,695 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1644 Beidler St Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 488 W Muskegon Ave Muskegon, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1206 Terrace St Unit 1 Muskegon, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,975 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2065 Dowd St Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,695 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2073 Dowd St Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1228 | $1,750 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1188 Spring St Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1443 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1101 Spring St Muskegon, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 122 W Muskegon Ave Muskegon, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 856 | $795 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 384 Iona Ave Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1194 | $1,275 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 292 W Western Ave Muskegon, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1062 | $2,450 | $2.31 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2901 Temple St Unit 1 Muskegon Heights, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,095 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 310 Allen Ave Unit 2 Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1100 | $1,490 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 313 Orchard Ave Unit 1 Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1121 | $1,575 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 313 Orchard Ave Unit 2 Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1279 | $1,475 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $139,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$139,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,355 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,754 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$400/yr (+$33/mo · 29.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,682
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,355
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,415
- − Management
- −$1,415
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $892
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$214
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,897/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muskegon Public Schools Of The City Of
- NCES district ID
- 2624840
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,622
- Composite
- 5.8/100
- National rank
- #10017
- State rank
- #534 of 540 in MI
Livability — Muskegon
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #2096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Muskegon, MI
- County
- Muskegon County · 107,917 people
- City population
- 44,766
- Metro
- Muskegon, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,779
- Household income
- $67,427
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 938.0
Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,032 people
- By 2030
- 173,365 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 168,877 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 160,306 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 134,426 · -22.8%
- By 2100
- 98,836 · -43.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 8% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -448.86%
- Current HPI
- 263.8317
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 18.11%
- Metro
- Muskegon, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+268.2% since first listed49 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-06 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-06 Listed $139,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-10-23 Sold (MLS) $38,625 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-10-23 Sold (MLS) $38,625 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-23 Sold (MLS) $38,625 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-02 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-02 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $52,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $52,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $52,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-20 Price Changed $54,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-20 Price Changed $54,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-07-03 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-07-03 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-03 Relisted — SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-06-26 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-06-26 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-26 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-06-24 Price Changed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-24 Price Changed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-24 Price Changed $59,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-01-28 Price Changed $69,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-27 Price Changed $69,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-01-27 Price Changed $69,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-12-27 Listed $79,500 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-24 Listed $79,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-12-24 Listed $79,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-19 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-12-19 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-04 Listed $79,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-04 Listed $79,500 REALCOMP
- 2023-02-15 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-02-15 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-02-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-02-15 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-01-13 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-01-13 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-12-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-12-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-11-13 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-11-13 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
- 2006-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-30 Sold (MLS) $38,500 REALCOMP
- 2006-06-30 Sold (MLS) $38,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2006-06-09 Listed $38,000 REALCOMP
- 2006-06-09 Listed $38,000 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,355 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…