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1872 Commerce St
C+ Composite 60.12
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

1872 Commerce St · Muskegon, MI 49441
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,184 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1950 6,229 sqft lot Est $154k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming 2-story traditional has been fully renovated and is move-in ready! Offering 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and 1,184 sq ft of finished living space, this home is packed with value. The main level features a primary bedroom option, main-level laundry, and an efficient forced air/natural gas heating system. Brand new roof installed in 2026 means one of the biggest ticket items is already done for you! Situated on a nice corner lot (50x124) with a concrete driveway and detached garage, there's plenty of room to spread out. Public water and sewer and vinyl siding round out this low-maintenance package. Located in Muskegon city limits near Laketon -- convenient to shopping, dining, and Lake Michigan. Don't miss this affordable opportunity!

Key facts

  • Fully renovated
  • Brand new roof
  • Main level laundry

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDMAIN LEVEL LAUNDRYEFFICIENT FORCED AIR HEATINGBRAND NEW ROOFCONCRETE DRIVEWAYDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas (water heater)
  • Home design: Traditional style single-family residence; Public water
  • Construction: Built in 1950; Vinyl siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Natural gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.6% in Muskegon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#92 in MI, #2,096 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
  • Muskegon Public Schools Of The City Of (urban): math 4% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #534 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+18.1%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 17 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $39k; list at $140k implies a 262% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $139,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.52%
Cash-on-cash
7.94%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$153,920
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1699 Sanford St 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,176 (-1%) 1mo $159,000 $135 81
1499 Park St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,186 (+0%) 0mo $150,048 $127 74
2017 7th St 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,092 (-8%) 0mo $126,400 $116 71
262 W Forest Ave 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,127 (-5%) 5mo $160,000 $142 67
1471 Leahy St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,161 (-2%) 1mo $166,500 $143 65
2109 Hoyt St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,128 (-5%) 1mo $111,137 $99 65
1969 Hoyt St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-12%) 0mo $92,500 $89 56
1560 6th St 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (-12%) 0mo $89,000 $86 56
329 W Forest Ave 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-15%) 1mo $131,000 $130 53
1346 5th St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,078 (-9%) 2mo $75,000 $70 52
1907 Terrace St 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,080 (-9%) 3mo $170,000 $157 45
1875 Henry St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,310 (+11%) 3mo $199,900 $153 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,613
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$58,043
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49441

Rents YoY
18.1%
Active inventory
268
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,474 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,355/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$259

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,145
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1633 Peck St Unit 1 Muskegon, MI 2.0 1.0 1184 $1,150 $0.97 21d 1 0.40mi
80 E Grand Ave Muskegon, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,300 $1.08 21d 1 0.62mi
449 Washington Ave Muskegon, MI 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,695 $1.47 21d 1 0.64mi
1644 Beidler St Muskegon, MI 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,700 $1.38 21d 1 0.68mi
488 W Muskegon Ave Muskegon, MI 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,150 $1.14 21d 1 0.91mi
1206 Terrace St Unit 1 Muskegon, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,975 $1.65 21d 1 0.96mi
2065 Dowd St Muskegon, MI 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,695 $1.38 21d 1 0.96mi
2073 Dowd St Muskegon, MI 3.0 2.5 1228 $1,750 $1.43 21d 1 0.97mi
1188 Spring St Muskegon, MI 3.0 1.0 1443 $1,500 $1.04 21d 1 1.08mi
1101 Spring St Muskegon, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 21d 1 1.11mi
122 W Muskegon Ave Muskegon, MI 2.0 2.0 856 $795 $0.93 21d 1 1.23mi
384 Iona Ave Muskegon, MI 3.0 1.0 1194 $1,275 $1.07 21d 1 1.29mi
292 W Western Ave Muskegon, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1062 $2,450 $2.31 21d 1 1.32mi
2901 Temple St Unit 1 Muskegon Heights, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,095 $1.29 43d 1 1.35mi
310 Allen Ave Unit 2 Muskegon, MI 3.0 3.0 1100 $1,490 $1.35 21d 1 1.37mi
313 Orchard Ave Unit 1 Muskegon, MI 3.0 3.0 1121 $1,575 $1.40 21d 1 1.46mi
313 Orchard Ave Unit 2 Muskegon, MI 3.0 3.0 1279 $1,475 $1.15 21d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,900 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,900 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $139,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,355 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,754 · $146/mo
Expected delta
+$400/yr (+$33/mo · 29.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,682
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,355
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,415
− Management
−$1,415
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$892
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$214
After-tax cash flow
$2,897/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Muskegon Public Schools Of The City Of
NCES district ID
2624840
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$27,622
Composite
5.8/100
National rank
#10017
State rank
#534 of 540 in MI

Livability — Muskegon

Score
79/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#2096

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Muskegon, MI
County
Muskegon County · 107,917 people
City population
44,766
Metro
Muskegon, MI
Population (ZIP)
36,779
Household income
$67,427
Rent vs Own
24.2% rent · 75.8% own
Severe rent burden
938.0

Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,032 people
By 2030
173,365 · -0.4%
By 2040
168,877 · -3.0%
By 2050
160,306 · -7.9%
By 2075
134,426 · -22.8%
By 2100
98,836 · -43.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 8% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -448.86%
Current HPI
263.8317
Rent YoY
▲ 18.11%
Metro
Muskegon, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+268.2% since first listed
49 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $139,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-10-23 Sold (MLS) $38,625 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-10-23 Sold (MLS) $38,625 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-23 Sold (MLS) $38,625 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-02 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-02 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-02 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-08-28 Price Changed $52,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-27 Price Changed $52,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-27 Price Changed $52,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-07-21 Price Changed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-20 Price Changed $54,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-20 Price Changed $54,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-07-03 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-03 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-03 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-06-26 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-26 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-26 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-06-24 Price Changed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-24 Price Changed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-24 Price Changed $59,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-01-28 Price Changed $69,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-27 Price Changed $69,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-27 Price Changed $69,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-12-27 Listed $79,500 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-24 Listed $79,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-12-24 Listed $79,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-12-19 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-11-04 Listed $79,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-11-04 Listed $79,500 REALCOMP
  • 2023-02-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-02-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-02-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-02-15 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-01-13 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-01-13 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-12-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-12-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-11-13 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-11-13 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 2006-06-30 Sold (MLS) $38,500 REALCOMP
  • 2006-06-30 Sold (MLS) $38,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2006-06-09 Listed $38,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-06-09 Listed $38,000 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,355 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…