3135 27th St · Meridian, MS 39305

$119,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,010 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 85 Days on market

Built 1948 0.32 ac lot $59/sqft · 47% above area Est $81k · 47% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.9/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.1/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.2/10.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This home has been in one family since it was built in 1948! Imagine all the memories and Grandchildren that have passed thru these doors! This home has 3 bedrooms and 2 baths and a sunroom off the living area. Original hardwood floors throughout and tile in kitchen and baths, this home has so much character , located on a charming street, and walking distance to Highland Baptist Church. Basement has garage parking and tons of space for workshop and storage. Selling ''as is. ''

Key facts

• Tile in kitchen
• Space for workshop
• 0.32 acre lot

Tags

• SUNROOM OFF LIVING AREA
• ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORS
• TILE IN KITCHEN
• BASEMENT GARAGE PARKING
• SPACE FOR WORKSHOP

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
• Recommended offer: $112k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#141 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Meridian Public Schools (town): math 13% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #109 of 130 in MS (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: West Hills Elementary School (math 6% / reading 21%, grade F, #292 of 375 statewide, top 78%, 478 students, 100% FRL); Northwest Junior High School (math 14% / reading 18%, grade F, #129 of 179 statewide, top 73%, 566 students, 100% FRL); Meridian High School (math 17% / reading 15%, grade F, #145 of 197 statewide, top 74%, 1,301 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 85% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 18 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lauderdale County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $111,860 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.21% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.73%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.86%
• DSCR: 1.71
• GRM: 6.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $80,799
• List price: $119,000
• Delta: 47.28%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 6.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.26×
• Total profit: $8,702
• Equity at exit: $17,743

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.30×
• Total profit: $43,462
• Equity at exit: $10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39305

• Home prices YoY: -31.7%
• Active inventory: 84
• Price-to-rent: 6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,442 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$624
• Tax from tax record: −$25 /mo · $301/yr
• Insurance: −$50
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$303
• Net cashflow: $440

Break-even live

Break-even rent $884

Max offer price $119,000

Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $508	-5% $474	+0% $440	+5% $407	+10% $373
Rent	-10% $326	-5% $383	+0% $440	+5% $497	+10% $554
Rate	-1.0pp $500	-0.5pp $471	base $440	+0.5pp $409	+1.0pp $378

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $29,750
• Closing costs: $3,570
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1426 50th Ave Meridian, MS	3.0	2.0	1600	$1,325	$0.83	45d	1	1.43mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-02
   days on market $119,000 Active 85 DOM
2. 2026-06-01
   days on market $119,000 Active 84 DOM
3. 2026-05-31
   days on market $119,000 Active 83 DOM
4. 2026-05-30
   days on market $119,000 Active 82 DOM
5. 2026-03-09
   listed $119,000 Active 483-char remark

   Show marketing remark (483 chars)

   This home has been in one family since it was built in 1948! Imagine all the memories and Grandchildren that have passed thru these doors! This home has 3 bedrooms and 2 baths and a sunroom off the living area. Original hardwood floors throughout and tile in kitchen and baths, this home has so much character , located on a charming street, and walking distance to Highland Baptist Church. Basement has garage parking and tons of space for workshop and storage. Selling ''as is. ''

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $301 · $25/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $940 · $78/mo
• Expected delta: +$639/yr (+$53/mo · 212.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,301
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,666
• − Property taxes: −$301
• − Insurance: −$595
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,384
• − Management: −$1,384
• − Depreciation: −$3,462
• Taxable income: $3,509
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$842
• After-tax cash flow: $4,441/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Meridian Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2802910
• Math proficiency: 13% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 17% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $30,236
• Composite: 11.87/100
• National rank: #9673
• State rank: #109 of 130 in MS

Livability — Meridian

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #141
• US rank: #14839

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Meridian, MS
• County: Lauderdale County · 42,445 people
• City population: 42,445
• Metro: Meridian, MS
• Population (ZIP): 21,638
• Household income: $67,712
• Rent vs Own: 31.9% rent · 68.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 791.0

Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 75,158 people
• By 2030: 72,770 · -3.2%
• By 2040: 67,309 · -10.4%
• By 2050: 61,797 · -17.8%
• By 2075: 49,790 · -33.8%
• By 2100: 39,797 · -47.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 53% Black 36% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.0% · R 60.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -21.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.2 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+23.0 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+18.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -57.15%
• Current HPI: 123.1214
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Meridian, MS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-03-09 Listed $119,000 EMR

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $301 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.