3122 Brinkley Rd · Temple Hills, MD 20748

$158,231

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Other · 12 Days on market

Built 1966 Fair condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.7/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.2/5.0
• Rent growth +1.8/5.0
• Schools +1.7/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

A nice size for a family trying to downsize, Condo Fee of $640

Key facts

• Built 1966
• Listed 12 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $158k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $158k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#165 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
• Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $158,231

Questions for the listing agent

1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.30% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.29%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.27%
• DSCR: 1.63
• GRM: 6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 1.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.04×
• Total profit: $1,938
• Equity at exit: $23,593

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.49×
• Total profit: $21,794
• Equity at exit: $13,681

Cash invested: $44,305 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 27 Tenant-Leaning
• State Maryland: 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 20748

• Rents YoY: -2.9%
• Active inventory: 139
• Price-to-rent: 6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,051 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$830
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$198 /mo · $2,373/yr
• Insurance: −$66
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$431
• Net cashflow: $527

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,384

Max offer price $158,231

Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $39,558
• Closing costs: $4,747
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 13 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3130 Brinkley Rd Unit 9-303 Temple Hills, MD	3.0	2.0	924	$2,000	$2.16	43d	1	0.05mi
3051 Brinkley Rd Temple Hills, MD	1.0–2.0	1.0	930	$2,092	$2.25	1d	10	0.23mi
3331 Huntley Square Dr Unit C1 Temple Hills, MD	2.0	1.0	1031	$1,800	$1.75	24d	1	0.24mi
3330 Huntley Square Dr Unit T1 Temple Hills, MD	2.0	2.0	1056	$2,000	$1.89	18d	1	0.29mi
3352 Huntley Sq Dr Unit T Temple Hills, MD	2.0	2.0	1056	$2,250	$2.13	43d	1	0.31mi
3352 Huntley Sq Dr Unit T Temple Hills, MD	2.0	2.0	1056	$2,050	$1.94	21d	1	0.31mi
5837 Fisher Rd Temple Hills, MD	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	860	$2,351	$2.73	12d	1	0.49mi
5837 Fisher Rd Temple Hills, MD	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	923	$2,226	$2.41	21d	13	0.49mi
2428 Corning Ave Fort Washington, MD	1.0–2.0	1.0	835	$1,713	$2.05	1d	16	0.72mi
6500 Saint Ignatius Dr Unit 6101 Fort Washington, MD	2.0	2.0	1032	$2,100	$2.03	24d	1	0.76mi
6900 Saint Ignatius Dr #304 Fort Washington, MD	2.0	2.0	1031	$2,100	$2.04	4d	1	0.78mi
5402 Saint Barnabas Rd Oxon Hill, MD	2.0	1.0	850	$2,176	$2.56	21d	1	0.91mi
6009 Oxon Hill Rd Oxon Hill, MD	2.0	1.0–2.0	811	$2,445	$3.01	1d	16	1.41mi

Listing history 9 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $158,231 Active 12 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $158,231 Active 11 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $158,231 Active 10 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $158,231 Active 9 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $158,231 Active 7 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $158,231 Active 3 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $158,231 Active 2 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   remarks 62-char remark
9. 2026-06-07
   listed $158,231 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,614
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,863
• − Property taxes: −$2,373
• − Insurance: −$791
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,969
• − Management: −$1,969
• − Depreciation: −$4,603
• Taxable income: $4,044
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$971
• After-tax cash flow: $5,352/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

The property appears to be in good condition with minimal maintenance required. Painting the exterior and improving landscaping would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and rental value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Prince George'S County Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2400510
• Math proficiency: 8% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 24% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $73,967
• Composite: 16.82/100
• National rank: #9151
• State rank: #21 of 24 in MD

Livability — Temple Hills

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #165
• US rank: #7368

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime D Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Temple Hills, MD
• County: Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
• City population: 40,338
• Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
• Population (ZIP): 40,338
• Household income: $83,162
• Rent vs Own: 42.9% rent · 57.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 1929.0

Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,005,426 people
• By 2030: 1,048,416 · +4.3%
• By 2040: 1,123,425 · +11.7%
• By 2050: 1,183,220 · +17.7%
• By 2075: 1,306,202 · +29.9%
• By 2100: 1,408,179 · +40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (81%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% White 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada
• Languages at home: 87% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -215.06%
• Current HPI: 307.2658
• Rent YoY: ▼ -2.87%
• Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.97%
• F500 in state: 12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	1	$71B
▸Utilities	1	$25B
▸Hotels	1	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$7B
▸Real Estate	1	$6B
▸Chemicals	1	$2B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-06 Listed $158,231 FSBO.com