180 Par Dr · Royal Palm Beach, FL 33411

$395,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,636 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market

Built 1995 2,200 sqft lot Est $600k · 34% under $376/mo HOA · 12% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• Cash flow +6.5/30.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• 1% rule +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +0.8/10.0

Listing remarks

Don't Wait ! Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom villa situated in the desirable Lantern Walk 2 community in Royal Palm Beach, with a garage. This single-story residence offers 1,636 square feet of finished living space, thoughtfully designed for comfortable everyday living. As a creek front property, it provides a serene setting that enhances the overall appeal of your home, with nature out your back door. The villa includes convenient one-car garage parking and is ideally positioned within this established community. This waterfront villa presents an excellent opportunity for those seeking a well-proportioned residence with practical amenities in Royal Palm Beach. Rarely availa

Key facts

• Waterfront villa
• Creek front property
• 2,200 sq ft lot

Tags

• CREEK FRONT PROPERTY
• WATERFRONT VILLA
• LANTERN WALK 2 COMMUNITY

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Pets allowed with restrictions (dogs OK, breed restrictions may apply)
• HOA & community: Part of Lantern Walk community; Monthly HOA fee; Association amenities include clubhouse, community room, and heated pool; HOA covers cable TV, grounds maintenance, and common areas

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 1-car garage; Covered driveway parking; Two additional open parking spaces (total 3 parking spaces)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers; Cable available
• Home design: Villa; One story; Resale property; Faces northwest; Waterfront: Yes (no specific waterfront features listed)
• Construction: Stucco and concrete block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as single-story (one level)
• Exterior features: Covered patio; Glass-enclosed patio

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater (owned)
• Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
• Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling with individual controls; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Cathedral and vaulted ceilings with high ceilings; Walk-in closets; Split bedroom layout; Closet cabinetry; Skylights; Shutters
• Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $395k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-663 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $278k (29.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $308k (22.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $278k (29.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#135 in FL, #2,039 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: H. L. Johnson Elementary School (math 70% / reading 69%, grade A-, #364 of 2,144 statewide, top 19%, 817 students, 40% FRL); Crestwood Community Middle (math 49% / reading 52%, grade C, #246 of 571 statewide, top 44%, 724 students, 50% FRL); Royal Palm Beach High School (math 22% / reading 38%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 2,343 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 583 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $42k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$68k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $113k; list at $395k implies a 250% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $277,946 (29.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.78% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.28%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.19%
• DSCR: 0.68
• GRM: 10.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $600,412
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
123 Santiago St	0.41mi	3/2.0	1,705 (+4%)	18mo	$625,000	$367	59
146 Royal Pine Cir W	0.35mi	3/2.0	1,772 (+8%)	21mo	$570,000	$322	53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 18.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.51×
• Total profit: $166,674
• Equity at exit: $355,847

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.8%
• Equity multiple: 5.63×
• Total profit: $512,448
• Equity at exit: $767,398

Cash invested: $110,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33411

• Home prices YoY: 1.9%
• Rents YoY: 0.8%
• Active inventory: 583
• Price-to-rent: 10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,080 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,071
• Tax from tax record: −$483 /mo · $5,802/yr
• Insurance: −$165
• HOA: −$376
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$647
• Net cashflow: $-663

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,918

Max offer price $277,946

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-439	-5% $-551	+0% $-663	+5% $-774	+10% $-886
Rent	-10% $-906	-5% $-784	+0% $-663	+5% $-541	+10% $-419
Rate	-1.0pp $-464	-0.5pp $-562	base $-663	+0.5pp $-765	+1.0pp $-869

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $98,750
• Closing costs: $11,850
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
212 Trace Ct Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1740	$3,050	$1.75	6d	1	0.13mi
101 Fairway Ln Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.5	1684	$3,300	$1.96	23d	1	0.30mi
148 Ponce de Leon St Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	2022	$3,500	$1.73	25d	1	0.34mi
43 Essex Ct Unit A Royal Palm Beach, FL	2.0	2.5	1398	$2,500	$1.79	25d	1	0.35mi
36 Danbury Ct Unit B Royal Palm Beach, FL	2.0	2.5	1398	$2,300	$1.65	12d	1	0.35mi
147 Alcazar St Royal Palm Beach, FL	4.0	3.0	2182	$3,950	$1.81	6d	1	0.37mi
191 Parkwood Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	3.0	2200	$4,000	$1.82	25d	1	0.37mi
145 Prestige Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1464	$2,900	$1.98	18d	1	0.37mi
190 Parkwood Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1644	$3,200	$1.95	25d	1	0.38mi
1605 Palm Beach Trace Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1201	$2,100	$1.75	14d	1	0.39mi
81 Westecunk Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1347	$2,550	$1.89	19d	1	0.39mi
1803 Palm Beach Trace Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1201	$2,000	$1.67	20d	1	0.41mi
100 Miramar Ave Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1812	$3,600	$1.99	25d	1	0.41mi
180 Heatherwood Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1462	$2,710	$1.85	6d	1	0.43mi
1407 Lakeview Dr E Royal Palm Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1165	$2,300	$1.97	9d	1	0.61mi
216 Cordoba Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1461	$3,440	$2.35	0d	1	0.65mi
1601 Lakeview Dr W Unit 1601 Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.5	1296	$2,375	$1.83	23d	1	0.66mi
113 Madrid St Royal Palm Beach, FL	4.0	3.0	1720	$4,500	$2.62	25d	1	0.68mi
113 Madrid St Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	3.0	1720	$4,500	$2.62	11d	1	0.68mi
240 Bilbao St Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1440	$3,400	$2.36	25d	1	0.68mi
158 Cordoba Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1887	$3,850	$2.04	23d	1	0.69mi
151 Cordoba Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1421	$3,300	$2.32	25d	1	0.72mi
202 Lakeside Landing Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.5	1532	$3,200	$2.09	5d	1	0.81mi
221 Bilbao St Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1657	$3,700	$2.23	25d	1	0.83mi
1104 Oakwater Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL	4.0	2.5	2003	$3,896	$1.95	23d	1	0.91mi
1104 Oakwater Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL	4.0	2.5	2003	$3,896	$1.95	25d	1	0.91mi
182 Sparrow Dr Unit A Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1485	$3,000	$2.02	25d	1	0.93mi
110 Weybridge Cir Unit A Royal Palm Beach, FL	2.0	2.5	1470	$2,350	$1.60	23d	1	1.01mi
296 Sandpiper Ave Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1569	$3,100	$1.98	25d	1	1.02mi
139 Sparrow Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL	2.0–3.0	1.5–2.5	1100	$2,390	$2.17	16d	3	1.03mi
1222 Oakwater Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	3.0	2109	$3,395	$1.61	15d	1	1.05mi
1222 Oakwater Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	3.0	2109	$3,395	$1.61	25d	1	1.05mi
2106 Belcara Ct West Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1891	$3,400	$1.80	25d	1	1.08mi
111 Weybridge Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.5	1710	$3,100	$1.81	6d	1	1.08mi
132 Weybridge Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL	2.0	2.5	1470	$3,000	$2.04	25d	1	1.12mi
147 Sunflower Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL	4.0	2.0	2000	$4,100	$2.05	3d	1	1.17mi
147 Sunflower Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL	4.0	2.0	2000	$4,300	$2.15	21d	1	1.17mi
263 Deerfield Ct Royal Palm Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1120	$1,800	$1.61	25d	1	1.17mi
2830 Bellarosa Cir West Palm Beach, FL	3.0	2.5	2046	$3,300	$1.61	25d	1	1.20mi
73 Macadamia Ct Royal Palm Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1112	$2,000	$1.80	12d	1	1.25mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $376 · $4,512/yr
• Likely covers: water

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $395,000 Active 3 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   remarks 699-char remark
3. 2026-06-18
   listed $395,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $5,802 · $483/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $5,802 · $483/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $36,955
• − Mortgage interest: −$22,126
• − Property taxes: −$5,802
• − Insurance: −$1,975
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,956
• − Management: −$2,956
• − HOA: −$4,512
• − Depreciation: −$11,491
• Taxable loss: −$14,864
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,567
• After-tax cash flow: $-4,384/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Palm Beach
• NCES district ID: 1201500
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $53,943
• Composite: 42.72/100
• National rank: #3160
• State rank: #34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Royal Palm Beach

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #135
• US rank: #2039

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Royal Palm Beach, FL
• County: Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
• City population: 75,299
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 76,863
• Household income: $92,591
• Rent vs Own: 20.5% rent · 79.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 1870.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,637,487 people
• By 2030: 1,743,255 · +6.5%
• By 2040: 1,948,712 · +19.0%
• By 2050: 2,132,979 · +30.3%
• By 2075: 2,530,027 · +54.5%
• By 2100: 2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 44% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 23% Two or more races 16% Asian 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 6% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 26% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 73% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 17.04%
• Current HPI: 903.78
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.85%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+997.2% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-18 Listed $395,000 Beaches MLS
• 1997-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records
• 1995-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
• 1995-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,802 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.