421 S Ridge St · Dallas, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-Maintained 3BR Home with Huge Outbuilding & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; just 25 minutes to Charlotte Perfect starter home or investment opportunity on a quiet side street. This home has been well cared for - it just needs your updating touches. ?? 421 S Ridge St, Dallas NC Sitting on a spacious 0.34-acre city lot with plenty of room to spread out. Home Features: 3 bedrooms 1 full bathroom 1,080 heated sq ft (built 1960) Natural gas central heat & amp; central air conditioning Enclosed rear porch This house is in great shape and just needs some cosmetic updates to make it shine. Clean, solid, and move-in ready with a little personal touch! Outdoor Highlights: Quiet, shad
Key facts
- Detached outbuilding
- Spacious city lot
- Enclosed rear porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#299 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Gaston County Schools (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #93 of 178 in NC (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.5%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,069 units permitted in Gaston County in 2024 (142 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gaston County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $170k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.72%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $207,360
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 S Pine St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,081 (+0%) | 18mo | $249,900 | $231 | 75 |
| 507 S Maple St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 946 (-12%) | 2mo | $166,000 | $175 | 68 |
| 508 S Maple St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,043 (-3%) | 21mo | $200,000 | $192 | 66 |
| 504 W Church St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,133 (+5%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $207 | 66 |
| 406 S Gaston St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,175 (+9%) | 12mo | $205,000 | $174 | 57 |
| 911 Briarwood Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,073 (-1%) | 11mo | $205,000 | $191 | 57 |
| 510 S Hoyle St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-4%) | 15mo | $135,000 | $130 | 52 |
| 515 E Holly St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-4%) | 15mo | $235,000 | $226 | 51 |
| 308 Graham Dr | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 990 (-8%) | 8mo | $205,000 | $207 | 50 |
| 204 Robinson Clemmer Rd | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-11%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $141 | 48 |
| 507 S College St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 939 (-13%) | 16mo | $179,900 | $192 | 46 |
| 414 E Church St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 928 (-14%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $216 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-15,710
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-11,699
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28034
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Rents YoY
- -5.5%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,750 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$154 /mo · $1,853/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $266
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $362 | -5% $314 | +0% $266 | +5% $218 | +10% $170 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $128 | -5% $197 | +0% $266 | +5% $335 | +10% $405 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $352 | -0.5pp $309 | base $266 | +0.5pp $222 | +1.0pp $177 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 North St Dallas, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,325 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 303 E Ingle St Dallas, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 405 S Starr St Unit B Dallas, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 998 | $1,510 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 500 Chapman Pointe Cir Dallas, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,618 | $1.70 | 2d | 3 | 0.84mi |
| 6008 Bradford Ct Dallas, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,719 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 110 Stillwell St Dallas, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1010 | $1,705 | $1.69 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5703 Erin Dr Dallas, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1111 | $1,565 | $1.41 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1301 Limestone Ct Dallas, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1433 | $2,218 | $1.55 | 2d | 5 | 1.09mi |
| 119 Evans Lake Rd Dallas, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,185 | $1.32 | 2d | 2 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-16status $169,900 Under Contract 31 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $169,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-16$169,900 Active
-
2026-05-08soldstatus $90,000
-
2008-07-30soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,853 · $154/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,853 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,999
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$1,853
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,680
- − Management
- −$1,680
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable income
- $477
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$115
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,081/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gaston County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701620
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,644
- Composite
- 36.39/100
- National rank
- #4680
- State rank
- #93 of 178 in NC
Livability — Dallas
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #299
- US rank
- #12509
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dallas, NC
- County
- Gaston County · 201,497 people
- City population
- 18,979
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,979
- Household income
- $62,083
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 383.0
Population outlook (Gaston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,027 people
- By 2030
- 237,300 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 249,659 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 257,806 · +12.1%
- By 2075
- 272,163 · +18.3%
- By 2100
- 268,652 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Gaston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.0) · D 37.0% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- 0.0pp no change · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -25.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.0 2020: R+27.8 2016: R+32.1 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.58%
- Current HPI
- 241.4021
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.47%
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+208.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $169,900 FSBO.com
- 2026-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2008-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,853 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…