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3586 Gilmer Ave
C+ Composite 63.46
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

3586 Gilmer Ave · Montgomery, AL 36105
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 92 Days on market
Built 1957 0.28 ac lot $59/sqft · 76% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property is an investment property, occupied with tenants, does need some TLC.

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1957

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities D-.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bellingrath Middle School (math 0% / reading 12%, grade F, #252 of 257 statewide, top 98%, 607 students, 96% FRL, charter); Lanier Senior High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #265 of 305 statewide, top 89%, 798 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 70% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Montgomery County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $76k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,100 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
10.41%
Cash-on-cash
14.71%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$64,341
List price
$110,000
Delta
70.96%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3653 Kelley Ln 0.21mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,934 (+4%) 0mo $50,000 $26 75
3607 S Court St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,703 (-9%) 2mo $32,500 $19 63
3469 Wellington Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,782 (-4%) 3mo $49,900 $28 62
628 Lynwood Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,834 (-2%) 5mo $106,000 $58 60
3319 Lexington Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,777 (-5%) 7mo $160,000 $90 56
3653 Cloverdale Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,768 (-5%) 3mo $100,000 $57 55
3357 Wilmington Rd 0.54mi 3/2.0 2,064 (+11%) 2mo $165,000 $80 55
3417 Wellington Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,722 (-8%) 1mo $100,000 $58 54
3455 Wellington Rd 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,038 (+9%) 3mo $100,000 $49 47
3637 Cloverdale Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,655 (-11%) 3mo $90,000 $54 47
3622 Audubon Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,659 (-11%) 1mo $86,000 $52 46
3424 Le Bron Ct 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,643 (-12%) 7mo $60,000 $37 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$6,187
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$36,192
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36105

Home prices YoY
-32.6%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,314 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $455/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$378

Break-even live

Break-even rent $836
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $440 -5% $409 +0% $378 +5% $347 +10% $315
Rent -10% $274 -5% $326 +0% $378 +5% $430 +10% $481
Rate -1.0pp $433 -0.5pp $406 base $378 +0.5pp $349 +1.0pp $320

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3544 Southmont Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 1.5 1774 $1,300 $0.73 22d 1 0.16mi
3543 Berkley Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2067 $1,575 $0.76 15d 1 0.42mi
3386 Lexington Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1950 $900 $0.46 22d 1 0.54mi
3735 Bridlewood Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1386 $895 $0.65 45d 1 0.55mi
3338 S Hull St Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1311 $1,150 $0.88 22d 1 0.56mi
3485 Wellington Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 2437 $1,395 $0.57 22d 1 0.61mi
3304 Gilmer Ave Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2009 $1,400 $0.70 22d 1 0.62mi
3720 Stanley Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1719 $1,650 $0.96 22d 1 0.62mi
3649 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1266 $1,200 $0.95 22d 1 0.64mi
3708 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1749 $900 $0.51 22d 1 0.65mi
548 Winston Dr Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.5 1396 $1,000 $0.72 45d 1 0.67mi
3369 Montezuma Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1281 $1,150 $0.90 45d 1 0.68mi
3235 Norman Bridge Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1873 $900 $0.48 45d 1 0.71mi
3256 Montezuma Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1515 $1,450 $0.96 45d 1 0.80mi
139 Mount Vernon Dr Unit A Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.5 1700 $1,000 $0.59 45d 1 0.82mi
3510 Bankhead Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 3.0 2210 $2,250 $1.02 45d 1 0.84mi
3356 Audubon Rd Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.5 1340 $950 $0.71 45d 1 0.85mi
3616 Gaston Ave Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1629 $1,300 $0.80 45d 1 0.92mi
3577 Whiting Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1269 $1,150 $0.91 45d 1 0.98mi
1067 Roslyn Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1760 $1,125 $0.64 22d 1 1.03mi
1919 Norman Bridge Ct Unit 1043838P Montgomery, AL 4.0 3.0 1539 $4,108 $2.67 45d 1 1.05mi
428 Thorn Pl Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1549 $1,450 $0.94 45d 1 1.09mi
4037 Oak St Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1314 $1,450 $1.10 45d 1 1.10mi
1437 Beaumont Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2029 $1,500 $0.74 45d 1 1.13mi
519 Thorn Pl Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1632 $650 $0.40 22d 1 1.15mi
2727 Boultier St Montgomery, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1070 $1,582 $1.48 15d 3 1.29mi
334 Felder Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 2223 $2,395 $1.08 45d 1 1.29mi
4342 Sunshine Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1323 $1,250 $0.94 15d 1 1.34mi
1434 E Audubon Rd Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2237 $1,475 $0.66 45d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    days on marketlisting id $110,000 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 87 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $110,000 Active 86 DOM
  4. 2026-02-28
    listed $110,000 Active 83-char remark
    Show marketing remark (83 chars)

    This property is an investment property, occupied with tenants, does need some TLC.

  5. 2026-02-25
    listed $110,000 Active 83-char remark
    Show marketing remark (83 chars)

    This property is an investment property, occupied with tenants, does need some TLC.

  6. 2022-03-02
    soldstatus $76,000
  7. 2020-02-19
    soldstatus $76,000
  8. 2009-04-27
    soldstatus $14,000
  9. 2008-11-07
    listed $18,200
  10. 2003-09-24
    soldstatus $58,900
  11. 2002-05-30
    listed $58,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$455 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$455 · $38/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,771
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$455
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,262
− Management
−$1,262
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,881
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$691
After-tax cash flow
$3,840/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
0102430
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,902
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9093
State rank
#106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

Score
65/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, AL
County
Montgomery County · 190,016 people
City population
175,913
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
9,207
Household income
$41,486
Rent vs Own
39.9% rent · 60.1% own
Severe rent burden
679.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
224,008 people
By 2030
221,460 · -1.1%
By 2040
214,179 · -4.4%
By 2050
204,912 · -8.5%
By 2075
177,821 · -20.6%
By 2100
145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 83% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.17%
Current HPI
64.4673
Rent YoY
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+86.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-28 Listed $110,000 MAAR
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $110,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
  • 2020-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
  • 2009-04-27 Sold (MLS) $14,000 MAAR
  • 2008-11-07 Listed $18,200 MAAR
  • 2003-09-24 Sold (MLS) $58,900 MAAR
  • 2002-05-30 Listed $58,900 MAAR

Property tax history

+9.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $455 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…