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9116 Palm St 16-Plex
C Composite 58.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$3,895,000

9116 Palm St · Bellflower, CA 90706
24 bd · 24.0 ba · 12,704 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1963 0.45 ac lot $307/sqft · 16% below area Est $4609k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 16 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

A wonderful opportunity to own a well maintained 16 unit apartment in Bellflower. 8 units are 2 Bedroom, 1.5 Bath, appox. 875 Sqft. and 8 units are 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath, approx. 620 Sqft. 5 units have a patio, 5 units have a balcony/deck, and 3 units have a backyard. Laundry Room has 5 washers and 4 dryers (2 stacked units) that are owned. 1 large storage/office area, approx. 500Sqft with bathroom. Gross income is approx. $30,000 per month. Gated Complex with Remote/Code Access Car Entry. 25 Parking Spaces. Newer iron fence, Newer concrete parking lot, Newer water heater. Palm Street Park is located across the street with playgrounds for kids and numerous picnic tables. Perfect for gatherings and enjoying the outdoors. Conveniently located restaurants, banks, schools, shopping centers, parks, and more! Easy access to the 91, 605, 710 Freeways.

Key facts

  • Gated complex
  • 5 units have a patio
  • 1 large storage area

Tags

5 UNITS HAVE A PATIO5 UNITS HAVE A BALCONY3 UNITS HAVE A BACKYARDLAUNDRY ROOM HAS 5 WASHERS1 LARGE STORAGE AREAGATED COMPLEX

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 16 × 2.0-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $3.90M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($58k/yr) — positive. Per door: $300/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $3.78M (2.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $3.66M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.5% in Bellflower — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#483 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
  • Bellflower Unified (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #667 of 1,400 in CA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $37,816/mo this rent would consume 576% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 4049% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $27k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $117k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($3.66M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $2.10M; list at $3.90M implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $3,661,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.77%
Cash-on-cash
5.29%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$4,609,479
List price
$3,895,000
Delta
-15.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.3%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-333,554
Equity at exit
$580,757
10-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$68,875
Equity at exit
$336,768

Cash invested: $1,090,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 90706

Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
137.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$37,816 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$20,426
Tax from tax record
$3,019 /mo · $36,230/yr
Insurance
$1,623
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$7,941
Net cashflow
$4,807

Break-even live

Break-even rent $31,732
Max offer price $3,895,000
Occupancy floor 82%

16-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (16 units) $37,816

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$973,750
Closing costs
$116,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $3,895,000 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $3,895,000 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $3,895,000 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $3,895,000 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $3,895,000 Active 85 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $3,895,000 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $3,895,000 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $3,895,000 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $3,895,000 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $3,895,000 Active 76 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $3,895,000 Active 75 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $3,895,000 Active 74 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $3,895,000 Active 73 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $3,895,000 Active 72 DOM
  15. 2026-03-20
    listed $3,895,000 Active 853-char remark
    Show marketing remark (853 chars)

    A wonderful opportunity to own a well maintained 16 unit apartment in Bellflower. 8 units are 2 Bedroom, 1.5 Bath, appox. 875 Sqft. and 8 units are 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath, approx. 620 Sqft. 5 units have a patio, 5 units have a balcony/deck, and 3 units have a backyard. Laundry Room has 5 washers and 4 dryers (2 stacked units) that are owned. 1 large storage/office area, approx. 500Sqft with bathroom. Gross income is approx. $30,000 per month. Gated Complex with Remote/Code Access Car Entry. 25 Parking Spaces. Newer iron fence, Newer concrete parking lot, Newer water heater. Palm Street Park is located across the street with playgrounds for kids and numerous picnic tables. Perfect for gatherings and enjoying the outdoors. Conveniently located restaurants, banks, schools, shopping centers, parks, and more! Easy access to the 91, 605, 710 Freeways.

  16. 2025-05-27
    historical
  17. 2024-12-04
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2024-10-29
    price $3,795,000
  19. 2024-06-20
    price $3,995,000
  20. 2024-03-26
    listed $4,198,000 Active
  21. 2023-12-31
    historical
  22. 2023-09-05
    price $4,598,000
  23. 2023-04-24
    listed $4,895,000 Active
  24. 2022-07-05
    historical
  25. 2022-04-14
    listed $5,190,000 Active
  26. 2008-10-02
    soldstatus $2,100,000
  27. 2008-09-26
    soldstatus $2,100,000
  28. 2008-08-28
    historical
  29. 2008-07-22
    listed $2,085,000
  30. 2003-07-08
    soldstatus $1,405,000
  31. 2003-07-01
    soldstatus $1,405,000
  32. 2003-06-15
    soldstatus $1,405,000
  33. 2002-12-27
    listed $1,450,000
  34. 2002-12-26
    historical
  35. 2002-09-26
    listed $1,495,000
  36. 1996-12-20
    soldstatus $500,000
  37. 1989-10-03
    soldstatus $1,040,000
  38. 1989-10-03
    soldstatus $1,040,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$36,230 · $3,019/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$36,230 · $3,019/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$453,792
− Mortgage interest
−$218,181
− Property taxes
−$36,230
− Insurance
−$19,475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$36,303
− Management
−$36,303
− Depreciation
−$113,309
Taxable loss
−$6,010
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,442
After-tax cash flow
$59,123/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bellflower Unified
NCES district ID
0604440
Math proficiency
32% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$56,090
Composite
38.25/100
National rank
#8559
State rank
#667 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Bellflower

Score
62/100
State rank
#483
US rank
#16431

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing C+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bellflower, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
76,819
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
76,819
Household income
$78,722
Rent vs Own
60.7% rent · 39.3% own
Severe rent burden
4049.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 61% Two or more races 18% White 13% Asian 12% Black 11% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 50%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
31% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
42% English-only · Spanish 46% Tagalog/Filipino 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -796.81%
Current HPI
407.4327
Rent YoY
▲ 2.79%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+274.5% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $3,895,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-05-27 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2024-12-04 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2024-10-29 Price Changed $3,795,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-06-20 Price Changed $3,995,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-03-26 Listed $4,198,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-12-31 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2023-09-05 Price Changed $4,598,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-04-24 Listed $4,895,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-07-05 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2022-04-14 Listed $5,190,000 CRMLS
  • 2008-10-02 Sold (MLS) $2,100,000 CRMLS
  • 2008-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $2,100,000 Public Records
  • 2008-08-28 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2008-07-22 Listed $2,085,000 CRMLS
  • 2003-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $1,405,000 Public Records
  • 2003-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $1,405,000 Public Records
  • 2003-06-15 Sold (MLS) $1,405,000 CRMLS
  • 2002-12-27 Listed $1,450,000 CRMLS
  • 2002-12-26 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2002-09-26 Listed $1,495,000 CRMLS
  • 1996-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $500,000 Public Records
  • 1989-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $1,040,000 Public Records
  • 1989-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $1,040,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $36,230 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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