🏗️ New Construction
Columbus Plan · Punta Gorda, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.4/10.0
$299,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This expansive two-story home boasts a well-designed layout, featuring a first floor dedicated to shared living and entertaining. The open-concept design seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining room and family room, with a covered lanai extending the interior space outdoors. Upstairs, a spacious loft separates the three secondary bedrooms from the serene owner's suite. Completing the home is a convenient two-car garage.
Key facts
- Open-concept design
- Serene owner's suite
- Covered lanai
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $962 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
- Recommended offer: $264k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.5% in Punta Gorda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#225 in FL, #3,567 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 68%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 761 students, 52% FRL); Punta Gorda Middle School (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C+, #209 of 571 statewide, top 37%, 1,120 students, 41% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 1453 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 109d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,183/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 42% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $95k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 207 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 207 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.16%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $339,000
- List price
- $299,999
- Delta
- -11.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45043 Pipevine Cir | 0.01mi | 4/2.5 | 1,874 (0%) | 4mo | $329,000 | $176 | 96 |
| 45024 Pipevine Cir | 0.03mi | 4/3.0 | 1,933 (+3%) | 1mo | $421,205 | $218 | 90 |
| 45037 Pipevine Cir | 0.01mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,112 (+13%) | 4mo | $349,000 | $165 | 70 |
| 16042 Palos Verdes St | 0.11mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,112 (+13%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $149 | 68 |
| 44567 Frontier Dr | 1.12mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,159 (+15%) | 19mo | $479,000 | $222 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $11,178
- Equity at exit
- $50,546
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $109,037
- Equity at exit
- $29,311
Cash invested: $94,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 22 active · 4 under contract
- Months of supply
- 33.0 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $322,724 ($170/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 12 d
- This list price
- 14% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +6.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33982
- Home prices YoY
- -1.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 1453
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,183 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,778
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$424 /mo · $5,085/yr
- Insurance
- −$141
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$878
- Net cashflow
- $962
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,196 | -5% $1,079 | +0% $962 | +5% $844 | +10% $727 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $631 | -5% $796 | +0% $962 | +5% $1,127 | +10% $1,292 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,132 | -0.5pp $1,048 | base $962 | +0.5pp $874 | +1.0pp $784 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,750
- Closing costs
- $10,170
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16042 Palos Verdes St Punta Gorda, FL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2112 | $3,000 | $1.42 | 5d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 15918 Green Acres Ave Unit 4521 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $2,400 | $1.14 | 6d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 15405 Green Acres Ave #2331 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $5,500 | $4.23 | 116d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 15405 Green Acres Ave #2331 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $5,500 | $4.23 | 6d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 15375 Green Acres Ave Unit 2228 , FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 6d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 44458 Diamond Trl Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $2,500 | $1.68 | 6d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 44458 Diamond Trl Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $2,500 | $1.68 | 116d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 15194 Bluffton Ln #1422 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $6,300 | $2.99 | 109d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 15375 Green Acres Ave #2211 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $4,795 | $3.69 | 6d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 15375 Green Acres Ave #2211 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $2,295 | $1.76 | 116d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 15345 Green Acres Ave #2111 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $4,795 | $3.69 | 116d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 15170 Bluffton Ln Unit 1821 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $6,500 | $3.08 | 109d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Address: 45584 Pipevine Cir, Punta Gorda FL 33982Listing status: Active
- Financial info
- List price $330,999
Exterior
- Home design
- New construction plan named ColumbusSingle-family home (plan)
- Construction
- Built 2026 (new construction)Plan: Columbus
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
- Interior features
- Open living area of approximately 1,874 finished square feet
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $299,999 Active 207 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $299,999 Active 206 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $299,999 Active 205 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $299,999 Active 204 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $299,999 Active 203 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $299,999 Active 201 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $299,999 Active 200 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $299,999 Active 199 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $299,999 Active 198 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $299,999 Active 197 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $299,999 Active 196 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $299,999 Active 195 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $299,999 Active 189 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $299,999 Active 188 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $299,999 Active 183 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $299,999 Active 182 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $299,999 Active 181 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $299,999 Active 180 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $299,999 Active 179 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $299,999 Active 178 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $299,999 Active 176 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $299,999 Active 175 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $299,999 Active 174 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $299,999 Active 173 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $299,999 Active 172 DOM
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2026-08-18price $299,999 Active 171 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $330,999 Active 171 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $330,999 Active 170 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $330,999 Active 169 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $330,999 Active 168 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $330,999 Active 167 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $330,999 Active 166 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $330,999 Active 165 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $330,999 Active 164 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $330,999 Active 163 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $330,999 Active 162 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $330,999 Active 161 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $330,999 Active 160 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $330,999 Active 159 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $330,999 Active 158 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $330,999 Active 157 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $330,999 Active 156 DOM
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2026-08-01days on market $330,999 Active 153 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $330,999 Active 151 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $330,999 Active 149 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $330,999 Active 146 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $330,999 Active 145 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $330,999 Active 144 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $330,999 Active 143 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $330,999 Active 140 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,191
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,989
- − Property taxes
- −$5,085
- − Insurance
- −$1,695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,015
- − Management
- −$4,015
- − Depreciation
- −$9,862
- Taxable income
- $6,530
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,567
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,971/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This move-in-ready two-story home features a well-designed layout with an open-concept design and a spacious loft. The exterior is in excellent condition, and the interior is pristine. Updates to the exterior and kitchen would significantly enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Resale Updating the kitchen backsplash — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value ↑
- Both Installing smart home devices — Enhances convenience and adds value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Punta Gorda
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #225
- US rank
- #3567
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 198,646 people
- City population
- 68,831
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,006
- Household income
- $72,443
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 42% of renters
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.25%
- Current HPI
- 448.5895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.13%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…