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4126 Fairburn Ave SW
B- Composite 69.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

4126 Fairburn Ave SW · Atlanta, GA 30331
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 576 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1958 0.28 ac lot $208/sqft · 129% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Built 1958
  • Listed 37 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as fixer condition
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water available; Septic tank; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; House; Built in 1958; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Park and playground nearby; Sidewalks and street lights; Near public transportation

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central forced-air heating; Window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: Accessible doors; Separate shower; One-level layout; Great room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in a common area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $539 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-.
  • Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ralph Bunche Middle School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #449 of 470 statewide, top 97%, 824 students, 100% FRL); D. M. Therrell High School (math 5% / reading 10%, grade F, #378 of 424 statewide, top 91%, 973 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 71% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 32% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Atlanta Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 487 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $120k implies a 700% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,400 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
11.68%
Cash-on-cash
19.26%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$52,500
List price
$120,000
Delta
128.57%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$14,272
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$54,109
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30331

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
487
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,685 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,352/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$539

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,002
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $607 -5% $573 +0% $539 +5% $505 +10% $471
Rent -10% $406 -5% $473 +0% $539 +5% $606 +10% $672
Rate -1.0pp $600 -0.5pp $570 base $539 +0.5pp $508 +1.0pp $476

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2750 Barge Rd SW Atlanta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 986 $1,936 $1.96 0d 51 1.33mi
3381 Greenbriar Pkwy SW Atlanta, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 836 $1,416 $1.69 25d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $120,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    listed $120,000 New 16-char remark
  17. 2026-03-26
    historical
  18. 2025-12-26
    listed $115,000 New
  19. 1975-06-27
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,352 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,352 · $113/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,219
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,352
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,618
− Management
−$1,618
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$4,820
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,157
After-tax cash flow
$5,313/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Atlanta Public Schools
NCES district ID
1300120
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,306
Composite
27.27/100
National rank
#7006
State rank
#80 of 174 in GA

Livability — Atlanta

Score
83/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#919

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime A Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Atlanta, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
629,525
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
62,567
Household income
$62,623
Rent vs Own
46.8% rent · 53.2% own
Severe rent burden
3748.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -106.38%
Current HPI
204.5402
Rent YoY
▲ 2.63%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+700.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $120,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-12-26 Listed $115,000 GAMLS
  • 1975-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+26.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,352 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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