61 Rear Center Ave · Plymouth, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3 bedroom 1/2 Double w/ updated modern kitchen, hardwood floors, 1st floor laundry, electric hot water heat. Cement tile siding.
Key facts
- Gas heater
- Off-street parking
- Rinnai heaters
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Shared driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Residential construction
- Exterior features: Cleared, level lot; Lot approximately 24 x 74 (0.04 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full, unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $712 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
- Cap rate 28.2% vs local median 8.3% in Plymouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,068 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Wyoming Valley West SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #445 of 539 in PA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $39k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 78.22%
- DSCR
- 4.48
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $89,722
- List price
- $39,000
- Delta
- -56.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161 Center Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-1%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $64 | 86 |
| 76 Rear Walnut St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,116 (+1%) | 10mo | $93,000 | $83 | 78 |
| 44 Hillside Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.5 | 1,190 (+8%) | 7mo | $85,000 | $71 | 68 |
| 45 Ferry St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,135 (+2%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $57 | 63 |
| 400 Beade St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,104 (-0%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $122 | 62 |
| 56 Elm St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,234 (+12%) | 4mo | $112,000 | $91 | 55 |
| 146 Reynolds St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-10%) | 1mo | $122,235 | $122 | 53 |
| 405 Cool St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,034 (-7%) | 18mo | $358,000 | $346 | 52 |
| 14 Elm St | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,200 (+8%) | 13mo | $159,000 | $133 | 51 |
| 368 Harris St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 1,214 (+10%) | 12mo | $111,850 | $92 | 50 |
| 364 Salsburg St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,000 (-10%) | 14mo | $90,000 | $90 | 47 |
| 40 Kniffen St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,265 (+14%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $178 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 78.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.58×
- Total profit
- $39,057
- Equity at exit
- $5,815
- IRR
- 81.9%
- Equity multiple
- 9.48×
- Total profit
- $92,560
- Equity at exit
- $3,372
Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18651
- Home prices YoY
- -11.5%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,292 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$205
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,057/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $712
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,750
- Closing costs
- $1,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 E Shawnee Ave Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 13d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 210-212 Center Ave Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 338 W Shawnee Ave Plymouth, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 945 | $1,550 | $1.64 | 13d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 241 Gould St Plymouth, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,150 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 463 2nd St Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 546 W Main St Plymouth, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $875 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 546 W Main St Plymouth, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,150 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 134 Blair St Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 72 Franklin St Plymouth, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,175 | $1.57 | 13d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 29 Franklin St Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1426 | $1,800 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 18 North St Plymouth, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 202 S Nesbitt St Unit 206 B Larksville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 100 Nesbitt St Unit 2 Larksville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 229 Nesbitt St Larksville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 206 Nesbitt St Larksville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,325 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 327 Plymouth Ave Wilkes-Barre, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-08$39,000 Active 361-char remark
-
2018-02-22soldstatus $15,000
-
2018-02-09soldstatus $15,000 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1/2 Double w/ updated modern kitchen, hardwood floors, 1st floor laundry, electric hot water heat. Cement tile siding.
-
2017-09-14$24,900 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1/2 Double w/ updated modern kitchen, hardwood floors, 1st floor laundry, electric hot water heat. Cement tile siding.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,057 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,057 · $88/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,185
- − Property taxes
- −$1,057
- − Insurance
- −$195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,240
- − Management
- −$1,240
- − Depreciation
- −$1,135
- Taxable income
- $8,451
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,028
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,513/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wyoming Valley West SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225950
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,437
- Composite
- 25.38/100
- National rank
- #7470
- State rank
- #445 of 539 in PA
Livability — Plymouth
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1068
- US rank
- #12056
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Plymouth, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,672
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 19% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.78%
- Current HPI
- 229.6791
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+56.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-05-08 Listed $39,000 LCAR
- 2018-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 2018-02-09 Sold (MLS) $15,000 LCAR
- 2017-09-14 Listed $24,900 LCAR
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2026): $1,057 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…