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255 Forest Ln
D- Composite 39.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.6/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.2/30.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$259,000

255 Forest Ln · Colbert, GA 30628
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,620 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1977 5.32 ac lot $160/sqft · 13% below area Est $299k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Madison County Home on 5+ Private Acres!

Key facts

  • Private acres
  • 5.32 acre lot
  • Built 1977

Tags

PRIVATE ACRES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 5.32-acre lot; Located at 255 Forest Ln, Colbert, GA 30628
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking pad / open parking
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; House structure; Resale property; One story
  • Construction: Built in 1977; Wood siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Private lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Other interior features; One-level layout; No basement; No fireplaces
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in a common area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $259k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-704 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (39.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (46.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (46.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#206 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Madison County (rural): math 46% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #29 of 174 in GA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Colbert Elementary School (math 37% / reading 36%, grade F, #509 of 1,228 statewide, top 42%, 447 students, 58% FRL); Madison County Middle School (math 45% / reading 42%, grade D, #114 of 470 statewide, top 24%, 1,174 students, 58% FRL); Madison County High School (math 30% / reading 38%, grade F, #93 of 424 statewide, top 23%, 1,436 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 189 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $137,500 (46.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.53%
Cap rate
3.03%
Cash-on-cash
-11.64%
DSCR
0.48
GRM
15.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$299,049
List price
$259,000
Delta
-13.39%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
255 Forest Ln 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,620 (0%) 0mo $259,000 $160 100
147 Conifer Ct 0.58mi 3/3.0 1,680 (+4%) 3mo $280,000 $167 60
41 Noahs Way 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,405 (-13%) 16mo $275,000 $196 58
418 Pine Ridge Cir 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,533 (-5%) 10mo $317,500 $207 57
231 Pine Ridge Cir 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,504 (-7%) 10mo $307,000 $204 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
2.14×
Total profit
$82,620
Equity at exit
$218,813
10-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
4.80×
Total profit
$275,583
Equity at exit
$457,243

Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30628

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
48
Price-to-rent
15.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,375 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,358
Tax est. 1.5%
$324 /mo · $3,885/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$-704

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,266
Max offer price $157,182
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-525 -5% $-614 +0% $-704 +5% $-793 +10% $-883
Rent -10% $-812 -5% $-758 +0% $-704 +5% $-649 +10% $-595
Rate -1.0pp $-573 -0.5pp $-638 base $-704 +0.5pp $-771 +1.0pp $-839

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,750
Closing costs
$7,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3355 Hardman Morris Rd Lot 26 Colbert, GA 4.0 2.0 2016 $1,375 $0.68 22d 1 0.93mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Under Contract 40-char remark
  2. 2026-05-15
    listed $259,000 New 40-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,500
− Mortgage interest
−$14,508
− Property taxes
−$3,885
− Insurance
−$1,295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,320
− Management
−$1,320
− Depreciation
−$7,535
Taxable loss
−$13,363
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,207
After-tax cash flow
$-5,237/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
1303480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$43,465
Composite
37.21/100
National rank
#4469
State rank
#29 of 174 in GA

Livability — Colbert

Score
65/100
State rank
#206
US rank
#12623

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
7,261
Population (ZIP)
7,261

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,986 people
By 2030
28,972 · +-0.0%
By 2040
28,711 · -0.9%
By 2050
28,282 · -2.4%
By 2075
28,346 · -2.2%
By 2100
28,189 · -2.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Russian 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Philippines, Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.8) · D 22.4% · R 77.2%
2008→2024 swing
-8.4pp toward R · 2008: -46.4pp · 2024: -54.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.8 2020: R+53.0 2016: R+56.7 2012: R+53.8 2008: R+46.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.22%
Current HPI
298.3635
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $259,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $259,000 GAMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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