103 Cedar Bluff Ct · Harvest, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT STARTER HOME! GORGEOUS FULL BRICK RANCH FEATURES 3BR/2BA. ATTRACTIVE HW FLOORS. CROWN MOLDING & TREY CEILINGS IN MASTER BEDRM & LR. KITCHEN HAS LOTS OF COUNTER SPACE & BEAUTIFUL CABINETS. ENTERTAIN ON THE PATIO UNDER PERGOLA IN THE BEAUTIFUL AND EXTENSIVE BACKYARD LANDSCAPING. BRICK ACCENT ON DRIVEWAY W/EXTRA PARKING PAD.
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Pergola
- Half acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Silver Cedars
Exterior
- Parking: Two-car garage
- Utilities: Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 2001; Approximately 1,269 square feet living area
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Public water
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central heating with natural gas
- Interior features: Nine total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (13.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.5% in Harvest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#27 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Harvest School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #329 of 627 statewide, top 53%, 734 students, 54% FRL); Monrovia Middle School (math 29% / reading 66%, grade C-, #32 of 257 statewide, top 12%, 1,003 students, 31% FRL); Sparkman High School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #58 of 305 statewide, top 19%, 1,738 students, 37% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 667 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $220k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.07%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $239,424
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 Willow Green Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+4%) | 9mo | $195,000 | $150 | 74 |
| 104 Willhollow Ct | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+0%) | 9mo | $252,500 | $202 | 70 |
| 149 Populus Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,283 (+3%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $183 | 54 |
| 104 Silver Poplar Pl | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (+2%) | 17mo | $250,000 | $197 | 53 |
| 114 Poplar Green Ln | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,393 (+12%) | 3mo | $262,000 | $188 | 53 |
| 110 Silver Poplar Pl | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (+3%) | 18mo | $249,900 | $194 | 48 |
| 148 Poplar Green Ln | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,275 (+2%) | 18mo | $239,900 | $188 | 46 |
| 129 Poplar Green Ln | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+12%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $179 | 42 |
| 226 Shortleaf Ln | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,284 (+3%) | 16mo | $261,900 | $204 | 40 |
| 142 Populus Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,379 (+11%) | 23mo | $265,000 | $192 | 32 |
| 155 Populus Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,112 (-11%) | 15mo | $219,900 | $198 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-26,561
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-22,545
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35749
- Home prices YoY
- -5.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 667
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,899 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $551/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $209
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $333 | -5% $271 | +0% $209 | +5% $146 | +10% $84 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $59 | -5% $134 | +0% $209 | +5% $284 | +10% $359 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $320 | -0.5pp $265 | base $209 | +0.5pp $152 | +1.0pp $94 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 324 Willow Oak Dr Harvest, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $1,850 | $1.51 | 15d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 136 Populus Dr Harvest, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $1,600 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 115 Sabel Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $1,698 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 520-char remark
-
2026-06-18$220,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $551 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $902 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$351/yr (+$29/mo · 63.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,785
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$551
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,823
- − Management
- −$1,823
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$1,235
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$296
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,801/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — Harvest
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #5986
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 220,435
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,710
- Household income
- $103,901
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 174.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.54%
- Current HPI
- 291.1184
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.81%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+72.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $220,000 VMLS
- 2013-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $114,900 Public Records
- 2013-08-02 Sold (MLS) $114,900 VMLS
- 2012-11-28 Listed $114,900 VMLS
- 2008-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $127,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2024): $551 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…