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103 Cedar Bluff Ct
C- Composite 51.59
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.2/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

103 Cedar Bluff Ct · Harvest, AL 35749
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,247 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 2001 0.50 ac lot Est $239k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT STARTER HOME! GORGEOUS FULL BRICK RANCH FEATURES 3BR/2BA. ATTRACTIVE HW FLOORS. CROWN MOLDING & TREY CEILINGS IN MASTER BEDRM & LR. KITCHEN HAS LOTS OF COUNTER SPACE & BEAUTIFUL CABINETS. ENTERTAIN ON THE PATIO UNDER PERGOLA IN THE BEAUTIFUL AND EXTENSIVE BACKYARD LANDSCAPING. BRICK ACCENT ON DRIVEWAY W/EXTRA PARKING PAD.

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Pergola
  • Half acre lot

Tags

HALF ACRE LOTSPACIOUS BACKYARDPATIOPERGOLANO HOMEOWNERS ASSOCIATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Silver Cedars

Exterior

  • Parking: Two-car garage
  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 2001; Approximately 1,269 square feet living area
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Public water

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central heating with natural gas
  • Interior features: Nine total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (13.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $190k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.5% in Harvest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#27 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Harvest School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #329 of 627 statewide, top 53%, 734 students, 54% FRL); Monrovia Middle School (math 29% / reading 66%, grade C-, #32 of 257 statewide, top 12%, 1,003 students, 31% FRL); Sparkman High School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #58 of 305 statewide, top 19%, 1,738 students, 37% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 667 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $220k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $189,878 (13.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.07%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$239,424
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
103 Willow Green Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+4%) 9mo $195,000 $150 74
104 Willhollow Ct 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+0%) 9mo $252,500 $202 70
149 Populus Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,283 (+3%) 8mo $235,000 $183 54
104 Silver Poplar Pl 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,269 (+2%) 17mo $250,000 $197 53
114 Poplar Green Ln 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,393 (+12%) 3mo $262,000 $188 53
110 Silver Poplar Pl 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,288 (+3%) 18mo $249,900 $194 48
148 Poplar Green Ln 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,275 (+2%) 18mo $239,900 $188 46
129 Poplar Green Ln 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+12%) 9mo $250,000 $179 42
226 Shortleaf Ln 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,284 (+3%) 16mo $261,900 $204 40
142 Populus Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,379 (+11%) 23mo $265,000 $192 32
155 Populus Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,112 (-11%) 15mo $219,900 $198 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-26,561
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-22,545
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35749

Home prices YoY
-5.4%
Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
667
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,899 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $551/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$209

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,635
Max offer price $220,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $333 -5% $271 +0% $209 +5% $146 +10% $84
Rent -10% $59 -5% $134 +0% $209 +5% $284 +10% $359
Rate -1.0pp $320 -0.5pp $265 base $209 +0.5pp $152 +1.0pp $94

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
324 Willow Oak Dr Harvest, AL 3.0 2.0 1226 $1,850 $1.51 15d 1 0.31mi
136 Populus Dr Harvest, AL 3.0 2.0 1374 $1,600 $1.16 45d 1 0.54mi
115 Sabel Cir Madison, AL 3.0 2.5 1412 $1,698 $1.20 15d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 520-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $220,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$551 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$902 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$351/yr (+$29/mo · 63.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,785
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$551
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,823
− Management
−$1,823
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$1,235
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$296
After-tax cash flow
$2,801/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
0102220
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,058
Composite
37.15/100
National rank
#4483
State rank
#19 of 129 in AL

Livability — Harvest

Score
72/100
State rank
#27
US rank
#5986

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
220,435
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
30,710
Household income
$103,901
Rent vs Own
12.4% rent · 87.6% own
Severe rent burden
174.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.54%
Current HPI
291.1184
Rent YoY
▲ 0.81%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+72.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $220,000 VMLS
  • 2013-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $114,900 Public Records
  • 2013-08-02 Sold (MLS) $114,900 VMLS
  • 2012-11-28 Listed $114,900 VMLS
  • 2008-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $127,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $551 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…