1718 Carvelle Dr #1718 · Riviera Beach, FL 33404

$229,990

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,022 sqft · Townhouse public records · 203 Days on market

Built 2006 $390/mo HOA · 12% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.2/30.0
• 1% rule +8.7/10.0
• DSCR +7.8/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.3/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

2 bedroom 2 bath townhome in Villa Rosa. Attached garage. Tile throughout. High ceilings with open floor plan.

Key facts

• Fitness center
• Community pool
• In-unit laundry

Tags

• OPEN LAYOUT
• MODERN FINISHES
• OUTDOOR PATIO
• IN-UNIT LAUNDRY
• COMMUNITY POOL
• FITNESS CENTER

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Association-maintained pool
• Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions or conditions
• HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee covers cable TV, insurance, pest control, pool(s), roof, security, and trash; Association offers pool

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage; Covered parking; Guest parking; Two or more parking spaces (1 garage space)
• Security: Complex fenced; Key card entry; Smoke detectors
• Utilities: Cable available
• Home design: Attached property (townhome/condo style); 2 stories; Entry located on 2nd level
• Construction: Block construction
• Exterior features: Balcony; Open balcony/patio

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on upper level
• Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
• Interior features: Furnished; First-floor entry; Split bedroom layout; Upper-level primary bedroom; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet(s)
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $230k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
• Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#581 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
• Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 506 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,145/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 203 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $58k; list at $230k implies a 297% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $202,391 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 203 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.37% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.69%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.55%
• DSCR: 1.38
• GRM: 6.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -7.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.74×
• Total profit: $-16,948
• Equity at exit: $34,292

10-year hold

• IRR: -3.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.82×
• Total profit: $-11,470
• Equity at exit: $19,885

Cash invested: $64,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33404

• Home prices YoY: -31.1%
• Rents YoY: -0.7%
• Active inventory: 506
• Price-to-rent: 6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,145 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,206
• Tax from tax record: −$334 /mo · $4,008/yr
• Insurance: −$96
• HOA: −$390
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$661
• Net cashflow: $459

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,564

Max offer price $229,990

Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $57,498
• Closing costs: $6,900
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 7 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
855 Date Palm Dr West Palm Beach, FL	3.0	3.0	1216	$3,150	$2.59	24d	1	0.97mi
901 W 37th St Riviera Beach, FL	3.0	1.0	900	$2,895	$3.22	24d	1	0.97mi
8731 Uranus Ter West Palm Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	900	$3,200	$3.56	24d	1	1.27mi
520 W 28th St Riviera Beach, FL	3.0	1.0	1296	$6,000	$4.63	3d	1	1.29mi
321 Sandtree Dr Palm Beach Gardens, FL	3.0	2.5	1480	$3,000	$2.03	24d	1	1.31mi
321 Sandtree Dr Palm Beach Gardens, FL	3.0	2.5	1480	$3,000	$2.03	11d	1	1.31mi
1401 W 9th St Riviera Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1304	$3,200	$2.45	24d	1	1.33mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $390 · $4,680/yr

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $229,990 Active 203 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $229,990 Active 202 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $229,990 Active 201 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $229,990 Active 200 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $229,990 Active 198 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $229,990 Active 194 DOM
7. 2026-06-07
   days on market $229,990 Active 192 DOM
8. 2026-06-04
   remarks 670-char remark
9. 2026-06-04
   statusdays on market $229,990 Active 189 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,990 Active Under Contract 188 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,990 Active Under Contract 186 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,990 Active Under Contract 185 DOM
13. 2026-05-19
    historical Active Under Contract
14. 2026-02-07
    price $229,990
15. 2025-12-24
    price $239,900
16. 2025-11-27
    listed $259,900 Active
17. 2011-08-19
    soldstatus $58,000 110-char remark

    Show marketing remark (110 chars)

    2 bedroom 2 bath townhome in Villa Rosa. Attached garage. Tile throughout. High ceilings with open floor plan.

18. 2011-08-08
    historical 110-char remark

    Show marketing remark (110 chars)

    2 bedroom 2 bath townhome in Villa Rosa. Attached garage. Tile throughout. High ceilings with open floor plan.

19. 2011-07-25
    listed $49,900 110-char remark

    Show marketing remark (110 chars)

    2 bedroom 2 bath townhome in Villa Rosa. Attached garage. Tile throughout. High ceilings with open floor plan.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,008 · $334/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,008 · $334/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $37,743
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,883
• − Property taxes: −$4,008
• − Insurance: −$1,150
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,019
• − Management: −$3,019
• − HOA: −$4,680
• − Depreciation: −$6,691
• Taxable income: $2,292
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$550
• After-tax cash flow: $4,956/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Palm Beach
• NCES district ID: 1201500
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $53,943
• Composite: 42.72/100
• National rank: #3160
• State rank: #34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Riviera Beach

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #581
• US rank: #11060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Riviera Beach, FL
• County: Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
• City population: 30,912
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 30,912
• Household income: $65,063
• Rent vs Own: 40.0% rent · 60.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1838.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,637,487 people
• By 2030: 1,743,255 · +6.5%
• By 2040: 1,948,712 · +19.0%
• By 2050: 2,132,979 · +30.3%
• By 2075: 2,530,027 · +54.5%
• By 2100: 2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (64%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 64% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 8% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 21% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 82% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -153.74%
• Current HPI: 341.1761
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.72%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+360.9% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Contingent — MARMLS
• 2026-02-07 Price Changed $229,990 MARMLS
• 2025-12-24 Price Changed $239,900 MARMLS
• 2025-11-27 Listed $259,900 MARMLS
• 2011-08-19 Sold (MLS) $58,000 Beaches MLS
• 2011-08-08 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
• 2011-07-25 Listed $49,900 Beaches MLS

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,008 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.