11436 SE 208th St #153 · Kent, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- ARV discount +4.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The one you have waited for! Move in ready! Seller did all the hard work of managing the contractors and projects, obtained permits, etc. Here's what this affordable house in this popular age 55+ community has: New in 2022 Roof, cleaned crawlspace, new crawlspace insulation, vapor barrier, full below house plumbing, faucets, deck, some siding, front porch, front door, locking screen doors on front and side, outdoor light fixtures on the front, side and back deck. Painted the exterior in 2023, painted portions of the interior 2021-25. Pantera Lago 55+ community is near shopping, freeway, services and has beautiful amenities: clubhouse has a pool and hot tub, club room, meeting hall with kitc
Key facts
- Vapor barrier
- New faucets
- New deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $927 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 2.7% in Kent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#109 in WA, #2,154 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Kent School District (urban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #109 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 302 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $100k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 302 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.40%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $131,233
- List price
- $139,950
- Delta
- 6.64%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11436 SE 208th St #180 | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+1%) | 5mo | $132,500 | $92 | 91 |
| 11436 SE 208th St #88 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,464 (+3%) | 8mo | $126,000 | $86 | 78 |
| 20750 113th Pl SE | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (+2%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $45 | 78 |
| 11436 SE 208th St #36 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+6%) | 6mo | $168,000 | $112 | 76 |
| 11436 SE 208th St #41 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,458 (+3%) | 24mo | $250,000 | $171 | 71 |
| 11436 SE 208th St #116 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,498 (+6%) | 20mo | $145,000 | $97 | 69 |
| 11436 SE 208th St #15 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,566 (+10%) | 16mo | $255,000 | $163 | 66 |
| 11436 SE 208th St #92 | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+8%) | 17mo | $133,500 | $87 | 65 |
| 12218 SE 206th St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,480 (+4%) | 6mo | $415,000 | $280 | 59 |
| 11436 SE 208th St #170 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,250 (-12%) | 21mo | $130,000 | $104 | 57 |
| 20744 113th Pl SE | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,250 (-12%) | 22mo | $105,000 | $84 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $37,712
- Equity at exit
- $20,867
- IRR
- 31.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.92×
- Total profit
- $114,379
- Equity at exit
- $12,100
Cash invested: $39,186 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98031
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,398 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,099/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$504
- Net cashflow
- $927
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,024 | -5% $976 | +0% $927 | +5% $879 | +10% $831 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $738 | -5% $833 | +0% $927 | +5% $1,022 | +10% $1,117 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $998 | -0.5pp $963 | base $927 | +0.5pp $891 | +1.0pp $854 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,988
- Closing costs
- $4,198
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20803 110th Ln SE Kent, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1361 | $2,845 | $2.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 20805 109th Ln SE Kent, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $2,700 | $2.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 11101 SE 208th St Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 971 | $1,978 | $2.04 | 3d | 17 | 0.38mi |
| 10820 SE 211th Pl Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 907 | $2,032 | $2.24 | 3d | 20 | 0.41mi |
| 12012 SE 210th St Kent, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1230 | $1,820 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 20506 103rd Ave SE Kent, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $2,295 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 19388 114th Pl SE Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $3,095 | $1.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 21822 107th Pl SE #6 Kent, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,525 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 11500 SE 221st Pl Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1770 | $3,100 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 21627 127th Pl SE Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $3,095 | $2.18 | 17d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 11211 SE 226th St Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $2,250 | $2.22 | 19d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 9333 S 200th St Kent, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $2,450 | $2.31 | 5d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 10815 SE 184th Ln Renton, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $2,445 | $2.84 | 16d | 3 | 1.38mi |
| 18307 121st Pl SE Renton, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1580 | $2,995 | $1.90 | 0d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,950 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,950 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,950 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,950 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,950 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,950 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,950 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,950 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,950 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,950 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,950 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,950 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,950 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,950 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-04-13price $139,950
-
2026-03-25price $149,950
-
2026-02-09price $159,950
-
2026-01-16status Active
-
2026-01-16historical
-
2025-09-27price $169,950
-
2025-08-23$180,000 Active
-
2021-10-20status Pending
-
2021-10-20soldstatus $100,500 Closed
-
2021-09-27$135,000 Active
-
2003-03-31soldstatus $59,950
-
2002-10-23$59,950
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,779
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,839
- − Property taxes
- −$2,099
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,302
- − Management
- −$2,302
- − Depreciation
- −$4,071
- Taxable income
- $9,464
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,271
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,858/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This move-in ready manufactured home in a popular age 55+ community has been recently updated with a new roof, painted exterior, and interior, making it a great investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers
- Resale Update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers
- Resale Update bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern bathrooms can significantly increase the home's value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers ↑
- Resale Update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers ↑
- Resale Update bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern bathrooms can significantly increase the home's value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kent School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303960
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,823
- Composite
- 48.25/100
- National rank
- #4714
- State rank
- #109 of 291 in WA
Livability — Kent
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #2154
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kent, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 119,479
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,094
- Household income
- $105,965
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1151.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.77)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Asian 27% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 13% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Portuguese 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 7% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -673.58%
- Current HPI
- 308.1747
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.53%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+133.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $139,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $149,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $159,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-27 Price Changed $169,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-23 Listed $180,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-20 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-20 Sold (MLS) $100,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-27 Listed $135,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-03-31 Sold (MLS) $59,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-10-23 Listed $59,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…