3317 N 23rd St · Waco, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 60.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special Prime North Waco investment opportunity with incredible upside and major location advantage. This 2-1 asset is in better condition than your typical distressed property, giving investors a head start on a fix-and-flip, BRRRR, or long-term buy-and-hold strategy. Located just minutes from Cameron Park’s trails, recreation areas, and riverfront, plus a short drive to the local university giving this project powerful appeal for student renters, faculty, young professionals, and resale buyers. Rare chance to secure a cleaner, easier, faster project in one of Waco’s strongest demand corridors. Solid bones, blank canvas, and an ideal footprint makes this perfect for strategic cosmetic upgrades or rental-ready improvements to boost ARV and cash-flow potential. Motivated seller. Sold - as-is.
Key facts
- Cameron park trails
- Recreation areas
- Riverfront
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.9% in Waco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#166 in TX, #4,378 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, commute F.
- Waco ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #773 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,014 units permitted in McLennan County in 2024 (200 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $584 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- McLennan County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.21%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $127,121
- List price
- $84,500
- Delta
- -33.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3209 N 23rd St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 818 (-4%) | 5mo | $149,000 | $182 | 87 |
| 3525 N 25th St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 819 (-3%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $134 | 81 |
| 3528 N 25th St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (+9%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $162 | 73 |
| 3125 N 27th St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 806 (-5%) | 11mo | $75,000 | $93 | 67 |
| 2904 Summer Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+2%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $133 | 62 |
| 2605 Mitchell Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.5 | 807 (-5%) | 1mo | $164,000 | $203 | 60 |
| 3108 Summer Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (+0%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $171 | 56 |
| 3645 N 25th St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 962 (+13%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $182 | 52 |
| 2915 Summer Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (+9%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $124 | 50 |
| 2724 Mckenzie Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 950 (+12%) | 3mo | $105,000 | $111 | 50 |
| 1617 Blackmon St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-15%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $292 | 48 |
| 2816 Alexander St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (+7%) | 11mo | $180,000 | $198 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $1,829
- Equity at exit
- $12,599
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $12,391
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
Cash invested: $23,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76708
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 376
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,246 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$443
- Tax from tax record
- −$207 /mo · $2,479/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $300
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,125
- Closing costs
- $2,535
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2612 Alice Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2408 McKenzie Ave Unit A Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,350 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2600 McKenzie Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1611 Bryan Ave Unit B Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $985 | $1.18 | 13d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1614 Bryan Ave Unit B Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $925 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2313 Mitchell Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2121 Lyle Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2712 Mitchell Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2805 Mitchell Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,145 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2504 Lyle Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,475 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2712 Lyle Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2712 Lyle Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2601 Herring Ave Unit 1 Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,295 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2404 Proctor Ave Unit 2 Waco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $950 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2402 Proctor Ave Waco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2404 Proctor Ave Waco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,000 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1827 Proctor Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,000 | $1.67 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1827 Proctor Ave Unit A Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,000 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2225 Windsor Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,100 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2621 Windsor Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,175 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2736 Lake Shore Dr Waco, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1034 | $1,774 | $1.71 | 13d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2714 Windsor Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $1,300 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2224 Cumberland Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,075 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1905 N 19th St Waco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $875 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2225 Trice Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 803 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2225 Trice Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 803 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4372 Lake Shore Dr Waco, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1027 | $1,238 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1500 Lake Shore Dr Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,150 | $1.31 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1500 Lake Shore Dr Apt 201 Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,050 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1600 Lake Shore Dr Waco, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 829 | $1,150 | $1.39 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4502 Lake Shore Dr Waco, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 820 | $2,595 | $3.16 | 13d | 10 | 1.46mi |
| 3532 Windsor Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,475 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1821 Algonquin St Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,500 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,500 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $84,500 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,500 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,500 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,500 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $84,500 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $91,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $91,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $91,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $91,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $91,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-03-26price $97,700 838-char remark
Show marketing remark (838 chars)
Investor Special Prime North Waco investment opportunity with incredible upside and major location advantage. This 2-1 asset is in better condition than your typical distressed property, giving investors a head start on a fix-and-flip, BRRRR, or long-term buy-and-hold strategy. Located just minutes from Cameron Park’s trails, recreation areas, and riverfront, plus a short drive to the local university giving this project powerful appeal for student renters, faculty, young professionals, and resale buyers. Rare chance to secure a cleaner, easier, faster project in one of Waco’s strongest demand corridors. Solid bones, blank canvas, and an ideal footprint makes this perfect for strategic cosmetic upgrades or rental-ready improvements to boost ARV and cash-flow potential. Motivated seller. Sold - as-is.
-
2025-12-14$106,700 Active 838-char remark
Show marketing remark (838 chars)
Investor Special Prime North Waco investment opportunity with incredible upside and major location advantage. This 2-1 asset is in better condition than your typical distressed property, giving investors a head start on a fix-and-flip, BRRRR, or long-term buy-and-hold strategy. Located just minutes from Cameron Park’s trails, recreation areas, and riverfront, plus a short drive to the local university giving this project powerful appeal for student renters, faculty, young professionals, and resale buyers. Rare chance to secure a cleaner, easier, faster project in one of Waco’s strongest demand corridors. Solid bones, blank canvas, and an ideal footprint makes this perfect for strategic cosmetic upgrades or rental-ready improvements to boost ARV and cash-flow potential. Motivated seller. Sold - as-is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,479 · $207/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,479 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,958
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,733
- − Property taxes
- −$2,479
- − Insurance
- −$422
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,197
- − Management
- −$1,197
- − Depreciation
- −$2,458
- Taxable income
- $2,471
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$593
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,004/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waco ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844280
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,208
- Composite
- 17.57/100
- National rank
- #9043
- State rank
- #773 of 826 in TX
Livability — Waco
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #4378
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waco, TX
- County
- McLennan County · 213,088 people
- City population
- 125,319
- Metro
- Waco, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,790
- Household income
- $68,856
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 583.0
Population outlook (McLennan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 264,191 people
- By 2030
- 273,578 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 291,506 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 308,044 · +16.6%
- By 2075
- 349,648 · +32.3%
- By 2100
- 364,779 · +38.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 20% Black 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McLennan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.9) · D 34.0% · R 64.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -30.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.9 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+23.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.80%
- Current HPI
- 218.9643
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.80%
- Metro
- Waco, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-8.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $97,700 NTREIS
- 2025-12-14 Listed $106,700 NTREIS
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,479 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…