🏷️ Likely Rental
927/929 Fairchild St · Iowa City, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Cute side by side duplex just east of downtown. 1 bedroom, 1 bath side rents for $860/month and will go to $870/month starting 8/1/2026. 2 bedroom, 1 bath side rents for $880/month and will go to $880/month starting 8/1/2026. (Both sides renewed). 2 bedroom unit has access to a basement for storage and washer/dryer hookups. Offstreet parking in the back via alley (alley located between Davenport & Fairchild). Must give at least 24 hour notice.
Key facts
- Access to basement
- Side by side duplex
- Offstreet parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×1bd/1ba + 1×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $200k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $334 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $167/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.7% in Iowa City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#13 in IA, #450 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
- Iowa City Community School District (urban): math 65% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #174 of 289 in IA (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 260 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 714 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (158 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,172/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 2852% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.15%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $255,085
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -21.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-3,624
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $57,284
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52240
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 260
- Price-to-rent
- 15.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,172 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$456
- Net cashflow
- $334
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $472 | -5% $403 | +0% $334 | +5% $265 | +10% $196 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $162 | -5% $248 | +0% $334 | +5% $420 | +10% $505 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $434 | -0.5pp $385 | base $334 | +0.5pp $282 | +1.0pp $229 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $1,056 |
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,115 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,172 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1154 Hotz Ave Iowa City, IA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1482 | $2,450 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 321 N Johnson St Unit 321-02 Iowa City, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 520 Church St Iowa City, IA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1359 | $2,250 | $1.66 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 902 N Dodge St Iowa City, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 906 N Dodge St Iowa City, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 426 S Johnson St Iowa City, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 413 S Johnson St Iowa City, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 704 Bowery St Iowa City, IA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 316 S Madison St Iowa City, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 673 | $2,300 | $3.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 49 Arbor Hill Cir #23 Iowa City, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,215 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 629 S Riverside Dr Iowa City, IA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,237 | $1.22 | 45d | 2 | 1.46mi |
| 629 S Riverside Dr Iowa City, IA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,650 | $1.59 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $200,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $200,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $200,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $200,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $200,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $200,000 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Cute side by side duplex just east of downtown. 1 bedroom, 1 bath side rents for $860/month and will go to $870/month starting 8/1/2026. 2 bedroom, 1 bath side rents for $880/month and will go to $880/month starting 8/1/2026. (Both sides renewed). 2 bedroom unit has access to a basement for storage and washer/dryer hookups. Offstreet parking in the back via alley (alley located between Davenport & Fairchild). Must give at least 24 hour notice.
-
2026-03-24price $220,000 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Cute side by side duplex just east of downtown. 1 bedroom, 1 bath side rents for $860/month and will go to $870/month starting 8/1/2026. 2 bedroom, 1 bath side rents for $880/month and will go to $880/month starting 8/1/2026. (Both sides renewed). 2 bedroom unit has access to a basement for storage and washer/dryer hookups. Offstreet parking in the back via alley (alley located between Davenport & Fairchild). Must give at least 24 hour notice.
-
2026-01-11$225,000 Active 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Cute side by side duplex just east of downtown. 1 bedroom, 1 bath side rents for $860/month and will go to $870/month starting 8/1/2026. 2 bedroom, 1 bath side rents for $880/month and will go to $880/month starting 8/1/2026. (Both sides renewed). 2 bedroom unit has access to a basement for storage and washer/dryer hookups. Offstreet parking in the back via alley (alley located between Davenport & Fairchild). Must give at least 24 hour notice.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,064
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$3,000
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,085
- − Management
- −$2,085
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $872
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$209
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,795/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This side-by-side duplex requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. The kitchen and bathrooms need significant updates, while the exterior could benefit from some landscaping.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — dated and in poor condition
- Major kitchen appliances — outdated and in poor condition
- Minor bathroom fixtures — basic and slightly worn
- Minor exterior siding — some debris
Value-add opportunities
- Both kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen would increase both resale and rental value
- Both bathroom update — updating the bathroom would increase both resale and rental value
- Both exterior landscaping — improving the landscaping would increase both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen appliances · outdated and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · basic and slightly worn | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| exterior siding · some debris | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $31,000–106,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen would increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both bathroom update — updating the bathroom would increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both exterior landscaping — improving the landscaping would increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Iowa City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1914700
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,229
- Composite
- 57.3/100
- National rank
- #1088
- State rank
- #174 of 289 in IA
Livability — Iowa City
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #450
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Iowa City, IA
- County
- Johnson County · 132,710 people
- City population
- 80,235
- Metro
- Iowa City, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,074
- Household income
- $52,960
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2852.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,405 people
- By 2030
- 200,014 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 241,428 · +33.8%
- By 2050
- 288,144 · +59.7%
- By 2075
- 420,009 · +132.8%
- By 2100
- 546,596 · +203.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.1) · D 68.4% · R 30.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.4pp toward R · 2008: 41.5pp · 2024: 38.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.1 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+35.4 2008: D+41.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.53%
- Current HPI
- 170.7491
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.32%
- Metro
- Iowa City, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-11.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $200,000 ICAARMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $220,000 ICAARMLS
- 2026-01-11 Listed $225,000 ICAARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…