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5335 Main St #212 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 44.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$28,000

5335 Main St #212 · Springfield, OR 97478
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,272 sqft · Manufactured public records · 117 Days on market
Built 1979 $22/sqft · 70% below area ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bath unit with lots of potential! There is a covered deck, carport and storage shed. This home is in Santiago Estates, a 55+ pet friendly community with a club house, seasonal pool, jacuzzi, work out room and more. Must be park approved.

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Carport
  • Storage shed

Tags

COVERED DECKCARPORTSTORAGE SHEDCLUB HOUSESEASONAL POOLJACUZZI

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $28,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$92,954) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $28k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $28k).
  • Recommended offer: $25k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 54.0% vs local median 3.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#40 in OR, #934 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment D+.
  • Springfield SD 19 (suburban): math 19% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #48 of 58 in OR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $194 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $840 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $25,480 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.96%
Cap rate
54.01%
Cash-on-cash
170.42%
DSCR
8.58
GRM
1.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$92,954
List price
$28,000
Delta
-69.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5335 Main St #197 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-6%) 2mo $57,000 $48 89
205 S 54th St #109 0.16mi 2/2.0 1,236 (-3%) 9mo $69,000 $56 81
5335 S Main St #155 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,188 (-7%) 8mo $54,000 $45 77
5335 Main St #214 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,188 (-7%) 8mo $74,500 $63 77
5660 Daisy St #69 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,296 (+2%) 4mo $295,000 $228 72
5660 Daisy St #48 0.35mi 2/2.0 1,188 (-7%) 1mo $263,000 $221 72
658 S 57th St #81 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+6%) 4mo $57,000 $42 67
569 S 51st Pl 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (-9%) 2mo $275,000 $239 63
578 S 53rd St 0.24mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+13%) 8mo $285,000 $198 60
5254 Forsythia Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+13%) 3mo $286,000 $199 58
5660 Daisy St #34 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,394 (+10%) 10mo $337,147 $242 54
5089 D St 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (+14%) 2mo $349,000 $240 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.55×
Total profit
$67,052
Equity at exit
$4,175
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.45×
Total profit
$152,485
Equity at exit
$2,421

Cash invested: $7,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97478

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
263
Price-to-rent
1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,670 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$147
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $566/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$1,113

Break-even live

Break-even rent $260
Max offer price $28,000
Occupancy floor 28%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,129 -5% $1,121 +0% $1,113 +5% $1,106 +10% $1,098
Rent -10% $982 -5% $1,047 +0% $1,113 +5% $1,179 +10% $1,245
Rate -1.0pp $1,128 -0.5pp $1,121 base $1,113 +0.5pp $1,106 +1.0pp $1,099

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,000
Closing costs
$840
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
176 S 53rd St Unit 04 Springfield, OR 2.0 1.5 971 $1,250 $1.29 44d 1 0.10mi
421 S 58th St Unit 00136 Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 14d 1 0.50mi
5817 Aster St Apt 3 Springfield, OR 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,295 $1.29 14d 1 0.51mi
4830 Elderberry Loop Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 950 $1,595 $1.68 44d 1 0.58mi
4885 Aster St Springfield, OR 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,734 $1.73 14d 18 0.64mi
4800 B St Springfield, OR 2.0 2.0 968 $1,662 $1.72 14d 1 0.69mi
5040 E St #1 Springfield, OR 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 14d 1 0.69mi
5040 E St #12 Springfield, OR 3.0 1.0 912 $1,895 $2.08 44d 1 0.69mi
5040 E St #21 Springfield, OR 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,795 $1.79 14d 1 0.69mi
1012 53rd St Springfield, OR 3.0 2.0 1249 $2,195 $1.76 14d 1 0.81mi
1075 56th Pl Springfield, OR 3.0 1.0 904 $1,795 $1.99 44d 1 0.83mi
274 S 47th St Unit B Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 940 $1,150 $1.22 22d 1 0.84mi
1152 S 43rd Pl Springfield, OR 3.0 2.5 1539 $2,595 $1.69 14d 1 1.29mi
339 S 42nd St Unit 317 Springfield, OR 3.0 2.5 1444 $1,895 $1.31 14d 1 1.31mi
4173 Glacier View Dr Springfield, OR 3.0 2.5 1250 $2,175 $1.74 14d 1 1.40mi
490 67th St Springfield, OR 3.0 2.0 1278 $2,800 $2.19 44d 1 1.44mi
617 S 41st Ct Unit 610 Springfield, OR 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,050 $1.37 14d 1 1.46mi
617 S 41st Ct Unit 606 Springfield, OR 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,100 $1.40 14d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $28,000 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $28,000 Active 116 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $28,000 Active 115 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $28,000 Active 114 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $28,000 Active 112 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $28,000 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $28,000 Active 108 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $28,000 Active 107 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $28,000 Active 106 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $28,000 Active 102 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $28,000 Active 101 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $28,000 Active 100 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $28,000 Active 99 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $28,000 Active 98 DOM
  15. 2026-04-03
    price $32,000 258-char remark
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bath unit with lots of potential! There is a covered deck, carport and storage shed. This home is in Santiago Estates, a 55+ pet friendly community with a club house, seasonal pool, jacuzzi, work out room and more. Must be park approved.

  16. 2026-02-21
    listed $35,000 Active 258-char remark
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bath unit with lots of potential! There is a covered deck, carport and storage shed. This home is in Santiago Estates, a 55+ pet friendly community with a club house, seasonal pool, jacuzzi, work out room and more. Must be park approved.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$566 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$566 · $47/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,038
− Mortgage interest
−$1,568
− Property taxes
−$566
− Insurance
−$140
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,603
− Management
−$1,603
− Depreciation
−$815
Taxable income
$13,742
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,298
After-tax cash flow
$10,063/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield SD 19
NCES district ID
4111670
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$42,236
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7746
State rank
#48 of 58 in OR

Livability — Springfield

Score
83/100
State rank
#40
US rank
#934

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, OR
County
Lane County · 310,476 people
City population
76,907
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
Population (ZIP)
39,373
Household income
$80,086
Rent vs Own
31.0% rent · 69.0% own
Severe rent burden
904.0

Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
391,933 people
By 2030
405,860 · +3.6%
By 2040
429,386 · +9.6%
By 2050
452,016 · +15.3%
By 2075
508,825 · +29.8%
By 2100
531,208 · +35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lane

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -395.83%
Current HPI
302.9203
Rent YoY
▲ 3.38%
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $32,000 RMLS
  • 2026-02-21 Listed $35,000 RMLS

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $566 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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