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105 Sweethome Rd
D Composite 40.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.8/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0

$24,000

105 Sweethome Rd · Belzoni, MS 39038
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,509 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 146 Days on market
Built 1990 1.00 ac lot Est $23k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This property offers a layout with great potential for both homeowners and investors. Situated on a spacious lot, the home provides room for outdoor activities, gardening, or future improvements. Its convenient location offers easy access to local schools, shopping, and everyday amenities, making it an option for those seeking affordability and functionality. Whether you're looking for a starter home or an investment opportunity, this property delivers a solid foundation to personalize and make your own.

Key facts

  • Access to shopping
  • Spacious lot
  • 1 acre lot

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTEASY ACCESS TO LOCAL SCHOOLSACCESS TO SHOPPINGACCESS TO EVERYDAY AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 1.00 acre lot

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Water available
  • Home design: Single family residence; House; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year reported in public records)
  • Exterior features: See remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Fireplace(s); Ceiling fan(s); Heating present; Cooling present
  • Interior features: Dishwasher

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $24k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $754 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).
  • Recommended offer: $21k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#244 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Humphreys County School District (town): math 3% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #128 of 130 in MS (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $166 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $720 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Humphreys County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($21k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $21,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.01%
Cap rate
44.00%
Cash-on-cash
134.68%
DSCR
6.99
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$22,635
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
105 Sweethome Rd 0.00mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,557 (+3%) 1mo $24,000 $15 85

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.57×
Total profit
$44,182
Equity at exit
$3,578
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.95×
Total profit
$100,472
Equity at exit
$2,075

Cash invested: $6,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39038

Home prices YoY
-3.6%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,202 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$126
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $713/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$754

Break-even live

Break-even rent $247
Max offer price $24,000
Occupancy floor 32%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,000
Closing costs
$720
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    price $24,000
  3. 2026-03-03
    price $49,500
  4. 2025-12-05
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$713 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$713 · $59/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,422
− Mortgage interest
−$1,344
− Property taxes
−$713
− Insurance
−$120
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,154
− Management
−$1,154
− Depreciation
−$698
Taxable income
$9,239
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,217
After-tax cash flow
$6,833/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Humphreys County School District
NCES district ID
2802040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$25,369
Composite
3.93/100
National rank
#10062
State rank
#128 of 130 in MS

Livability — Belzoni

Score
59/100
State rank
#244
US rank
#20158

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,363

Population outlook (Humphreys County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,469 people
By 2030
6,878 · -7.9%
By 2040
5,784 · -22.6%
By 2050
4,906 · -34.3%
By 2075
3,775 · -49.5%
By 2100
3,672 · -50.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 82% White 16%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Humphreys

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.9) · D 70.4% · R 28.6% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-0.5pp no change · 2008: 42.4pp · 2024: 41.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.9 2020: D+45.3 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+52.0 2008: D+42.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.37%
Current HPI
116.4065
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-63.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $24,000 MLSU
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $49,500 MLSU
  • 2025-12-05 Listed $65,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $713 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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