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119 Antique Rose Dr
D- Composite 35.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.8/30.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.9/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.2/10.0

$399,900

119 Antique Rose Dr · Madison, AL 35758
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,198 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1998 Est $378k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Traditional 2-story home in the heart of Madison City. This charming residence features 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, with updated baths and new LVP flooring throughout. Enjoy a formal dining room for gatherings and a cozy living area with a gas fireplace. Step outside to a backyard built for relaxing and entertaining, unwind under the pergola on the back patio or gather around the fire pit. The privacy-fenced yard includes a handy storage shed. Convenient location close to schools, parks, shopping, and commuter routes. Move-in ready and easy to love.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1998
  • Listed 4 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 2,294 square feet; One gas-log fireplace
  • HOA & community: No association; Subdivision: Kensington Estates; Community curbs

Exterior

  • Parking: Two-car garage; Garage faces side
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Built in 1998; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Treed lot; Detached building; Curb and gutters; Sidewalk; Underground utilities; Patio; Covered porch; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace with gas log; 9 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-799 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $259k (35.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (47.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $210k (47.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 2.6% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AL, #3,280 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Madison City (suburban): math 51% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #4 of 129 in AL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Rainbow Elementary School (math 52% / reading 76%, grade B, #44 of 627 statewide, top 7%, 926 students, 18% FRL); Discovery Middle School (math 46% / reading 69%, grade B, #13 of 257 statewide, top 5%, 1,334 students, 25% FRL); Bob Jones High School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade D+, #11 of 305 statewide, top 4%, 1,920 students, 24% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 382 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $43k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$69k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $210,126 (47.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.53%
Cap rate
3.89%
Cash-on-cash
-8.57%
DSCR
0.62
GRM
15.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$378,056
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
141 Antique Rose Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,281 (+4%) 3mo $375,000 $164 76
663 Gooch Ln 0.50mi 4/2.0 2,171 (-1%) 8mo $360,000 $166 66
102 Appaloosa Ct 0.37mi 4/2.0 2,045 (-7%) 6mo $324,000 $158 64
102 Medicine Bend Ct 0.51mi 4/2.5 2,060 (-6%) 1mo $400,000 $194 61
231 Pebble Brook Dr 0.40mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,170 (-1%) 9mo $408,000 $188 61
215 Pebblebrook Dr 0.45mi 4/2.5 2,312 (+5%) 7mo $422,950 $183 61
109 Sleepy Hollow Ln 0.35mi 4/2.0 1,942 (-12%) 5mo $327,500 $169 58
166 Brass Oak Dr 0.66mi 4/2.5 2,362 (+8%) 1mo $354,000 $150 52
120 Brownstone Dr 0.39mi 4/3.0 2,500 (+14%) 6mo $410,000 $164 48
112 Ramble Cir 0.62mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,431 (+11%) 0mo $450,000 $185 44
165 Brass Oak Dr 0.62mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,001 (-9%) 7mo $345,000 $172 43
104 Brookdel Dr 0.49mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,505 (+14%) 3mo $450,000 $180 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$163,776
Equity at exit
$360,262
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
5.61×
Total profit
$516,351
Equity at exit
$776,918

Cash invested: $111,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35758

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
382
Price-to-rent
15.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,101 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,097
Tax from tax record
$195 /mo · $2,346/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$441
Net cashflow
$-799

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,113
Max offer price $258,712
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,975
Closing costs
$11,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
110 Wildweed Ct Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1481 $1,750 $1.18 43d 1 0.17mi
111 Tumbleweed Dr Madison, AL 4.0 2.0 2010 $2,450 $1.22 13d 1 0.38mi
649 Gooch Ln Madison, AL 4.0 2.0 1913 $2,061 $1.08 43d 1 0.40mi
333 Hay Rake Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.5 2047 $2,200 $1.07 13d 1 0.73mi
333 Hay Rake Dr Unit 1 Madison, AL 3.0 3.0 2047 $2,200 $1.07 23d 1 0.73mi
318 Cornstalk CIR Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1837 $1,995 $1.09 43d 1 0.97mi
318 Cornstalk CIR Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1837 $1,895 $1.03 23d 1 0.97mi
217 John Clift CIR Madison, AL 4.0 3.0 2503 $2,800 $1.12 13d 1 0.97mi
6079 Wall Triana Hwy Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1630 $2,100 $1.29 43d 1 0.97mi
206 Osceola Cir Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1850 $1,850 $1.00 43d 1 0.97mi
311 Cornstalk Cir Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1850 $1,995 $1.08 43d 1 0.99mi
309 Cornstalk CIR Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1850 $1,995 $1.08 43d 1 1.00mi
204 Stockyard CIR Madison, AL 4.0 2.0 2106 $2,300 $1.09 13d 1 1.00mi
104 Kings Cross Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1905 $2,050 $1.08 23d 1 1.01mi
104 Kings Cross Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1906 $2,050 $1.08 43d 1 1.01mi
106 Champions Green Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1950 $1,995 $1.02 23d 1 1.01mi
112 Willow Rose Ln Madison, AL 4.0 2.0 2106 $2,500 $1.19 23d 1 1.15mi
102 McDermotts Way Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1462 $1,675 $1.15 14d 1 1.16mi
403 Barrington Hills Dr Madison, AL 4.0 2.0 1820 $1,950 $1.07 21d 1 1.23mi
5541 Promenade Point Pkwy NW Madison, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1556 $2,300 $1.48 21d 1 1.26mi
109 DuPont Cir Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1725 $1,895 $1.10 14d 1 1.26mi
115 Clift Creek DR Madison, AL 4.0 3.0 1943 $2,495 $1.28 13d 1 1.27mi
206 Stockyard CIR Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1703 $2,234 $1.31 43d 1 1.28mi
212 Stockyard CIR Madison, AL 5.0 2.5 2360 $2,634 $1.12 43d 1 1.29mi
207 Stockyard CIR Madison, AL 4.0 3.0 1943 $2,350 $1.21 43d 1 1.29mi
114 Clover Ridge Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 2002 $2,250 $1.12 43d 1 1.31mi
137 Clover Ridge Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1860 $1,850 $0.99 14d 1 1.38mi
500 Oval Ave NW Madison, AL 2.0–4.0 2.5–3.0 1776 $2,645 $1.49 13d 50 1.44mi
110 Markum Ln Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1937 $2,100 $1.08 43d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    status $399,900 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    remarks 555-char remark
  3. 2026-06-07
    listed $399,900 Active 4 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,346 · $195/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,346 · $195/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,215
− Mortgage interest
−$22,401
− Property taxes
−$2,346
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,017
− Management
−$2,017
− Depreciation
−$11,633
Taxable loss
−$17,199
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,128
After-tax cash flow
$-5,463/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison City
NCES district ID
0100008
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$89,091
Composite
55.56/100
National rank
#1238
State rank
#4 of 129 in AL

Livability — Madison

Score
76/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#3280

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Madison, AL
County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
93,742
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
50,266
Household income
$117,380
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
875.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 7% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.46%
Current HPI
355.2784
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+105.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $399,900 VMLS
  • 2011-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $378,600 Public Records
  • 2007-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $367,200 Public Records
  • 2006-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,346 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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