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1731 E Main St
B+ Composite 79.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$150,000

1731 E Main St · Conway, NH 03813
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,372 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1890 0.51 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

NEEDS EVERYTHING, including the kitchen sink. This was once a charming home and will need the right owners to bring it back into shape and up to date. The layout and flow of the house is reminiscent of yesteryear. Two sweet bedrooms upstairs, both with built-in dressers, hardwood floors and closets just at the top of a wooden staircase, off the front hall. The living room still has its Tula Kivi (Finnish) masonry wood burning stove, designed and built by this home’s owner, who was well known craftsman and sought after for his masonry work. Uncertain of present condition of the homes structure or any of the systems, and Estate is representing this property “as-is, where-is”

Key facts

  • Road frontage
  • Built-in dressers
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

BUILT-IN DRESSERSHARDWOOD FLOORSWOOD BURNING STOVEROAD FRONTAGEZONED VILLAGE RESIDENTIALEASY ACCESS TO AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Public, publicly maintained road frontage; Road frontage length approximately 65 feet

Exterior

  • Parking: Dirt driveway access
  • Utilities: Water: Other/Unknown; Sewer: Other/Unknown; Electric: Fuses; High-speed internet available; Cable available
  • Home design: Farmhouse style; Existing property; Single entry levels noted (rooms on main and second level)
  • Construction: Built in 1890; Wood frame construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Interior lot that is level and wooded; Located in town; Dirt driveway; White exterior color

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (both on second level)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heating: Other
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Mudroom; Family room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $807 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 3.0% in Conway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#33 in NH, #4,690 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Conway School District (rural): math 28% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #73 of 98 in NH (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Pine Tree Elementary School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #219 of 263 statewide, top 86%, 221 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 35% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 357 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Carroll County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
12.75%
Cash-on-cash
23.05%
DSCR
2.03
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.6%
Equity multiple
4.17×
Total profit
$133,046
Equity at exit
$135,132
10-year hold
IRR
35.9%
Equity multiple
9.37×
Total profit
$351,340
Equity at exit
$291,417

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03813

Home prices YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,209 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,071/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$464
Net cashflow
$807

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,188
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $892 -5% $849 +0% $807 +5% $764 +10% $722
Rent -10% $632 -5% $719 +0% $807 +5% $894 +10% $981
Rate -1.0pp $882 -0.5pp $845 base $807 +0.5pp $768 +1.0pp $728

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 681-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $150,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,071 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,170 · $181/mo
Expected delta
+$1,100/yr (+$92/mo · 102.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,507
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,071
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,121
− Management
−$2,121
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$7,679
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,843
After-tax cash flow
$7,837/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Conway School District
NCES district ID
3302490
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$49,590
Composite
31.9/100
National rank
#5859
State rank
#73 of 98 in NH

Livability — Conway

Score
74/100
State rank
#33
US rank
#4690

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,897

Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,072 people
By 2030
43,158 · -4.2%
By 2040
38,044 · -15.6%
By 2050
33,087 · -26.6%
By 2075
25,661 · -43.1%
By 2100
18,684 · -58.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 2% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Slovak 10% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carroll

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.8% · R 50.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -1.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.7 2020: D+1.5 2016: R+5.7 2012: R+0.8 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.27%
Current HPI
417.7399
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $150,000 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

-6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,071 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…