525 N Faulkner St · Pampa, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.8/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,232
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Big Comfortable 3 Bedroom 2 Bath home. Complete with nice yard, garage and storage unit
Key facts
- Listed 427 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $574 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $60k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#128 in TX, #3,885 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, crime F.
- Pampa ISD (town): math 38% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #482 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7 units permitted in Gray County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $472 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gray County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 427 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 427 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.04%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $67,168
- List price
- $68,232
- Delta
- 1.58%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $25,508
- Equity at exit
- $10,174
- IRR
- 38.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.63×
- Total profit
- $69,355
- Equity at exit
- $5,899
Cash invested: $19,105 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79065
- Active inventory
- 174
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,327 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$358
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,063/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $574
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,058
- Closing costs
- $2,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 828 N Nelson St Pampa, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1778 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 812 N Dwight St Pampa, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,395 | — | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1404 Coronado Dr Pampa, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1026 N Wells St Pampa, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | — | $2,500 | — | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 100 Hampton Ln Pampa, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,048 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1601 W Somerville St Unit 1001 Pampa, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 935 | $780 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1601 W Somerville St Unit 1201 Pampa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $865 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1400 W Somerville St Pampa, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $529 | — | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1400 W Somerville St Unit 102 Pampa, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | — | $651 | — | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1132 S Hobart St Pampa, TX | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1627 | $5,000 | $3.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $68,232 Active 427 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $68,232 Active 426 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $68,232 Active 425 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $68,232 Active 424 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $68,232 Active 423 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $68,232 Active 422 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $68,232 Active 421 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $68,232 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $68,232 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $68,232 Active 416 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $68,232 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $68,232 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $68,232 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $68,232 Active 409 DOM
-
2025-04-14$68,232 Active 88-char remark
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
Big Comfortable 3 Bedroom 2 Bath home. Complete with nice yard, garage and storage unit
-
2020-10-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,063 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,249 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$186/yr (+$15/mo · 17.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,928
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,822
- − Property taxes
- −$1,063
- − Insurance
- −$341
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,274
- − Management
- −$1,274
- − Depreciation
- −$1,985
- Taxable income
- $6,168
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,480
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,405/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pampa ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4834170
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,741
- Composite
- 31.43/100
- National rank
- #5986
- State rank
- #482 of 826 in TX
Livability — Pampa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #128
- US rank
- #3885
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pampa, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,569
Population outlook (Gray County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,965 people
- By 2030
- 26,105 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 28,752 · +15.2%
- By 2050
- 31,859 · +27.6%
- By 2075
- 39,812 · +59.5%
- By 2100
- 43,284 · +73.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 21%
Political lean MEDSL · Gray
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+77.1) · D 11.2% · R 88.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.2pp toward R · 2008: -71.0pp · 2024: -77.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+77.1 2020: R+77.2 2016: R+78.8 2012: R+75.2 2008: R+71.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.67%
- Current HPI
- 128.8525
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2025-04-14 Listed $68,232 PBOR
- 2020-10-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,063 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…