212 7th St S · New Salem, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$115,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Front enclosed porch
- Refinished floors
- Large yard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Wood siding and metal siding; Asphalt and metal roof; Stone foundation; Built with basement
- Exterior features: Porch; Rain barrel/cistern(s); Wood fencing; Shed(s); Corner lot
Interior
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Unfinished basement with concrete and dirt floor
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Oven
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $116k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($636/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $92k (20.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $92k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#51 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- New Salem-Almont 49 (rural): math 55% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #33 of 169 in ND (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Morton County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($801 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
- Morton County population projected at +48% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $116k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.96%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $26,764
- Equity at exit
- $62,208
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.45×
- Total profit
- $79,526
- Equity at exit
- $104,596
Cash invested: $32,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58563
- Home prices YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $923 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$608
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $244/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $53
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $119 | -5% $86 | +0% $53 | +5% $20 | +10% $-152 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-20 | -5% $17 | +0% $53 | +5% $89 | +10% $126 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $111 | -0.5pp $82 | base $53 | +0.5pp $23 | +1.0pp $-8 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,975
- Closing costs
- $3,477
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-23$115,900 Active
-
2019-05-21soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $244 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,136 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$892/yr (+$74/mo · 365.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,080
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,492
- − Property taxes
- −$244
- − Insurance
- −$580
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$886
- − Management
- −$886
- − Depreciation
- −$3,372
- Taxable loss
- −$1,380
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$331
- After-tax cash flow
- $967/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Salem-Almont 49
- NCES district ID
- 3800392
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,772
- Composite
- 47.05/100
- National rank
- #5126
- State rank
- #33 of 169 in ND
Livability — New Salem
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #6472
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Salem, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,850
Population outlook (Morton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,682 people
- By 2030
- 39,967 · +9.0%
- By 2040
- 46,921 · +27.9%
- By 2050
- 54,157 · +47.6%
- By 2075
- 73,661 · +100.8%
- By 2100
- 89,885 · +145.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 11% Scotch-Irish 7% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Morton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.8) · D 22.2% · R 75.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.7pp toward R · 2008: -21.0pp · 2024: -53.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.8 2020: R+50.4 2016: R+53.0 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+21.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.50%
- Current HPI
- 128.6345
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+131.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $115,900 GNMLS
- 2019-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-13.1%/yrLatest (2025): $244 · -62.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…