227 Hydra Cir · Moores Mill, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +1.4/10.0
$305,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Why THIS home?! Only 5 years old! Corner lot! Zoned for Mt Carmel Elementary! Fenced in yard! 4 bedrooms! 2 full baths! All wood flooring! Open concept! Granite counters, an island, pantry and SS appliances INCLUDING A COUNTER DEPTH FRIDGE! Spacious primary bedroom with large walk-in closet! Second bathroom has a fully tiled shower! Drop zone in the back hallway! Come check out the friendly neighborhood with easy access to town, grocery shopping, and a new CHICK-FIL-A. Easty commute to the Arsenal or Research Park. Imagine yourself walking the dogs, admiring the lights at night, less than 5 minutes to a Kroger for last minute items. Don't miss out on it!
Key facts
- Pantry
- Open concept space
- Granite counters
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $305k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-231 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (13.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (32.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $205k (32.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.8% in Moores Mill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#109 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mt Carmel Elementary School (math 37% / reading 72%, grade C, #87 of 627 statewide, top 15%, 646 students, 34% FRL); Buckhorn Middle School (math 19% / reading 59%, grade F, #64 of 257 statewide, top 25%, 688 students, 38% FRL); Buckhorn High School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #59 of 305 statewide, top 21%, 1,287 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 570 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.25%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 12.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $339,779
- List price
- $305,000
- Delta
- -10.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 226 Hydra Cir | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,853 (-0%) | 3mo | $305,000 | $165 | 83 |
| 412 Tracer St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,854 (0%) | 11mo | $319,900 | $173 | 76 |
| 105 Cool Cir | 0.25mi | 4/3.0 | 1,938 (+4%) | 9mo | $314,900 | $162 | 65 |
| 317 Pond Spring Dr | 0.39mi | 4/3.0 | 1,938 (+4%) | 2mo | $315,400 | $163 | 65 |
| 109 Cool Cir | 0.26mi | 4/3.0 | 1,938 (+4%) | 9mo | $314,725 | $162 | 65 |
| 6102 Edwin Jones Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,860 (+0%) | 7mo | $300,000 | $161 | 59 |
| 305 Pond Spring Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,703 (-8%) | 5mo | $285,650 | $168 | 55 |
| 107 Cool Cir | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 2,106 (+14%) | 8mo | $309,900 | $147 | 55 |
| 304 Pond Spring Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,703 (-8%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $156 | 55 |
| 314 Pond Spring Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,703 (-8%) | 6mo | $286,990 | $169 | 54 |
| 102 Cool Cir | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 2,106 (+14%) | 10mo | $310,000 | $147 | 53 |
| 313 Pond Spring Dr | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 2,106 (+14%) | 4mo | $312,032 | $148 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-56,099
- Equity at exit
- $45,476
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-32,056
- Equity at exit
- $26,371
Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35811
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 570
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,052 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,599
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,115/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$431
- Net cashflow
- $-231
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-58 | -5% $-145 | +0% $-231 | +5% $-317 | +10% $-404 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-393 | -5% $-312 | +0% $-231 | +5% $-150 | +10% $-69 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-78 | -0.5pp $-154 | base $-231 | +0.5pp $-310 | +1.0pp $-391 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,250
- Closing costs
- $9,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 186 Pennington Ave Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2209 | $2,100 | $0.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 120 Pomelo St Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2583 | $2,395 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 154 SOUTHERN Trl Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2106 | $2,070 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 144 Oakcrest Rd Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2153 | $1,695 | $0.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 149 Wolfe Ln Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1442 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 147 Wolfe Ln Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1442 | $2,100 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 229 Paca Ln Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,950 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 244 Paca Ln Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2106 | $2,150 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 244 Paca Ln Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2106 | $2,150 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 150 LILLIAN FARMS Blvd Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1703 | $1,900 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 153 LILLIAN FARMS Blvd Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1703 | $1,900 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 313 Mchenry DR Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1938 | $1,970 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 6107 Trailwood Dr Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1879 | $1,650 | $0.88 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 119 Wind Rush Rd Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1690 | $1,875 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 127 Colby Dr NE Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,395 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-14status $305,000 Pending 131 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $305,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $305,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $305,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $305,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $305,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $305,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $305,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $305,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-04-04price $312,227 662-char remark
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
Why THIS home?! Only 5 years old! Corner lot! Zoned for Mt Carmel Elementary! Fenced in yard! 4 bedrooms! 2 full baths! All wood flooring! Open concept! Granite counters, an island, pantry and SS appliances INCLUDING A COUNTER DEPTH FRIDGE! Spacious primary bedroom with large walk-in closet! Second bathroom has a fully tiled shower! Drop zone in the back hallway! Come check out the friendly neighborhood with easy access to town, grocery shopping, and a new CHICK-FIL-A. Easty commute to the Arsenal or Research Park. Imagine yourself walking the dogs, admiring the lights at night, less than 5 minutes to a Kroger for last minute items. Don't miss out on it!
-
2026-03-12price $320,000 662-char remark
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
Why THIS home?! Only 5 years old! Corner lot! Zoned for Mt Carmel Elementary! Fenced in yard! 4 bedrooms! 2 full baths! All wood flooring! Open concept! Granite counters, an island, pantry and SS appliances INCLUDING A COUNTER DEPTH FRIDGE! Spacious primary bedroom with large walk-in closet! Second bathroom has a fully tiled shower! Drop zone in the back hallway! Come check out the friendly neighborhood with easy access to town, grocery shopping, and a new CHICK-FIL-A. Easty commute to the Arsenal or Research Park. Imagine yourself walking the dogs, admiring the lights at night, less than 5 minutes to a Kroger for last minute items. Don't miss out on it!
-
2026-01-30$325,000 Active 662-char remark
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
Why THIS home?! Only 5 years old! Corner lot! Zoned for Mt Carmel Elementary! Fenced in yard! 4 bedrooms! 2 full baths! All wood flooring! Open concept! Granite counters, an island, pantry and SS appliances INCLUDING A COUNTER DEPTH FRIDGE! Spacious primary bedroom with large walk-in closet! Second bathroom has a fully tiled shower! Drop zone in the back hallway! Come check out the friendly neighborhood with easy access to town, grocery shopping, and a new CHICK-FIL-A. Easty commute to the Arsenal or Research Park. Imagine yourself walking the dogs, admiring the lights at night, less than 5 minutes to a Kroger for last minute items. Don't miss out on it!
-
2023-06-06soldstatus $308,000
-
2023-05-03price $329,000
-
2021-02-01soldstatus $234,325 Sold
-
2020-10-14soldstatus $220,000
-
2020-08-24$234,325
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,115 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,250 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$135/yr (+$11/mo · 12.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,628
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,085
- − Property taxes
- −$1,115
- − Insurance
- −$1,525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,970
- − Management
- −$1,970
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$8,873
- Taxable loss
- −$8,306
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,993
- After-tax cash flow
- $-780/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — Moores Mill
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #11986
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Moores Mill, AL
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,008
- Household income
- $90,812
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 517.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.13%
- Current HPI
- 332.9423
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.81%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+33.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $312,227 VMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $320,000 VMLS
- 2026-01-30 Listed $325,000 VMLS
- 2023-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $308,000 Public Records
- 2023-05-03 Price Changed $329,000 VMLS
- 2021-02-01 Sold (MLS) $234,325 VMLS
- 2020-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2020-08-24 Listed $234,325 VMLS
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2024): $1,115 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…