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227 Hydra Cir
D Composite 40.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.2/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +1.4/10.0

$305,000

227 Hydra Cir · Moores Mill, AL 35811
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,854 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 131 Days on market
Built 2020 0.29 ac lot $165/sqft · 11% below area Est $340k · 10% under $33/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Why THIS home?! Only 5 years old! Corner lot! Zoned for Mt Carmel Elementary! Fenced in yard! 4 bedrooms! 2 full baths! All wood flooring! Open concept! Granite counters, an island, pantry and SS appliances INCLUDING A COUNTER DEPTH FRIDGE! Spacious primary bedroom with large walk-in closet! Second bathroom has a fully tiled shower! Drop zone in the back hallway! Come check out the friendly neighborhood with easy access to town, grocery shopping, and a new CHICK-FIL-A. Easty commute to the Arsenal or Research Park. Imagine yourself walking the dogs, admiring the lights at night, less than 5 minutes to a Kroger for last minute items. Don't miss out on it!

Key facts

  • Pantry
  • Open concept space
  • Granite counters

Tags

PRIVACY FENCED CORNER LOTZONED FOR MT CARMEL ELEMENTARYOPEN CONCEPT SPACEGRANITE COUNTERSISLANDPANTRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $305k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-231 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (13.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (32.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $205k (32.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.8% in Moores Mill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#109 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mt Carmel Elementary School (math 37% / reading 72%, grade C, #87 of 627 statewide, top 15%, 646 students, 34% FRL); Buckhorn Middle School (math 19% / reading 59%, grade F, #64 of 257 statewide, top 25%, 688 students, 38% FRL); Buckhorn High School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #59 of 305 statewide, top 21%, 1,287 students, 34% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 570 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $205,235 (32.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
5.38%
Cash-on-cash
-3.25%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
12.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$339,779
List price
$305,000
Delta
-10.24%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
226 Hydra Cir 0.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,853 (-0%) 3mo $305,000 $165 83
412 Tracer St 0.13mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,854 (0%) 11mo $319,900 $173 76
105 Cool Cir 0.25mi 4/3.0 1,938 (+4%) 9mo $314,900 $162 65
317 Pond Spring Dr 0.39mi 4/3.0 1,938 (+4%) 2mo $315,400 $163 65
109 Cool Cir 0.26mi 4/3.0 1,938 (+4%) 9mo $314,725 $162 65
6102 Edwin Jones Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,860 (+0%) 7mo $300,000 $161 59
305 Pond Spring Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,703 (-8%) 5mo $285,650 $168 55
107 Cool Cir 0.25mi 4/2.0 2,106 (+14%) 8mo $309,900 $147 55
304 Pond Spring Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,703 (-8%) 6mo $265,000 $156 55
314 Pond Spring Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,703 (-8%) 6mo $286,990 $169 54
102 Cool Cir 0.25mi 4/2.0 2,106 (+14%) 10mo $310,000 $147 53
313 Pond Spring Dr 0.39mi 4/2.0 2,106 (+14%) 4mo $312,032 $148 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-56,099
Equity at exit
$45,476
10-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-32,056
Equity at exit
$26,371

Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35811

Home prices YoY
-2.1%
Rents YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
570
Price-to-rent
12.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,052 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,599
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,115/yr
Insurance
$127
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$431
Net cashflow
$-231

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,345
Max offer price $264,175
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-58 -5% $-145 +0% $-231 +5% $-317 +10% $-404
Rent -10% $-393 -5% $-312 +0% $-231 +5% $-150 +10% $-69
Rate -1.0pp $-78 -0.5pp $-154 base $-231 +0.5pp $-310 +1.0pp $-391

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$76,250
Closing costs
$9,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
186 Pennington Ave Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 2209 $2,100 $0.95 25d 1 0.20mi
120 Pomelo St Huntsville, AL 4.0 3.0 2583 $2,395 $0.93 45d 1 0.21mi
154 SOUTHERN Trl Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.0 2106 $2,070 $0.98 45d 1 0.40mi
144 Oakcrest Rd Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 2153 $1,695 $0.79 23d 1 0.52mi
149 Wolfe Ln Huntsville, AL 3.0 3.0 1442 $2,000 $1.39 15d 1 0.73mi
147 Wolfe Ln Huntsville, AL 3.0 3.0 1442 $2,100 $1.46 15d 1 0.73mi
229 Paca Ln Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1850 $1,950 $1.05 45d 1 0.80mi
244 Paca Ln Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.0 2106 $2,150 $1.02 45d 1 0.82mi
244 Paca Ln Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.0 2106 $2,150 $1.02 25d 1 0.82mi
150 LILLIAN FARMS Blvd Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1703 $1,900 $1.12 25d 1 0.85mi
153 LILLIAN FARMS Blvd Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1703 $1,900 $1.12 25d 1 0.85mi
313 Mchenry DR Huntsville, AL 4.0 3.0 1938 $1,970 $1.02 45d 1 0.89mi
6107 Trailwood Dr Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1879 $1,650 $0.88 25d 1 1.36mi
119 Wind Rush Rd Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1690 $1,875 $1.11 45d 1 1.42mi
127 Colby Dr NE Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1239 $1,395 $1.13 25d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    status $305,000 Pending 131 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $305,000 Active 131 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $305,000 Active 130 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $305,000 Active 129 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $305,000 Active 128 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $305,000 Active 123 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $305,000 Active 122 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $305,000 Active 121 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $305,000 Active 120 DOM
  10. 2026-04-04
    price $312,227 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    Why THIS home?! Only 5 years old! Corner lot! Zoned for Mt Carmel Elementary! Fenced in yard! 4 bedrooms! 2 full baths! All wood flooring! Open concept! Granite counters, an island, pantry and SS appliances INCLUDING A COUNTER DEPTH FRIDGE! Spacious primary bedroom with large walk-in closet! Second bathroom has a fully tiled shower! Drop zone in the back hallway! Come check out the friendly neighborhood with easy access to town, grocery shopping, and a new CHICK-FIL-A. Easty commute to the Arsenal or Research Park. Imagine yourself walking the dogs, admiring the lights at night, less than 5 minutes to a Kroger for last minute items. Don't miss out on it!

  11. 2026-03-12
    price $320,000 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    Why THIS home?! Only 5 years old! Corner lot! Zoned for Mt Carmel Elementary! Fenced in yard! 4 bedrooms! 2 full baths! All wood flooring! Open concept! Granite counters, an island, pantry and SS appliances INCLUDING A COUNTER DEPTH FRIDGE! Spacious primary bedroom with large walk-in closet! Second bathroom has a fully tiled shower! Drop zone in the back hallway! Come check out the friendly neighborhood with easy access to town, grocery shopping, and a new CHICK-FIL-A. Easty commute to the Arsenal or Research Park. Imagine yourself walking the dogs, admiring the lights at night, less than 5 minutes to a Kroger for last minute items. Don't miss out on it!

  12. 2026-01-30
    listed $325,000 Active 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    Why THIS home?! Only 5 years old! Corner lot! Zoned for Mt Carmel Elementary! Fenced in yard! 4 bedrooms! 2 full baths! All wood flooring! Open concept! Granite counters, an island, pantry and SS appliances INCLUDING A COUNTER DEPTH FRIDGE! Spacious primary bedroom with large walk-in closet! Second bathroom has a fully tiled shower! Drop zone in the back hallway! Come check out the friendly neighborhood with easy access to town, grocery shopping, and a new CHICK-FIL-A. Easty commute to the Arsenal or Research Park. Imagine yourself walking the dogs, admiring the lights at night, less than 5 minutes to a Kroger for last minute items. Don't miss out on it!

  13. 2023-06-06
    soldstatus $308,000
  14. 2023-05-03
    price $329,000
  15. 2021-02-01
    soldstatus $234,325 Sold
  16. 2020-10-14
    soldstatus $220,000
  17. 2020-08-24
    listed $234,325

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,115 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,250 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$135/yr (+$11/mo · 12.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,628
− Mortgage interest
−$17,085
− Property taxes
−$1,115
− Insurance
−$1,525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,970
− Management
−$1,970
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$8,873
Taxable loss
−$8,306
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,993
After-tax cash flow
$-780/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
0102220
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,058
Composite
37.15/100
National rank
#4483
State rank
#19 of 129 in AL

Livability — Moores Mill

Score
66/100
State rank
#109
US rank
#11986

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moores Mill, AL
County
Madison County · 380,832 people
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
31,008
Household income
$90,812
Rent vs Own
22.4% rent · 77.6% own
Severe rent burden
517.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.13%
Current HPI
332.9423
Rent YoY
▲ 6.81%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-04 Price Changed $312,227 VMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $320,000 VMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $325,000 VMLS
  • 2023-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $308,000 Public Records
  • 2023-05-03 Price Changed $329,000 VMLS
  • 2021-02-01 Sold (MLS) $234,325 VMLS
  • 2020-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-24 Listed $234,325 VMLS

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,115 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…