2116 Ellis Dr · Westlake, LA 70669

$194,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,509 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market

Built 1968 0.46 ac lot Est $172k · 13% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.6/30.0
• DSCR +6.9/10.0
• 1% rule +4.5/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +1.5/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Great starter home in Westlake on large fenced yard with a workshop. Some updates. ALL MEASUREMENTS ARE MORE OR LESS.

Key facts

• Remodeled
• New plumbing
• New wiring

Tags

• REMODELED
• NEW WIRING
• NEW PLUMBING
• NEW WINDOWS

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Water connected
• Home design: Single-family house; One story
• Exterior features: City lot; Rectangular lot; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 200 (0.459 acres)

Interior

• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: No fireplace

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (5.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $185k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 6.4% in Westlake — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#120 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 148 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $92k; list at $195k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $185,023 (5.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.95% ✗
• Cap rate: 8.12%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.52%
• DSCR: 1.29
• GRM: 8.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $172,026
• Comps found: 8

Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1901 Linda Dr	0.21mi	3/2.0	1,570 (+4%)	8mo	$159,000	$101	77
2104 Linda Dr	0.10mi	3/1.0	1,590 (+5%)	10mo	$159,500	$100	74
1913 Sikes Ave	0.26mi	3/2.0	1,662 (+10%)	2mo	$255,000	$153	70
2136 Myrtle Springs Rd	0.15mi	3/2.0	1,415 (-6%)	16mo	$162,000	$114	69
1921 Anderson Ave	0.31mi	3/1.5	1,375 (-9%)	3mo	$152,000	$111	66
2215 Walker Dr Dr	0.28mi	3/2.0	1,722 (+14%)	6mo	$200,000	$116	59
2204 Ellis Dr	0.18mi	4/1.5 (+1)	1,386 (-8%)	19mo	$147,000	$106	55
1513 Guillory St	0.58mi	3/2.0	1,368 (-9%)	6mo	$178,000	$130	52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.77×
• Total profit: $-12,791
• Equity at exit: $29,060

10-year hold

• IRR: 3.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.24×
• Total profit: $12,825
• Equity at exit: $16,851

Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 70669

• Active inventory: 148
• Price-to-rent: 8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,850 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,022
• Tax from tax record: −$62 /mo · $745/yr
• Insurance: −$81
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$389
• Net cashflow: $296

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,475

Max offer price $194,900

Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $48,725
• Closing costs: $5,847
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
909 Wehrt St Westlake, LA	4.0	2.0	1819	$4,250	$2.34	43d	1	1.09mi
1607 Matilda St Westlake, LA	4.0	2.5	2120	$4,300	$2.03	43d	1	1.10mi
2900 Westwood Rd Westlake, LA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1003	$2,336	$2.33	13d	13	1.46mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-06-17
   status $194,900 Pending 1 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   remarks 92-char remark
3. 2026-06-17
   listed $194,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $745 · $62/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,072 · $89/mo
• Expected delta: +$327/yr (+$27/mo · 44.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,203
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,917
• − Property taxes: −$745
• − Insurance: −$974
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,776
• − Management: −$1,776
• − Depreciation: −$5,670
• Taxable income: $344
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$83
• After-tax cash flow: $3,474/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Calcasieu Parish
• NCES district ID: 2200330
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -39.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -33.00%
• Median HH income: $44,700
• Composite: 31.45/100
• National rank: #5979
• State rank: #29 of 98 in LA

Livability — Westlake

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #120
• US rank: #11457

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Westlake, LA
• County: Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
• City population: 9,552
• Metro: Lake Charles, LA
• Population (ZIP): 9,552
• Household income: $69,106
• Rent vs Own: 21.3% rent · 78.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 178.0

Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 212,179 people
• By 2030: 218,199 · +2.8%
• By 2040: 228,486 · +7.7%
• By 2050: 236,208 · +11.3%
• By 2075: 251,696 · +18.6%
• By 2100: 247,848 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Black 9% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 7% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -107.45%
• Current HPI: 81.9801
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Lake Charles, LA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

+94.9% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-16 Listed $194,900 SWLAR
• 2017-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
• 2017-01-05 Sold (MLS) — SWLAR
• 2016-11-03 Listed $100,000 SWLAR

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $745 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.