1829 N 29th St · Richmond, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This house has great rental or first time home buyer potential. It has many nice features, just needs a few touches to get it move in ready. listed way below assessment
Key facts
- 5,331 sq ft lot
- Built 1915
- Listed 24 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; R-5 zoning
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Porch; Deck; Full fencing
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub and shower (first level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Heat pump cooling; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $518 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 3.3% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#33 in VA, #793 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-.
- Richmond City Public School District (urban): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #123 of 131 in VA (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,540 units permitted in Richmond city in 2024 (2,077 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.20%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $252,989
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -60.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1829 N 29th St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,167 (0%) | 0mo | $126,000 | $108 | 100 |
| 1726 N 28th St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,110 (-5%) | 7mo | $275,000 | $248 | 75 |
| 1513 N 30th St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-8%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $255 | 65 |
| 2501 Peter Paul Blvd | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,218 (+4%) | 8mo | $236,900 | $194 | 65 |
| 3404 S St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 1,096 (-6%) | 0mo | $215,000 | $196 | 64 |
| 1905 N 28th St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-14%) | 0mo | $260,000 | $258 | 64 |
| 1314 N 34th St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,183 (+1%) | 6mo | $307,000 | $260 | 60 |
| 1815 N 23rd St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 1,044 (-10%) | 8mo | $198,000 | $190 | 58 |
| 2009 X St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,245 (+7%) | 2mo | $216,000 | $173 | 56 |
| 1911 N 23rd St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,284 (+10%) | 5mo | $260,000 | $202 | 55 |
| 3212 Q St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,248 (+7%) | 1mo | $355,000 | $284 | 50 |
| 1015 N 26th St | 0.67mi | 2/2.5 | 1,080 (-8%) | 3mo | $325,000 | $301 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $22,101
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.04×
- Total profit
- $85,080
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23223
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 337
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,507 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,272/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $518
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $575 | -5% $546 | +0% $518 | +5% $490 | +10% $461 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $399 | -5% $459 | +0% $518 | +5% $578 | +10% $637 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $568 | -0.5pp $544 | base $518 | +0.5pp $492 | +1.0pp $466 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1906 N 29th St Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,000 | $1.42 | 5d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2906 Nine Mile Rd Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $1,845 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1603 N 29th St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,600 | $1.68 | 5d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2706 Selden St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 862 | $1,895 | $2.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2914 R St Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1617 N 21st St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1157 | $1,825 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2106 Newbourne St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $1,875 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2852 Fairfield Ave Richmond, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,103 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2021 Fairfield Ave Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $1,195 | $1.52 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2108 Phaup St Unit D Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $995 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2100 Phaup St Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2514 Q St Richmond, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2153 Cool Ln Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,080 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3102 P St Unit B Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1313 | $1,995 | $1.52 | 5d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2016 Fairmount Ave Apt 2 Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,007 | $1.01 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2016 Fairmount Ave Apt 2 Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,007 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1108 N 21st St Unit B Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,799 | $1.80 | 3d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1204 N 20th St Apt 1 Richmond, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $887 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1204 N 20th St Apt 2 Richmond, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $887 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2200 Carrington St Unit 300 Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,435 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2200 Carrington St Unit 301 Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $1,435 | $1.61 | 16d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1004 1/2 N 21st St Unit A Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,195 | $1.76 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 803 N 26th St Unit A Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,849 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 811 N 33rd St Unit A Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1315 | $1,900 | $1.44 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 811 N 33rd St Unit A Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1315 | $1,900 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3508 E Richmond Rd Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 801 | $1,336 | $1.67 | 5d | 7 | 0.83mi |
| 3528 E Richmond Rd Unit 21 Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,195 | $1.53 | 12d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 927 N 20th St Unit D Richmond, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,050 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 923 N 20th St Unit D Richmond, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 5d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3516 E Richmond Rd Unit 10 Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,250 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 621 N 32nd St Unit C Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,299 | $1.86 | 5d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2416 Jefferson Ave Unit 212 Long-Term Marketing Richmond, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 727 | $2,199 | $3.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 600 N 32nd St Unit C Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,350 | $1.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 509 N 30th St Unit 2 Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,365 | $1.82 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 507 N 32nd St Unit A Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,995 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2423 Whitcomb St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 517 N 21st St Unit 517B Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1447 | $1,884 | $1.30 | 17d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3508 E Clay St Unit A Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,899 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2003 Cedar St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $2,200 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 306 St Claire Ln Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $1,595 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-05$100,000 Active 548-char remark
-
2016-08-11soldstatus $45,000
-
2016-08-10soldstatus $45,000 Closed 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
This house has great rental or first time home buyer potential. It has many nice features, just needs a few touches to get it move in ready. listed way below assessment
-
2016-07-12status Pending 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
This house has great rental or first time home buyer potential. It has many nice features, just needs a few touches to get it move in ready. listed way below assessment
-
2016-06-11$50,000 Active 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
This house has great rental or first time home buyer potential. It has many nice features, just needs a few touches to get it move in ready. listed way below assessment
-
2001-01-17soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,272 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,272 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,078
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,272
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,446
- − Management
- −$1,446
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $4,903
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,177
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,040/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richmond City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103240
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,276
- Composite
- 33.09/100
- National rank
- #5564
- State rank
- #123 of 131 in VA
Livability — Richmond
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #33
- US rank
- #793
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Richmond, VA
- County
- Henrico County · 334,490 people
- City population
- 287,109
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,659
- Household income
- $55,731
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3530.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 262,263 people
- By 2030
- 284,503 · +8.5%
- By 2040
- 327,353 · +24.8%
- By 2050
- 367,946 · +40.3%
- By 2075
- 449,560 · +71.4%
- By 2100
- 500,301 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+66.3) · D 82.0% · R 15.8% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.2pp toward D · 2008: 59.1pp · 2024: 66.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+66.3 2020: D+68.0 2016: D+63.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+59.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -257.81%
- Current HPI
- 324.0589
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.38%
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+1160.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $126,000 CVRMLS
- 2026-05-29 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $100,000 CVRMLS
- 2016-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2016-08-10 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CVRMLS
- 2016-07-12 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2016-06-11 Listed $50,000 CVRMLS
- 2001-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2022): $1,272 · -6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…